Big changes blowing in

Good Tuesday, everyone. It’s a windy and warm day across the region as we get ready for a cold front to rumble across the region. This will bring gusty showers and storms and a huge drop in temps for the next few days.

Let’s begin with today and plow forward. Highs are in the 70s as those southwesterly winds crank. Gusts may reach 30mph at times, especially tonight as the front moves in. Scattered showers and storms may go up, but the greatest concentration rolls from west to east this evening into tonight.

Here are your radars to help you through the day:

Those crashing temps will combine with a northwest wind and leftover clouds and showers to give us a very chilly Wednesday. Temps should have a tough time getting out of the 40s for some areas:

There’s even a wind chill showing up:

This will set the stage for another round of frost and light freeze come Thursday and Friday mornings.

The setup that follows this has a lot of action with it. It’s one that will be pretty mild for a bit as the predominant flow comes from the southwest. This is also a very moist flow with a couple of storm systems rolling our way from the west and southwest. There could even be something tropical trying to develop in the western Gulf of Mexico.

The European Model brings in the first round of showers and storms on Sunday:

The rest of this big storm system then shows up by Monday and Tuesday:

Here’s the GFS:

Much colder air then comes in behind that and this is something we have been targeting since back in September. Many of the analogs I outlined for you guys did have a distinct turn to colder than normal and even some winter weather in late October.

That’s exactly what the GFS keeps showing in some form or fashion. Here’s the latest run for late next week:

The Ensembles have really flipped to showing this deepening trough across the east over the next few weeks…

EURO

GFS

Make it a  great day and take care.
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