Changes on the way

Good Saturday, folks. We are rolling through the weekend with a lot going on in the overall weather pattern. Things are about to get pretty active and that could start this weekend for some areas.

Tropical Storm Nestor continues to churn toward the Florida Panhandle and should make landfall early today. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center:

cone graphic

This storm heads toward the Carolinas, but will throw some rain into Kentucky. The main area will be across the southeast. Here’s the rainfall map from the NAM:

Here are your radars for the day:

This sets the stage for a very strong cold front to blast the state on Monday. Showers and storms become widespread and some of the storms may be on the strong side and produce high winds:

Heavy rainfall is also likely with these storms.

Temperatures come down quickly on a gusty northwest wind behind the departing front. After a rebound in the numbers, we focus on the next system rollin in by the end of the week into next weekend. The models continue to vary on how to handle this, but they all agree on some cold air getting involved in a low pressure system:

The cold look continues to show up very strongly on the operational models and the ensembles. Check out how far below normal the average the numbers get from the 21 member GFS ensembles:

Enjoy the day and take care.

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