Heavy rain and some snow this weekend

Good Friday, everyone. One weak system is moving away, making room for another big time winter storm system for our weekend. This bad boy will bring a lot of rain to the region, followed by snow and arctic cold temps.

Let us begin with today and roll forward. Highs today reach the upper 30s to low 40s for many with clouds hanging tough. There’s a shot at a few rays of sun this afternoon, but I won’t be holding my breath!

Here’s a breakdown on how the weekend is looking:

  • Saturday features heavy rains of 1″-2″ with a local 3″ amount possible. That could cause some local high water issues to develop.
  • Temps on Saturday may reach 60 in the south, but stay in the 30s in the north.
  • Cold air rapidly sweeps in Saturday evening and that will cause a flash freeze. All that water will ice up quickly as temps hit the 20s then the teens.
  • A change to snow is also likely Saturday evening into Sunday morning. Some accumulations are a good bet. As of now, those look mainly on the light side.
  • Travel conditions go downhill quickly from Saturday evening through Sunday morning.
  • Highs on Saturday are in the upper teens to low 20s. Lows by Monday morning may reach the single digits.
  • Winds are going to be very gusty all weekend. That will lead to wind chills that may reach zero or below at times.

The farther south track of the low Saturday into Saturday night would argue for a better swath of snow working across the state.

The NAM is a little late in recognizing the low, so it only brings that snow to central and eastern Kentucky:

The Hi Res NAM gets it cranking much sooner and impacts much of the state with much more moisture:

The European Model is starting to develop a little more of a comma head look to that snow band:

The new version of the GFS is still seeing a little too much of the northern low, but the precipitation shield is showing how it’s sensing how the pressure falls showing up father south:

Make it a great day and take care.

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