November temps on the way

Good Wednesday to one and all. Our warm and dry weather is about to become a thing of the past. A major blast of chilly air will arrive later Friday as a powerful cold front swings in from the northwest.

Between now and then, things continue to look nice. Highs today will hit the mid and upper 70s under a partly sunny sky. Low 80s and gusty winds will rule our Thursday forecast as clouds increase. There’s a small threat for a late day shower or thunderstorm.

Showers and storms become widespread on Friday as the front reaches our region:

GFS Heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be common on Friday as temps drop more than 20 degrees from early afternoon into the evening.

Even colder air filters in for Saturday:

GFS 2

Gusty winds will continue and I can’t rule out a stray shower or two going up on that northwesterly flow. Temps on Saturday may not get out of the low and middle 50s for highs. The GFS is cold for this time of year:

GFS 2

Lows by Sunday morning will drop deep into the 30s and that could deliver some patchy frost.

Another chilly shower maker moves in on Monday:

GFS 3That could knock lows by Tuesday even lower into the 30s.

As I said… this is a taste of November in early October. Make it a great day and take care.

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Cold air coming this weekend

Good Tuesday, gang. While we enjoy another nice weather day, I’m focusing on some big changes moving in for the weekend. The coldest air of the young season looks to come thundering in behind a strong cold front.

That front arrives on Friday with widespread showers and thunderstorms working in from the west. The European Model continues to show a lot of wind to go along with the rain:

Euro That looks ugly for the opening day of the fall meet at Keeneland. Temps should start in the low 70s, but drop quickly as the front passes. Low and mid 50s should be common for high school football fans.

The air grows even colder for Saturday:

Euro 6That’s a map straight out of November and may keep highs from reaching 60 degrees. The Cats game at Commonwealth Stadium will be a very chilly one. Temps will be in the low and mid 50s at kickoff and then drop into the upper 40s by the 4th quarter.

Check out how far below normal the numbers are:

Euro 4Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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Chilly changes later this week

Good Monday to one and all. We have more in the way of warmer than normal temperatures for the next few days. Get out there and enjoy it because some big changes push in by the end of the week. That will lead us into a VERY chilly first weekend of October.

Highs today will generally run in the upper 70s across much of central and eastern Kentucky. A stray shower or two will be possible in the bluegrass region, with a better chance in the south and east.

Current Temperatures

Highs will be right around the 80 degree mark for Tuesday into Wednesday. Winds will begin to increase from the southwest and those winds may howl on Thursday. That’s when a powerful cold front edges in from the west.

That front should bring a big increase in shower and thunderstorm action late in the day and that looks to carry us into Friday.

Here’s how the European Model sees it:

EuroThat’s a big blast of wind that shows up along and behind the front as colder air swings in. That doesn’t bode well for the opening day of the Keeneland Fall Meet on Friday. I will continue to update that forecast based on the timing of the front.

Highs by Saturday may not get out of the low 60s with the chance for a stray shower. Temps will be in the 50s for kickoff of the Cats game at Commonwealth Stadium Saturday evening.

This is leading us into a pattern that features overall dips in the jet stream over the next few weeks:

GFSMake it a great Monday and take care.

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Scattered showers for a few areas

Good Sunday, everyone. The past few weeks have been very, very dry across central and eastern Kentucky. That’s not a bad thing considering how wet our summer was. This recent dry spell will continue for much of the region, but some scattered showers will come calling over the next few days.

Much of the shower action will be across the south and southeast through Monday. Isolated showers may reach as far north and west as the Lexington metro. With a few more clouds around, temps will be a little cooler than the past few days.

Current temperatures

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

Windy and warm weather returns by the middle of the week as our winds crank from the southwest. This is just ahead of a very strong cold front that plows into town by Thursday night and Friday:

GFS

Gusty winds and a line of showers and thunderstorms will be with us during this time. The air behind that front is MUCH colder and may push our highs into the low and mid 60s for Saturday and Sunday.

The GFS Ensembles give us a colder look than what they were showing us yesterday:

GFS 2That will make for a very chilly first weekend of October here in the bluegrass state.

Before we get to there, enjoy what’s left of our final weekend of September. Take care.

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Changes on the way

Good Saturday, folks. The weather has been great, but boring, for the past couple of weeks. We have one more super-duper weather day before a few changes work in for late Sunday and Monday. This may be just the beginning of a much different pattern setting up show as we head into early October.

Highs today will hit the upper 70s to low 80s with a mix of clouds and suns.

Current Temperatures

Showers will increase from south to north on Sunday and Sunday night. This won’t be a washout with much of the action being scattered. The highest threat will be across southern and eastern Kentucky.

Temps into the middle of next week will warm into the upper 70s to around 80 as southwesterly winds gust up. This will be ahead of a strong cold front that swings in by the end of the week with showers and thunderstorms. The European Model shows the front arriving for the opening of the fall meet at Keeneland:

Euro

Much colder air then filters in behind that boundary…

GFS 3Have a great Saturday and take care.

