Scattered storms start the new week

Good Monday, gang. June is quickly running out of days as we get ready to flip the calendar later this week, and the pattern is looking a little stormy. We have some storms rumbling across parts of the region as we start the brand-new week.

These storms are rather scattered but can pack a punch. Some of the boomers might be strong and put down some very heavy rain. That’s especially the case across Eastern Kentucky into flood-weary West Virginia. Local high-water problems will be possible in these areas.

Track away:

Much cooler air works in here by the middle of the week as our skies dry up. We should see some very pleasant weather for a few days.

That could change by the Fourth of July weekend. Another stormy pattern tries to develop across our part of the world. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms could move through the region during this time. Here’s the setup we will have to watch out for:

Special 2

Have a great day and take care.

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Storms usher in some cooler temps

Good Sunday, folks. It’s a hot and humid end to the weekend across our part of the world. Luckily, the heat isn’t locking in for the long haul as cooler days are on the way. This pattern will likely be introduced by additional showers and thunderstorms.

Highs today will reach 90-95 degrees across much of central and eastern Kentucky. Throw in the humidity, and you can get the heat index to reach 100 degrees. Scattered thunderstorms will also be possible before the day is over:

A strong cold front moves our way on Monday, and will increase the risk of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms can be strong or locally severe:

Euro

These storms may also pack enough rain to cause some local high water issues, especially in the eastern part of the state.

Much cooler air then starts to move in with readings going below normal for the middle and end of the week. That cooler than normal air may hang around into the 4th of July weekend. Here’s a look at the 5 day temperature departure from the Ensembles:

GFS Temps

Enjoy your Sunday and take care.

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Heat and humidity return

Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. Hot and humid weather is back in the bluegrass state, and looks to hang tough through the weekend. The good news is, this pattern looks to break pretty quickly into early next week.

Highs today will range from the upper 80s to low 90s across much of central and eastern Kentucky. There is a small threat for a shower or thunderstorm going up in the afternoon.

90-95 degree high temps are a good bet on Sunday as humidity levels increase. Heat index values may reach 100 degrees. Once again, a scattered shower or thunderstorm can go up during the afternoon and evening.

Showers and storms will increase Sunday night and Monday as a cold front drops in from the northwest:

GFS 2

The models are advertising a much cooler pattern taking shape behind this front. Check out the cooler than normal area settling into our region for the middle of the week:

Canadian

This may come as another system moves in with additional showers and thunderstorms possible.

Have a great Saturday and stay cool.

Take care.

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Hot weather for the weekend

Good Friday, everyone. Our run of stormy days is coming to an end, and much hotter weather is on the way for the weekend. Highs could make a run toward 95 degrees.

Friday, though, will be a much better day. Highs will generally run in the middle 80s in much of the region. There is a small chance of  a shower or thunderstorm across the southeast.

The heat quickly works in from southwest to northeast this weekend. Highs hit the 90s with an increase in humidity. Heat index values will hit 100+ by Sunday:

GFS TEMPS 1

A heat index of 110 is possible across the southwestern parts of the state. Ouch.

Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will be around this weekend, with an increase in storm chances. According to the models, and we have heard this before, the pattern tries to turn cooler, with troughs digging into the east:

GFS

The start of July:

GFS 2

Have a great day and take care.

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Severe weather tracker

Good Thursday, everyone. We have rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms continuing to take aim at our region. This action might become more widespread than what we have seen in recent days.

A wave of severe thunderstorms might affect parts of Central and Eastern Kentucky early Thursday. This could be a big-time wind maker across the region, with the worst just to our north and east.

Skies clear by early afternoon with highs in the low 90s. Winds will be very gusty ahead of a line of thunderstorms developing across the north. That line might become severe, with damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes.

In addition to the severe threat, heavy rain might cause more flash-flooding.

It’s another day to keep a very close eye on the sky, and on the blog. I have it all set for your severe weather tracking needs:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking more severe weather

Good Wednesday to one and all. Rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms continue to target Central and Eastern Kentucky. This action is likely to threaten the region through Thursday.

