A summer blast starts September

Good Tuesday, folks. We have a a nice little blast of late summer across Central and Eastern Kentucky as we begin September. Temps look to stay on the steamy side all the way through Labor Day weekend.

The forecast over the next seven days is pretty straightforward:

  • Daytime highs will range from the mid- to upper 80s
  • Overnight lows will drop into the middle 60s
  • Humidity will increase and give us quite the muggy feel
  • A daily threat for scattered showers and storms will be with us

The most likely chance of scattered storms might come Wednesday. That’s when the high-resolution NAM shows a little complex of boomers diving in from the north:

NAM

The University of Kentucky kicks off the football season in a renovated Commonwealth Stadium on Saturday night, and things look steamy. Tailgating temps will be in the mid- and upper 80s with a small chance of a storm. Kickoff temps will be near 80, dropping into the upper 70s during the second half.

I leave you with your daily dose of radars to track any boomer that occurs:

 

 

Enjoy the day and take care.

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Summer is back through Labor Day

Good Monday to one and all. As hard as it is to believe, we’re putting the finishing touches on the month of August. Overall, this month has been cooler and drier than normal across much of our region.

That said, summer isn’t giving up, as we have a nice period of very warm weather to take us through Labor Day weekend. Higher humidity also will return, and we will see a daily threat of a shower or thunderstorm.

You’re not going to see rain every day, by a long shot. But the potential is there through the weekend.

The Kentucky Wildcats kick off a new football season Saturday at newly renovated Commonwealth Stadium. Highs will be in the 80s for tailgaters, and we should see temps dropping into the 70s during the 7 p.m. game. There will be a small chance of scattered storms.

A cold front moves our way late Labor Day and Tuesday. This front should cause showers and storms to increase:

GFS

Much cooler air should come in behind that boundary for the middle and end of next week. This could be the beginning of a cooler than normal pattern that builds in for the middle of September:

CFS

Until then, it’s pretty steamy.

That steam can lead to scattered storms, and I have you set to track whatever is out there Monday:

 

 

Make it a great Monday and take care.

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August ends with steam and scattered storms

Good Sunday to one and all. August is quickly running out of days, and wouldn’t you know it, the final few days of the month finally feel the part. Our great stretch of fall weather is over, and it’s back to reality for a while. Steamy weather and scattered storms look to dominate the pattern through Labor Day weekend.

We have a weak disturbance cruising into the region from the south. This is giving us better coverage of the showers and storms out there today. This is not going to be a washout, but a few outdoor plans might foiled by Mother Nature.

Similar conditions will be around Monday with highs in the 80s.

This type of pattern gives us very warm air, higher humidity and a daily threat of a scattered storm. It’s not going to rain every day where you live. Scattered is the word of the week for storms.

As warm as it will be here, the real heat will be to our west and north:

Euro 2

As mentioned, this setup should carry us into the big holiday weekend and the kickoff of the college football season.

Changes are already showing up just beyond Labor Day. Watch how all the warm air gets replaces by cooler numbers:

Euro 3

This later summer and early sall pattern looks very similar to the past two years at this same time.

I leave you with some Sunday storm trackers:

 

 

Have a great day and take care.

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Higher humidity leads to storms

Good Saturday to one and all. Typical late August weather is returning to central and eastern Kentucky this weekend. Humidity levels and temps are both on the rise and this combo will help crank out scattered showers and thunderstorms.

We will see a storm or two going up out there today with readings ranging from 80-85.

A better threat for scattered showers and storms will be around on Sunday as a system moves in from the south. The future radar from the NAM shows the increase in action:

NAMTemps will likely come down some compared to what we have out there today. The forecast for next week continues to look like typical weather for this time of year. Warm and rather humid days with a daily threat for showers and storms.

What happens with Tropical Storm Erika? That’s the million dollar question we will have to answer this weekend .

Let’s get you set to track the weather we have out there today:

 

 

Have a great day and take care.

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Storm chances increase this weekend

Good Friday to one and all. We’ve had quite the fall weather ride across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This is among the cooler weeks you will ever find around here in August. Things look to change a bit this weeken,d with the warmer air and some showers and storms.

Highs Friday will still be very nice, with highs in the upper 70s to near 80. This sets the stage for another great evening for high school football fans:

FootballSaturday will find highs in the low and middle 80s, with more humidity and some isolated showers and storms. The storm threat will increase Sunday as juice from the tropics tries to shoot in here.

The simulated radar from the NAM shows this well:

NAM 2That will knock our temps back several degrees.

The weather for next week looks warmer, but the overall pattern will be dictated by what happens with Tropical Storm Erika. Here’s the latest storm track from the National Hurricane Center:

Will that system have any direct impact on our weather? That remains to be seen, but these types of storms usually have an indirect impact.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Changes for the weekend

Good Thursday, everyone. Our spectacular run of early fall weather has a few more days left in the tank before some changes blow in. Those changes begin to show up over the weekend as we start to focus our attention on the tropics.

Let’s start with where we are now.

Highs Thursday will be in the pleasant mid- and upper 70s with a mix of sun and clouds.

Friday’s weather looks great, with highs in the upper 70s and a partly sunny sky. That means another winner of a forecast for high school football fans. Temps will be similar to what we had for last week’s games.

Isolated showers and storms will be possible Saturday as moisture begins to push back in. A slightly increased chance of showers and storms should be with us Sunday. That shows up well on the GFS:

GFSHighs this weekend should be in the low 80s with more humidity.

From there, it’s all about what happens with Tropical Storm Erika. This storm will probably head toward the Bahamas over the next several days and could threaten Florida as a hurricane late this weekend. Will it move across Florida and into the Gulf? What about a track up the east coast? Both options are on the table for early next week, and that will be when we know what, if any, impacts that system could have on our weather.

You can follow the storm with the latest track forecast from the National Hurricane Center:

Make it a great day and take care.

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Looking toward September

Good Wednesday to one and all. We continue to enjoy a serious taste of fall weather across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This nice air has us thinking about what could be on the way as we head into the real fall months.

September is less than a week away, and that’s the unofficial kickoff to fall. The weather this week is straight out of late September, but things do look to warm as we flip the calendar.

The latest runs of the CFS model show a slightly warmer-than-normal look for much of our region for September as a whole:

CFSThe latest run also shows wet weather returning:

CFS 2I have to admit to being torn on how I want to handle the forecast for the fall months. That said, odds favor our temps turning a little toasty at times in September before the chill returns in October.

Something else we have to focus on during this time is the tropics. Some of the latest models develop Erica and move this system into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The Canadian is the most robust with this system and even tries to bring it toward our region next week:

CanadianTake that with a grain of salt, but it does bear watching.

Have a great day and take care.

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Gorgeous fall weather continues

Good Tuesday, folks. The weather we have out there this week is about as good as you can get at any point of the year. To get this kind of fall air mass in August just makes it feel even better.

The good news is it sticks around all week long across Central and Eastern Kentucky. Daytime highs will run in the 70s, and some of the models suggest Wednesday highs struggling to get out of the low 70s:

NAM

Overnight lows will drop into the upper 40s and lower 50s through Friday. Skies during this time should be mostly clear, and that just adds to the awesomeness of the weather out there.

Subtle changes show up this weekend and early next week as a weakness in the atmosphere develops. This basically means we could see a bit of a pipeline develop from the Gulf of Mexico into our region. That could allow for scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop.

You can see that showing up on the European Model rainfall forecast:

Euro

Temps will come up somewhat during that time, but they should stay a little below normal as we get ready to close out the month of August.

Warmer air looks to try and fight in for Labor Day weekend, and that’s something I will focus more on in the coming days.

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.

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The coolest week since spring

Good Monday, folks. We are kicking off the coolest week of weather around here since spring. August has given us several shots of fall-like weather, but this week is the coolest of them all.

A cold front is moving through early Monday, with cooler and drier air blowing in. Highs will be in the 70s after we start the day in the upper 50s to low 60s.

The pattern from there features a huge area of high pressure across our region:

Special 2That flow is a very cool one for Kentucky and much of the eastern half of the country. Highs over the next several days should stay in the 70s under mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows can really tank. Our first taste of lows in the 40s will be likely:

GFS Temps

This nice weather should carry us into the start of the upcoming weekend. That’s when highs should finally return to the low 80s. Even those numbers would be a littler cooler than normal.

Make it a great Monday and take care.

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Tracking another fall blast

Good Sunday, everyone. We have another strong cold front getting ready to sweep across the bluegrass state. This bad boy will usher in another big blast of fall weather for the week ahead. This may be some of the coolest air we’ve had around here since late Spring!

Highs today will be in the low and middle 80s on a gusty southwesterly wind. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will go up along and ahead of our front. That boundary arrives later tonight into early Monday with much cooler air following it.

Highs Monday will only be in the 70s and that’s a sign of things to come with a sprawling area of Canadian high pressure moving in:

Euro

Highs through Thursday should generally range from the mid to upper 70s on a gusty northwesterly wind. Overnight lows will drop as low as the upper 40s in some of our traditional cool spots. Wow!

The latest run of the CFS strongly suggests the rest of the month averages solidly below normal:

CFS 3

In the shorter term, let’s track any storms that go up out there today:

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Have a great day and take care.

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