Tropical feel with a few storms

Good Thursday to one and all. Tropical humidity continues across central and eastern Kentucky as our temps remain fairly normal. A few thunderstorms are trying to fire up today, but the bulk of the action looks to be with us Friday into Saturday.

Areas of western and south central Kentucky had to deal with strong storms and local flash flooding on Wednesday. Some of these same areas may get hit again later today. One or two of those storms may develop across central and eastern Kentucky, especially later today.

The local high water threat then works farther east as we get into Friday and Saturday. The models have had a struggle in pinpointing the track of the low of late, but I continue to maintain this works right on top of us. After jumping ship on it, the models are coming back into my line of thinking:

NAM

GFS

CANADIAN

The EURO continues to struggle. After keeping this thing well to our south, it’s starting to come back to the north:

If we look at the average rainfall forecast from the 21 members of the GFS Ensembles, you can clearly see they favor the eastern Ohio Valley track:

A September temp pattern returns next week as the numbers go well below normal:

We still need to watch for the potential upper low scenario that could bring unsettled weather with the cool blast.

Here are your Thursday thunder trackers:

Make it a great day and take care.

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