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect:

 

  • Watch the northwestern sky for clusters of strong to severe storms diving into Central and Eastern Kentucky on Wednesday.
  • Similar to what the NAM is showing:

NAM

  • The potential for a more widespread event is there for Thursday as a line of thunderstorms develops and drops in from the north:

GFS

  • Damaging winds continue to be the main severe weather threat with all the storms that blow through here.
  • Torrential rains are also likely, and this could cause local flash flooding.

I have you all set to do some severe weather tracking:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Strong to severe storms possible

Good Tuesday to one and all. We are back into a rather stormy pattern across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This pattern may deliver rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms over the next several days.

Here’s a breakdown of the next few days:

– A cold front dives in Tuesday, with showers and storms developing from north to south. Some could be severe, especially along and south of Interstate 64.

– Clusters of strong to severe storms develop to our northwest on Wednesday. These could roll toward the southeast and into our region.

– Another cold front moves in with the potential for a line of strong to severe storms.

We should catch a break in the storms by Friday, with hot and humid air lurking for the weekend. That should also be accompanied by scattered storms.

As usual, I have the blog all set to track this potential:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Storms on the way

Good Monday, folks. Here’s hoping this blog update finds each of you enjoying life to the fullest. We’re coming off a very nice weekend across our part of the world, but things are about to take a turn toward the stormy side of things.

In the near-term, only a scattered shower or storm is likely out there Monday. Highs will range from the upper 80s to near 90, with an increase in humidity.

Clusters of showers and thunderstorms will take aim at the region over the next few days.  The first round comes Tuesday, as a cold front moves in from the northwest. That front slams on the brakes and allows additional rounds of storms to develop along it:

Canadian

Ground zero for the worst of the storms should be the Ohio Valley:

Special 2

Depending on exactly where this corridor sets up, severe weather will be possible across Central and Eastern Kentucky. The best chance would be Wednesday and Thursday.

That’s something to keep a close eye on in the coming days, and that’s exactly what I will be doing.

Have a magnificent Monday and take care.

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The week ahead in weather

Good Sunday and Happy Father’s Day to all our dads out there. The weather today is looking great for a little cookout as sunny skies roll on. I do have some changes to the week ahead forecast, as thunderstorms may take on a bigger role.

Highs today will be in the middle to upper 80s with sunny skies. There could be an isolated shower or storm just to our west. Something to watch.

Readings may flirt with 90 on Monday as humidity levels increase from the southwest. This may also be able to spawn isolated showers or thunderstorms going up in the afternoon.

Thunderstorm chances really increase by Tuesday as a cold front drops in from the northwest:

GFS

That front then slows down across our region with a wave of low pressure developing along it. That should increase showers and thunderstorms across our part of the world.

We find the GFS and European Models in good overall agreement on this. Here’s the GFS:

GFS 2

The European Model:

Euro

If those are accurate, heavy rains would be a possibility. Temps for the middle and end of the week look normal to below normal for the bluegrass state.

Make it a great Father’s Day and take care.

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A better brand of air

Good Saturday, everyone. We are getting in on some awesome weather across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This better brand of air looks to hang around through the weekend, and it means you should really get out and enjoy it.

If anything, the air on the way next week could be even better!

Highs Saturday will be in the 80- to 85-degree range for much of the region. Humidity will be low, with mostly sunny skies.

Sunday looks warmer, with highs in the mid- and upper 80s as the sun hangs tough. We have a possible high of 90 on Monday, but a strong cold front gets ready to take control by Tuesday:

GFS

Showers and thunderstorms will usher in much cooler air across the eastern half of the country. Look at how much real estate will be below normal:

GFS TEMPS 1

That could give us a couple days with afternoon highs in the upper 70s. Lows by Thursday morning might hit 50 or lower across the eastern half of the state:

GFS TEMPS 2

I will take that and run with it.

Make it a great day and take care.

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