Winter looks to show up early

Good Thursday to one and all. A big time weather change is taking place today as a modified arctic front blows in. Heavy rain ahead of this may end as a few flakes later today as the cold air crashes in. That sets the stage for a bigger winter push by early next week.

As mentioned, rain will be heavy at times this morning. Temps will drop quickly into the 30s from northwest to southeast as the front slides in. That could mean a brief window of a few snowflakes mixing in with the rain later this afternoon or this evening. This won’t be a big deal, but it’s something to track.

Here are your radar tracking toys for the day:

As that strong northwesterly wind flow kicks in, a few flakes may also show up in southeastern Kentucky after the main band of precip pushes out. Those same gusty winds will give us some ugly wind chill numbers. Check out the numbers through early Friday:

Actual lows by Friday morning have a chance to hit the teens in some of the coldest valleys:

Highs on Friday may stay in the 30s for many, with the winds making it feel colder. Readings drop into the 20s during high school playoff games that evening.

Saturday is a seasonally chilly day with 20s in the morning and mid and upper 40s in the afternoon. The 50s return for Sunday as winds gust up ahead of our arctic blast arriving on Monday. The arctic front moving in here is likely to have a band of rain in front of it and snow behind it. There could be a wave of low pressure along the front to enhance the snow chances for Monday into Tuesday. All the models see this, but show their usual differences from a few days away:

EUROPEAN

GFS

CANADIAN

ICON

The air coming in behind our front could bring record or near record lows into our region. Some of the latest runs are showing historic cold for this early in the season:

GFS

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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