Showers set to increase

Good Sunday, everyone. The much anticipated January thaw is here, and it’s bringing along a few showers for the ride. That’s good news for those of us holding out for Mother Nature’s car wash to take care of our salty cars. 🙂

A few showers are possible out there today, as temps climb deep into the 50s. Local 60 degree temps may show up for areas getting in on a few rays of sunshine. Today is not a washout, but you can track the drops on our regional radar:

Winds increase on Monday as a strong cold front blows into town from the west. Rain will also increase throughout the day, and the models are spitting out some decent totals:

As the front swings through, a nice temperature drop is on the way Monday night into Tuesday. Temps may only reach the 30s for highs on Tuesday, but a northwesterly wind can produce snow showers and flurries. We even seeing the potential for some very light accumulations:

That’s not a big deal, but it’s likely a signal that, even in a setup that screams mild, winter has a lot left in the tank. Another signal of that comes next weekend. After another mild up for the end of the week, check out the trough digging in here:

That could be a big rain maker that switches to snow:

Again, the global signals suggest this should be a wall to wall mild pattern, but that does not look to be the case. When a real winter gets going, it is REALLY hard to totally reverse the trend.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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A milder pattern develops

Good Saturday, everyone. Milder weather continues to work into the region, and it might bring some showers along for the ride. This kicks off an overall milder pattern that is likely to carry us through much of the rest of January.

Highs out there Saturday will hit the 40s, with a mix of sun and clouds. Isolated showers will be possible:

Sunday will see highs in the 50s, with a little more likelihood of some showers. This is not going to be a washout of a weekend.

The cold front moves in Monday with an increase in rain from west to east:

Colder air comes in behind that for Monday night and Tuesday, and it could bring a few snowflakes:

That’s not a very cold air mass and will quickly moderate by the middle and end of next week. Southwesterly winds probably will boost highs well into the 50s again, ahead of another big storm system. This one might have some significant rain with it and have colder air coming in behind it.

GFS:

Canadian model:

Even in the midst of a milder pattern, you can get some winter weather, and it’s certainly possible with that storm system.

Make it a great day and take care.

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A milder weekend begins

Good Friday to one and all. Milder winds are kicking in as we say goodbye to the bitterly cold pattern that we’ve been in for most of the winter. As temps start to climb, rain chances start to show up later in the weekend.

Friday’s forecast looks much better, with highs in the 30s and mostly sunny skies. Drip, drip, drip. … The snow melt really starts to kick in.

Temps this weekend start to climb, with highs in the 40s on Saturday, and a small chance of showers. Highs will then climb toward the 50s on Sunday and early Monday, ahead of our cold front. That front has a push of rain with it:

Temps tumble behind that boundary by Monday night and early Tuesday, with a few snowflakes possibly flying.

Temps rebound quickly as the week wears on, and they’re likely to turn mild. This happens as a deep trough digs into the Plains States, with a huge ridge in the southwest. That puts Kentucky into a potential stormy and soggy setup:

Watch the rain train showing up on the European model:

Have a great Friday and take care.

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A slow thaw ahead

Good Thursday to one and all. Temps continue to run well below normal, but that’s about to change in the coming days. A slow thaw is on the way this weekend, and that is likely to kick off a milder overall pattern.

Our day starts in the single digits and ends with highs in the mid- and upper 20s. Sunny skies will combine with the snow cover to produce a very bright day.

Highs on Friday go above freezing, 35 to 40 in most areas. Watch for refreezing during the overnight hours as temps drop below freezing.

We start to see those temps moderate over the next few days, with some milder days settling in Saturday and Sunday. That’s ahead of a strong cold front, producing gusty winds and a wall of rain crossing the state late Sunday and Monday:

There could be a touch of snow behind that as temps take a bit of a dip. Seasonally cold air does sweep in behind that system through next week, but the pattern is going to skew milder over the final few weeks of the month. Watch these big shots of milder temps try to fight off colder shots diving in from the north:

Obviously, that’s a very active setup, with storm systems crossing the country:

Is this the famed January thaw setting up? That seems like a realistic possibility, but if it’s just a thaw, it means more winter will follow that. My winter forecast of a milder February isn’t too happy with the long-term prospects I’m seeing. That said, it’s loving the front-loaded winter we have had to this point. 🙂

Have a great day and take care.

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From bitter cold to a slow thaw

Good Wednesday to one and all. We are dealing with another bitterly cold day across Kentucky, but we will slowly climb out of the deep freeze later this week and the weekend.

Morning temps are within a few degrees of zero in many areas, making this a brutally cold start to the day. Afternoon highs reach the teens, with the potential for a few snow showers and flurries:

Temps slowly rebound later in the week. with an outside chance at a high of 60 by Sunday. That’s ahead of a potent cold front, bringing rain our way:

Seasonally cold air comes in behind that early next week, with another system trying to swing in behind it:

The pattern should be trending milder over the next few weeks, but the European model doesn’t really want a lot of that. It has an interesting look late next week:

 

When a winter gets going like this one, it can be hard to completely flip a switch to turn it off, even if the global signals are there.

Have a great day and take care.

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Winter storm warning

Good Tuesday, everyone. A winter storm warning is out for much of Central Kentucky through the afternoon, with a winter weather advisory out for eastern parts of the state.

