Good Thursday to one and all. It’s another warm and humid day, but a few thunderstorms are rumbling across the area. This is along and ahead of a cold front dropping in from the northwest. This continues to be part of a very active setup that also features a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico.
Let’s begin with today’s shower and storm action. It’s not all day rain by any stretch of the imagination, but any storm that’s out there can put down a lot of rain in a short amount of time. A few of the storms may also be strong or severe. The Storm Prediction Center has a low-end risk for severe storms across the region:
Muggy air remains into Friday as a few rounds of showers and storms roll through.
Our front slows down on top of us Saturday with a big temp swing showing up for the weekend. Temps in the west and southwest will be much warmer than everywhere else, with some comfortable air showing up across the east and north, especially Sunday and Monday.
From here, everything that happens will be dictated by Cristobal and where it goes. Our Tropical Storm continues to SLOWLY meander in the far southern reaches of the Gulf of Mexico. This will slowly turn north and strengthen:
Here’s the forecast from the National Hurricane Center:
Current indications are for this system to roll due north across the Mississippi River Valley before being absorbed by a deepening trough moving in for the middle and end of next week. Where the trough and Cristobal hookup is still to be determined, but some rain from this system is certainly possible here in Kentucky.
Temps ahead of this may spike to 90 on Tuesday, then start falling as our trough digs in here. The forecast models are showing another massive shot of cool air starting late next week. The Euro is bringing the 40s back in here for lows:
This cooler than normal air has the backing of the GFS. Check out how the model shows the cooler than normal temps rolling deep into the middle of the month:
The GFS Ensembles are on board:
That would be a pleasant temp regime for our region and I don’t think too many of us would complain.
I leave you with your Thursday storm tracking tools:
Possible Watch Areas
Have a terrific Thursday and take care.