Watching a few systems for the week ahead

Good Monday, folks. We have a weak weather maker rolling across the southern half of the state today, with another ready to move our way by Wednesday. This is part of  fairly active pattern for the week ahead and beyond.

Let’s begin with our Monday and look ahead. Showers will be noted, especially across the south. This isn’t a ton of rain, but it’s making for a gloomy day for many. Here’s your regional radar:

Seasonally colder air comes in following that with the potential for a few flurries or a snow shower by Tuesday.

The next system moves in for Wednesday, but how much of an impact can we get from this? It’s a southern system rolling from west to east. Several of the models have been weakening this system quickly as it reaches Kentucky. The NAM is not among them and brings a nice swath of accumulating snow:

The European is among the models crushing this system as it moves into western Kentucky:

It’s not like there is a big cold high to the north of that to steer it south and crush this thing, so let’s see if any other models join the NAM party later this evening.

In terms of the weekend system, the European Model is also crushing this system way, way south:

That may very well be a case of the Euro holding on too long to energy coming from the southwestern part of the country. That’s one of the biggest biases of the model.

The GFS has a much bigger system rolling up the east coast with a second system diving in behind it…

The Canadian is similar:

We shall see, but it’s actually good to have some potential to track! 🙂

Have a great Monday and take care.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments