Significant rain on the way

Good Saturday, everyone. As you are very well aware, things have been just a little hot and dry across our part of the world. We’ve changed the hot part, now we are about to change the dry part. Heavy rains are on the way for later Sunday into Monday.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Temps start in the 40s with afternoon temps ranging from the upper 70s to low 80s. A few clouds will roll in and I can’t even rule out an isolated shower or storm late in the day across the southeast:

Let’s get into this rain because there’s the chance some areas get too much of a good thing. Scattered showers and storms go up late Saturday night into Sunday, with the main action arriving after that. Widespread rain and thunderstorms go up Sunday night into Monday and could put down more than 2″-3″ in some areas of central and eastern Kentucky.

The models are in pretty good agreement on the potential for excessive rains:

GFS

European

As crazy as this sounds, local flash flooding is possible Sunday night and Monday morning. That would be a heck of a way to bust a short-term drought!

Highs on Monday may not get out of the 50s across the eastern half of the state as the clouds and rain are slow to move out.

Tuesday through Thursday look pretty darn awesome ahead of another very potent front by the end of the week:

That kind of front could even spawn high winds and strong storms as it crashes in here, with a legitimate frost/light freeze threat behind it next weekend.

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.

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