Calming it down for a few days

Good Thursday, everyone. We are coming off a history making blast of winter weather here in the bluegrass state. As we get ready to close out the week and head into the weekend, things look calm and rather cold.

Lexington set a new record low yesterday with 12 degrees. Many areas dropped deep into the single digits, with Henderson checking in with a whopping 2 degrees.

Check out the lows from the Kentucky Mesonet:

Let’s begin with today and roll ahead. Highs will return to the 40s for many, but we are likely to see the north struggle to get much past 40.

Temps do come back down some for Friday and Saturday. Lows are deep into the 20s with highs ranging from the upper 30s to middle 40s across the state. Those numbers are still colder than we should be for the middle of November.

Looking down the road into next week, changes start to show up.

As I’ve mentioned several times lately, there’s so much energy in the pattern that the computer models are going to struggle mightily. This time of year with the seasonal change is hard enough, but the shear amount of energy and storm systems doesn’t bode well for them.

Still, let’s give a little check on what they’re saying.

The European has our east coast system this weekend into early next week. It also shows the weak little system diving in here by Monday and Tuesday, possibly producing a rain or snow shower:

There’s another system working in quickly behind that later next week. The European Model brings that through here by Thursday and Friday:

The Canadian Model has a much bigger system:

I like the bigger system idea as this is a pattern that can really amplify and produce a big storm system or storm systems over the next few weeks.

The European Ensembles then show another deep trough in the east as we head into Thanksgiving week:

Have a great day and take care.

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