Tropical downpours likely to start the weekend

Good Friday to one and all. It’s another steamy day across the region as rounds of showers and storms kick in. This action could cause a few issues as tropical downpours are a good bet from these storms into the start of the weekend.

Let’s kick things off with where we are today.

Low pressure rolls slowly across the area today into Saturday and the models continue to underplay this setup in a big way. The GFS can’t see this setup all of a sudden, while the EURO is getting better vision. Models don’t do well with forecasting thunderstorm rains to begin with, but that is especially difficult for them with tropical air in place. Still, this is what they are seeing through Saturday:

EURO

ICON

HI RES NAM

 

September air comes in behind all this for next week. Temps are well below normal, but we also have to watch for some kind of upper low spinning and bringing a few showers in here. This is something I’ve been pointing out for a while and we are now seeing the models sniffing this out. The Euro has this upper low then brings another trough diving into it next weekend:

I leave you with your tracking tools for the day:

Have a good one and take care.

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