Good Thursday, everybody. It’s another recording hot day across the bluegrass state, but a blast of true fall air is sliding in for the first weekend of October. It’s a setup that can also deliver a good shot of rain by Sunday and Monday.
Let us begin with today and roll ahead. Highs are back into the low 90s for central and eastern Kentucky. Winds will be very gusty ahead of our front that arrives from northwest to southeast. Temps tumble quickly behind this front and
Behind it comes a blast of some of the good stuff. The NAM is the coolest of all models for Friday. Here’s how it starts the day:
That’s likely too cool, so lets hit the 70-75 degree range for many, making for a picture perfect start for the fall meet at Keeneland. Friday evening looks great with a chilly start to the day on Saturday as lows are likely deep into the 40s.
Saturday is a nice and breezy day with temps in the 70s, but some low 80s sneak in across the west and south. This will be ahead of a cold front working toward us on Sunday. That boundary may try to slow down and allow a wave of low pressure to develop along it.
The latest trend among the models is to wait until this front is into central and eastern Kentucky to spit out the beneficial rains. Here are the latest totals from the European Model:
Much of the other medium range models agree with this. You can see the increase on the Canadian:
Temps may actually be considered chilly with this rain system and then stay seasonally cool/chilly for much of next week. There’s a chance for our first upper 30s to show up in some of the colder spots on a morning or two next week.
Have a great Thursday and take care.