Watching Labor Day Weekend

Good Friday, everyone. Labor Day Weekend is a busy one with lots of outdoor activities and football action. For the most part, the weather is looking pretty good, but a weak cold front may spit out a stray shower or storm.

As all this is happening, Hurricane Dorian will be heading into Florida as a major hurricane. I’ll get to that in a moment.

Let’s start with our Friday. Highs will be in the 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will gust up as our front approached from the north. That front may fire up an isolated shower or thunderstorm across the north.

Here’s regional radar to track whatever is out there:

This boundary slips a littler farther south on Saturday, bringing that small chance for a shower or storm with it and that looks to continue through Labor Day:

The big weather story is Hurricane Dorian that continues to churn toward the Bahamas and Florida. This storm is growing into a monster:

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/CAR/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-CAR-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

With high pressure building to the north of Dorian, this storm will start to bend more west over the next few days. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center:

cone graphic

This storm reminds me a lot of Hurricane Andrew from 1992. I’m not saying it gets quite to that level or gets as far west as Andrew did, but it looks may look the part as it approaches Florida.

Here are the latest Hurricane Model forecasts:

The GFS Ensembles:

The latest operational models are of similar thinking with this powerful storm turning more north once into Florida, then working along the southeastern seaboard:

GFS

Canadian

Have a great day and take care.

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