Ugly into the weekend

Good Friday, everyone. It’s a very soggy beginning to the day as heavy rain rolls across the state. This is all part of a wet start to the weekend that may actually throw a little bit of winter our way by Saturday night.

In case you guys missed the winter forecast, the Kentucky Weather Podcast has the highlights and I talk about the whys behind the outlook. Give it a listen…

I’ll have all the maps for you guys this weekend.

Today’s rain is heavy this morning. but should quickly end from north to south during the afternoon. Here are your radars for the day:

After a break into tonight, rain quickly returns early Saturday and continues through the day. That’s when low pressure works in from the southwest and rolls across the eastern half of Kentucky. Once the low passes to our northeast late Saturday, colder air sweeps in and could change the rain to some light snow or snow showers into early Sunday.

After a small hiccup in seeing this system, the NAM is back and showing the flake chances:

With that low, you’re going to see a big temp swing across the region. Check this out:

Gusty winds will add to the chill:

A seasonal chill will be in the air for Sunday as skies become partly cloudy.

As expected, the storm system for early Thanksgiving week continues to give the models fits. There continues to be a pattern with more energy than the models can handle. That’s a theme for the next week and change before arctic air takes control of the country once again.

The GFS went from a powerhouse plains storm to the weakest storm of all rolling into the Great Lakes:

The European and Canadian Models are similar with a stronger looking system than what they were showing with prior runs:

The systems coming in behind that are also wearing the models out and this will be the case until we get arctic air to flex some muscle. The signal continues to be strong with this one:

December has a chance to be our coldest and snowiest since 2010.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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