Flood threat increases

Good Monday, everyone. Rounds of heavy rain continue to target the region over the next few days, bringing an increased threat for flooding. This continues to be part of our hyper-active pattern that will soon begin to trend colder and colder.

A Flood Watch continues in effect for much of the state through Tuesday:

This continues to look like a general 1″-3″ rainfall in the east, with 2″-4″ of rain for much of western and central Kentucky:

This is backed up by the late day model runs…

GFS

New version of the GFS

Flooding of creeks, streams and rivers may all be noted during this time.

As that system moves away Tuesday night, much colder air wraps in bringing a brief period of light snow to central and eastern Kentucky.

From there, the pattern remains active, but we will se the storm track come farther south as cold air continues to spread out across the country.

The 2 week snow numbers from the GFS show the snow chances going  much farther south:

The average from the 21 member GFS Ensembles are even farther south:

In the near-term, it’s all about the threat for flooding. I have you all set to track the heavy rains rolling across our region:

Make it a great day and take care.

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