Winter weather on the way

Good Sunday to one and all. We have a blast of winter weather blowing in here late Monday through the middle of the week. This will be complete with early season arctic air and the increasing threat for the first snowfall of the very young winter season.

Here’s a breakdown of what I’m expecting:

  • The slower arrival of the arctic front means milder temps during the daylight hours of Monday. Readings can reach the low 60s.
  • That just sets us up for a bigger drop with temps dropping like a rock as the front moves through. You may have a nearly 30 degree drop in just an hour or two.
  • Rain will develop in the afternoon and evening, but much of the precipitation is behind the front in the form or snow.
  • A nice shield of light to moderate snow is likely to develop and work across the state Monday evening through Tuesday morning.
  • A cold flow coming down the length of a relatively warm Lake Michigan will bring snow showers and flurries into our region on Tuesday.
  • Snow accumulations are a good bet, though I’m not ready to commit to specific totals and locations just yet. At this point, the entire state and surrounding areas would pretty much be in the coating-2″ range.
  • A First Call For Snowfall will come your way at some point today. 🙂
  • With such a rapid temperature drop, a flash freeze will be possible. This could cause some slick spots to develop Monday night and Tuesday.
  • The arctic cold air is very impressive! Temps stay in the 20s on Tuesday afternoon and that’s crazy hard to do this time of year. Lows on Tuesday morning can reach the teens in many areas. Record lows of 10-15 will be possible Wednesday morning.
  • Wind chills will drop into the single digits at times early Tuesday and early Wednesday.

The latest round of models continue to back up everything you just read:

GFS

Here’s the snow map from that run of the GFS:

European

Euro snow map:

Canadian

Canadian snow map:

Have a great day and take care.

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