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A warm start to the weekend

Good Friday to one and all. The final weekend of September is upon us, and Mother Nature is giving us more good weather. Temperatures will be on the warm side over the next few days. This bodes well for high school and college football fans.

Highs Friday will be close to 80 degrees. If you’re heading out to watch some high school football this evening, temps will slowly drop toward the upper 60s by late in the game.

Current temperatures

 

Saturday’s forecast continues to look very similar to Friday. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny, with a little more of a breeze kicking up. Wear the sunscreen if you’re heading to Commonwealth Stadium:

SPECIAL 2There will be a few clouds sneaking in during the afternoon and evening as moisture streams in from the south. This is from a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico that slowly lifts to the north late Sunday and Monday.

The models aren’t as certain as before with the chances of rain, but they do show some scattered showers sneaking in. Here’s the NAM future radar by Sunday evening.:

NAMThose could carry us into Monday as this system passes mainly to our south and east. Another blast of windy and warm weather pushes in for the first few days of October, but a big cold front might put an end to all that by next weekend.

Have a great day and take care.

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Great weather heading into the weekend

Good Thursday, everyone. Our fantastic fall weather pattern keeps rolling along in Central and Eastern Kentucky. That looks to take us into much of the weekend, but I am tracking some damp changes by early next week.

There really isn’t anything to add to the great forecast for Thursday and Friday. Things are about as nice as it can possibly get, with highs in the mid- and upper 70s and lows from the upper 40s to the low 50s.

Current temperatures

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

Saturday will feature a little high clouds, but the weather looks good for folks heading to Commonwealth Stadium:

SPECIAL 2

Sunday should start dry, but clouds and a few showers might show up by the end of the day. The rain chances then increase Monday as moisture increases from the south:

GFS A few showers might linger Tuesday as that system passes to our east. The pattern looks calm for the middle of the week, but a slow-moving cold front might approach by next weekend.

The GFS ensembles show a much colder setup behind this front:

GFS 2Have a wonderful Thursday and take care.

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More of the same

Good Wednesday, everyone. I don’t have enough words to describe how awesome the weather is across our region. Sunny and mild afternoons with clear and crisp nights are making for a perfect period of fall weather.

Highs today will hit the middle 70s across most of central and eastern Kentucky. We should do that a little better with upper 70s for Thursday and Friday. Lows will hit the upper 40s to lower 50s.

How about the weekend? That continues to look pretty darn good with upper 70s to around 80 on Saturday. This is wonderful news for Wildcat fans heading out to Commonwealth Stadium to watch the Cats and the Commodores.

Sunday will see some clouds increasing as a system from the Gulf of Mexico begins to roll our way. The European Model is pretty enthusiastic with the rain chances into early next week:

Euro The focus will then turn toward a strong cold front barreling our way in the first few days of October:

Euro 2

That could bring another round of showers and thunderstorms with a big temperature drop to follow.

Enjoy the day and take care.

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Great weather continues across Kentucky

Good Tuesday, folks. The first day of fall is off and running with much colder than normal temperatures across our region. This is also a very boring time of year in the world of weather. But, boring for me means it’s good for you.

Temps are the big story of the morning as many areas start in the 40-45 degree range. That’s the coldest we’ve been since back in springtime. Afternoon readings will top out in the upper 60s with another big blue sky and plenty of sunshine.

Current temperatures

The rest of the week continues to look amazing with high pressure ruling our weather from the northeast:

http://kyweathercenter.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Special-2.png

Highs will run in the 70s with overnight lows dropping into the upper 40s to low 50s. That nice weather should hang around into the start of the weekend and that bodes well for the Cats game at home.

The pattern will begin to change a bit as we head into late Sunday and Monday. This is when a system from the Gulf tries to work our way:

GFSThe track of that system could bring some decent rains our way during this time.

Have a terrific Tuesday and take care.

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Fall arrives with a chill in the air

Good Monday to one and all. Fall officially arrives at 10:29 p.m. Monday, and we’re marking its arrival with some chilly weather. This fall air kicks off a very nice week of weather across the commonwealth.

Highs Monday will hit the mid- and upper 60s across most of our region, with a mix of sun and clouds and gusty winds.

Current temperatures

Clearing skies and calm winds will allow for temps to tank by Tuesday morning. Many of the models continue to show some of the traditional cold spots close to 40 degrees. Here’s the Hi-Res NAM temperature forecast:

NAM 2

Again, to get numbers that low, we will need skies to be totally clear and for the winds to go completely calm. Regardless, Tuesday morning will be a chilly one across the area.

Afternoon highs will hit the upper 60s for most of Central and Eastern Kentucky as we continue with sunny skies.

Highs will hit the 70s from Wednesday through Friday, with mainly sunny skies. Mild afternoons and cool nights will make for another prolonged period of pleasant fall weather.

The pattern starts to change over the weekend. That’s when we watch for a possible system developing in the Gulf of Mexico. This could bring some rain our way by late weekend or early next week. The GFS Model is keying in on Sunday:

GFS 2Until then, the weather is gorgeous. Have a magnificent Monday and take care.

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