 

We might see Eastern Kentucky upgraded to a warning soon, as similar snows sweep through. This slow-moving band of snow is producing 4 inches or more of snow in some areas, with the bitterly cold air really enhancing the ratios. A few pockets of 6-inch snowfall will show up with such a slow-mover.

The bitter cold also is a huge player. Many areas will struggle to get to 10 degrees in the afternoon, with temps well below zero possible tonight. Wind chills are even colder and in the danger category.

Wednesday will find a few snow showers and flurries on the move, with highs in the teens.

Here are your tracking tools for Tuesday’s snow in the central and east:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road

Winchester

Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Bardstown

I-65 MP 92.4
Elizabethtown

Louie B Nunn MP 3
Near Glasgow
Louie B Nunn MP 3

Have a good one and take care.

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Tracking snow and bitter cold

Good Tuesday, everyone. Our arctic front continues to slowly press across the region, bringing a band of snow and bitter cold. This snow band means business, creating snow-covered roads for many

Here’s a breakdown:

  • Light snow continues to press across Central and Eastern Kentucky, reaching far southeastern Kentucky Tuesday morning.
  • Bands of moderate snow are setting up within the overall band, putting down streaks of heavier totals.
  • Most areas finish with 1 to 4 inches of snow, with locally higher amounts possible. The higher amounts might show up in a streak from the Lexington area, southwest toward Bowling Green. Another could show up in the far southeast.
  • Bitterly cold air moves, in with temps staying at 10 to 15 degrees for much of the day. Lows by Wednesday morning will reach zero or below in some areas. Wind chills will be below zero.
  • The cold slowly lets go later in the week, with milder weather for the weekend. Rain also moves in by Sunday.

I have you all set to do some arctic snow tracking on this Tuesday:

Let’s get you back to the tracking toys…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road

Winchester

Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Bardstown

I-65 MP 92.4
Elizabethtown

Louie B Nunn MP 3
Near Glasgow
Louie B Nunn MP 3

Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62

Paducah

I-24 MP 7 @ US62

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

Make it a good one and take care.

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Winter weather advisory

Good Monday, everyone. We have rounds of snow moving across the region on this MLK holiday. The snows will cause slick travel, as another round of bitterly cold air presses in behind an arctic front.

A Winter weather advisory is out for much of the region.

The first surge of light snow moves in this morning across the western, central and northern parts of the state.

Once that passes through, the arctic front dives in from the northwest Monday afternoon and evening. That will have a nice band of snow along and behind it. Much of the state picks up a general 1″-3″ through Tuesday morning. That front will slow down across the southeast, potentially leading to some enhanced snows that can exceed 3″.

Travel conditions go downhill quickly, especially with the band of snow behind the front.

Temps tank on Tuesday with readings in the low and middle teens, and wind chills around zero or below. The models underplayed the cold on the snowpack this morning, and will likely do it again in the coming days. Still, they are already seeing zero or below numbers:

Wind chill numbers will be way below zero at times from Tuesday through Wednesday.

The bitter cold eases later in the week, with a big mild surge on the way for the weekend. That’s when temps can make another run at the 60s:

That’s ahead of another cold front moving through here in about a week from now:

That can give us showers and storms, with flip to flakes in just a few hours time.

Let’s get back to today’s snows. I have you all set to do some tracking:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road

Winchester

Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Have a great day and take care.

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Arctic front on the way

Good Sunday to one and all. Frigid temps have settled back into the bluegrass state, with another surge of bitterly cold air on the way. This air comes behind an arctic front slamming in here Monday night and Tuesday.

Our day is starting out in the single digits with afternoon highs reaching the low 20s for most areas. We will have a mix of sun and clouds, with those clouds increasing in the afternoon and evening.

There’s a slight chance early on Monday, but the main snow threat arrives by Monday night and carries us into Tuesday.

The arctic front moves in with a very small wave of low pressure along it:

Those snows typically fall just behind the front and are generally widespread 1″-3″ amounts, with locally higher amounts in the mountains. Winds of 30mph will accompany the front, blowing the arctic flakes around.

Bitterly cold air comes in behind this, potentially sending lows to around zero or below:

Wind chills will be solidly below zero for a few days:

For those of you who follow me, you know it’s not too far away from the time of the year when I become a full blown spring fan. I start looking for warm ups and there is another coming by next weekend, but it doesn’t last too long:

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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Winter storm moves away

Good Saturday, everyone. Our winter storm is pulling on out of town, leaving behind snow and ice covered roads to start the weekend. Frigid temps are following in behind this system, with bitterly cold air on the way in the week ahead.

The transition from rain to snow took a little longer than anticipated, cutting down on snow totals in some areas. Still, several inches of snow fell on top of ice, giving us one ugly travel setup. Gusty winds also continue to blow the snows around early today.

Here are your travel trackers:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road

Winchester

Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Leftover flurries continue today as highs only reach the low 20s. Single digit lows show up by Sunday morning with temps back in the low 20s for highs.

An arctic front moves in late on our MLK holiday, bringing accumulating snows back to the region:

Bitterly cold temps come in behind that, with the potential for thermometers to head to zero or below in some areas:

Make it a great day and take care.

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