Storm chances for Derby Weekend

Good Tuesday, everyone. We are dealing with a very summer-like pattern for the next few days, but thunderstorms look to increase as the week wears on. The threat for thunderstorms looks to hold tough through Kentucky Derby Weekend.

Highs today are into the 80-85 degree range with a mix of sun and clouds. Isolated showers and storms are possible, especially in the north and west. Here’s regional radar to track the action:

Wednesday looks even warmer with the potential for mid to upper 80s in some spots for parts of the region. That only happens with enough sunshine, but it’s certainly a possibility. Winds are going to crank during this time and a few late day showers and storms are possible. This is just ahead of a big severe weather outbreak to our west, but a few strong storms may try to sneak into western Kentucky. Here’s the Wednesday Severe Weather Outlook from the SPC:

Showers and thunderstorms will increase on Thursday and a few could be on the strong side. This begins a stormy period that goes through Oaks Day and into Derby Day:

The models are spitting out some decent totals during this time. The European Model has some 2″+ amountsĀ  through Saturday:

The longer range European seasonal model that goes through the middle of June continues with a wet look for much of the country. Check out how much real estate is above normal:

Have a great day and take care.

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