Great feeling weather returns

Good Wednesday to one and all. We are rolling our way closer and closer to Labor Day Weekend and the weather is back to beautiful. Will this roll on into the big weekend? I suspect the answer to that lies with a tropical system a long way away from us.

Let’s begin with today’s awesome dose of temps. Highs are generally upper 70s to low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. There’s still a small chance for a lingering shower this morning across the east, but that should clean up pretty quickly.

Temps tonight are going to feel pretty darn awesome. Readings drop into the low and mid 50s for many. I can’t even rule out a few upper 40s in the coolest valleys. This will set the stage for a picture perfect Thursday. Mostly sunny skies and low humidity will be topped off by temps ranging from 75-80.

This brings us to the Labor Day weekend and a couple of factors we are watching for. One is a cold front dropping in from the north late Friday. That could spark a shower or storm in the north:

That front slows down on top of the region through Saturday and Sunday and could spark a shower or thunderstorm:

A lot of what happens with that front will be dictated by what happens off the Florida coast over the Labor Day Weekend. The above GFS model shows Dorian missing Florida and heading toward the Carolinas.

Here’s the latest on Dorian from the National Hurricane Center:

cone graphic

The forecast calls for this to become a hurricane and head toward Florida, but there is a bit of a split developing in the models. Does this cross Florida and go into the Gulf or does it curve up the east coast?

Here’s what the hurricane models have to say:

The GFS Ensembles:

The older version of the GFS is similar to what the new version shows, a hurricane heading toward the Carolinas before getting entrained into a deep trough across the eastern part of the country:

The Canadian Model is trying to do something similar, but is a bit farther west:

Have a great day and take care.

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