Good Saturday to one and all. We have a VERY mild pattern rolling into the region that looks to settle in through the middle of next week. It’s a setup that should boost our temps into the 60s, but it’s also a setup that may turn soggy.
Temps today will hit the mid 40s north to middle 50s in the south. Morning fog will burn away, leaving us with a mix of sun and clouds for the afternoon.
Gusty southwesterly winds will kick in for Sunday and that boosts thermometers into the high 50s and low 60s.
This air is a sign of things to come as we star around 60 or better into the middle of next week. This setup will also come with a wet price, with showers returning as early as Monday.
From there, we will be seeing a boundary slowing down across our region, allowing waves of low pressure to develop along it. Exactly where that sets up remains to be seen. The new version of the GFS continues with a colder look, allowing for a quicker return of winter weather by the end of the week into the weekend:
The other models have slowed that down a little bit, allowing for a lot of rain to fall. The GFS rainfall through the next week:
The next two weeks total:
The average 2 week rain numbers from the 21 member GFS Ensembles:
I suspect all those numbers are way too high because the model is underestimating the strength of the cold pushing back into the country. Still, it’s a super active February through March taking shape. That will likely mean quite a bit more winter weather for our region.
Make it a good one and take care.