Steamy to stormy

Good Wednesday to one and all. Today is likely to be the hottest day of the year, so far, as temps surge into the low 90s. This is ahead of a cold front working toward the region later tonight and Thursday. That will offer up a little heat relief for the end of the week.

As we are tracking all this, we are also watching a tropical system down in the Gulf of Mexico. I’ll get to that in a bit.

Let’s start with today’s temps. Highs will generally reach the low 90s in most areas, but the heat index will hit the mid and upper 90s. Ouch.

Scattered showers and storms will also go up, especially in the afternoon and evening. Here are your tracking toys of the day:

The best threat for storms comes later tonight into Thursday. Some of the Thursday storms may even be on the strong side. Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook for Thursday:

Any storm that goes up will have torrential rains that can also cause local high water issues.

Temps do come down some for Thursday into Friday, with Friday feeling pretty nice for this time of year.

Steamy air returns this weekend and is likely to bring the chance for a few storms back into the picture.

This brings us to our developing tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. “Barry” is slowly becoming organized and should head toward Louisiana later this week:

Here’s the latest forecasts from the various hurricane models:

The GFS Ensembles:

Landfalling tropical systems from Louisiana usually have an impact our weather and I think this may very well be the case with Barry.

Here is my very early call:

If it is to impact our region, the prime time for that to happen would be early next week.

Happy Wednesday and take care.

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