The action picks up in the week ahead

Good Sunday, everyone. We are putting the wraps on a chilly, but pleasant weekend of weather across our part of the world. As we roll into the week ahead, our calm weather becomes much more active. That’s an active pattern that looks to roll through the rest of the month.

Let us begin with today and roll forward. Clouds will increase as temps make a run at 50 or a little better. Winds will also gust up ahead of a couple of systems set to dive in here from the northwest over the next couple of days.

This will lead to some light precipitation across the region and that could be a touch of rain and snow shower action.

Canadian

European

Those are trying to look clipperish and we will need to watch to see if one of them is a little stronger than advertised.

The models continue to change with each run on how they’re handling the end of next week into the following weekend. We’ve talked about this for days now because this is a very energetic pattern with blocking setting up. That’s a combo to give the models fits.

We do know one system moves in by Thursday and Friday, likely with rain ending with the chance for some Friday flakes. Another system will try to follow that up next weekend. Here’s how the last run of the Euro handles this setup:

The details will change from run to run, but we will soon be getting into the ‘watching trends’ time frame.

I mentioned the blocking setting up and it’s looking fairly stout as we get deeper into the second half of November. The Euro is showing this to begin Thanksgiving week:

Notice that big positive up the west coast… That argues for a very deep trough in the east and you can see how that’s just showing up at the end of that run. Throw in some energy coming from the southwest and things could get fun.

The European Ensembles have a blocky look through the start of December:

Winter cometh early this year, but we’ve already seen that firsthand!

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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