Watching the Gulf of Mexico

Good Tuesday, folks. It’s another mainly dry day across the bluegrass state as a different overall pattern settles in. This is one that may spit out a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico before the week is over. Can we get a direct impact from this system on our weather? Maybe.

Temps out there today are in the middle 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. I still can’t rule out an isolated shower or storm in the east. Here’s regional radar to help you out:

Wednesday finds a cold front dropping toward the region from the northwest. Temps are around 90 ahead of this with a heat index low and mid 90s for some. Winds should gust up with a few showers and storms going up. As the front moves in Wednesday night and Thursday, thunderstorms increase:

By this time, we are likely dealing with a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. “Barry” to be continues to be highlighted by the National Hurricane Center:

Here’s the latest forecasts from the various hurricane models:

The GFS Ensembles:

As you can see, there’s still quite the spread on where Barry will make landfall.

Again, there are a lot of questions as to how strong this gets and where it comes ashore. Those have to be answered before knowing if this can directly impact our weather.

As mentioned in recent posts, this kind of setup can produce some real deal heat around here!

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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