Good Saturday, everyone. Our weekend is off and running on a great note with blue skies and milder temps taking over. The second half of the weekend will find things going downhill as showers work into the region.
Temps today start in the frigid 20s and end in the 50s for many, with 60s in the west and south. Soak. It. Up.
Clouds will roll in here on Sunday as showers develop in the west and roll east.
As we look toward the rest of spring and into Summer, we know an El Nino is ongoing and forecast to get stronger. The CAS model is a seasonal model that’s constructed from analogs based off soil moisture. Obviously, our region is wet as is much of the country.
The CAS has a cooler than normal and wetter than normal look from April through June:
If we go from June through August, we find more of the same:
I can certainly buy the wet part, but I’m not sold on the really cool part. Like last year, with so much water in the ground, nighttime lows will likely be skewed milder than normal. That skews the overall temps, too.
Have a great day and take care.