The chill is back in the bluegrass

Good Thursday, everyone. It’s the unwanted gift that keeps on giving… Cold weather is back in central and eastern Kentucky. This won’t be as cold as what we had a few days ago, but it’s a harsh reminder that true spring isn’t ready to settle in just yet.

Temps this morning are in the 30s, but should hit the upper 40s to near 50 for much of the region. Clouds will be stubborn and there’s even a chance for some sprinkles or flurries early today:

As those skies clear up tonight, it sets the stage for ANOTHER freeze. Lows by Friday morning will be in the upper 20s for many:

Afternoon temps will warm into the upper 50s to low 60s, but that’s still well below where we should be for this time of year. Keep in mind, normal highs are now approaching 70 degrees.

The weekend will be dry to start, with the chance for rain to move in later Sunday. That comes from a slow-moving southern system rolling along the deep south. It gets close enough to throw some rain our way:

That keeps temps below normal, with an even colder blast potentially impacting our weather by the middle of next week.

Make it a great Thursday and take care.

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Another cold front blows in

Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s a windy and warm day taking shape, but this isn’t going to last very long. A cold front is on the way this evening, bringing another shot of chill to the region for Thursday. Yes, I know what you’re thinking… Sigh.

Strong southwesterly winds will boost our temps into the 70s today:

I could see eastern Kentucky flirting with 80 degrees on that gusty southwest wind.

This is ahead of a fast-moving cold front zipping in from the northwest this evening. A broken band of showers and thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the front:

Here’s regional radar to track whatever fires up:

That’s a big wind maker blowing through, with an outside shot at some morning snow flurries on Thursday. Don’t put away those winter coats because highs may stay in the low 40s for some:

Temps slowly rebound from Friday into Saturday and may get closer to normal. Our weekend system continues to trend much farther to the south and may not have much of a wet weather impact on our region. If that’s the case, our temps may be within the normal range into early next week.

Still, the setup through the end of the month is skewed colder than normal overall. The CFS through April 3oth:

It’s interesting to note how the model is trying to flip a warmer switch for the month of May:

Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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Chillier than normal pattern remains

Good Tuesday, folks. We have a better looking day taking shape across much of our region, but the overall pattern continues to be skewed colder than normal. We also continue to track a fairly active setup.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. We start with temps in the 20s and end with thermometers making a run at 60 degrees. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny.

Highs by Wednesday may sneak into the low 70s. That comes as our winds become westerly then southwesterly, ushering in a mild day:

That’s ahead of another system coming in Wednesday night. This could touch off a broken band of showers and storms:

Much colder air comes back into play on Thursday. Readings may not get out of the 40s for highs.

The next storm system still looks to arrive later this weekend. It’s a bowling ball looking storm, with Kentucky as one of the pins:

The overall pattern across much of the country continues to be skewed colder than normal through the rest of the month. Here’s the CFS through the final day of April:

With normal temps continuing to climb with each passing day, below normal doesn’t mean true winter stuff, it just means ugly for this time of year. Some milder days will be noted, but you get the idea about the overall picture.

Have a great day and take care.

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Snow showers start the week

Good Monday, everyone. It’s the 16th day of April and Old Man Winter is hanging on across our part of the world. Another round of snow showers and flurries is with us to start the new week. I know, I know… ENOUGH! 🙁

Today’s snow showers are coming in behind a HUGE storm system to our northeast. Check out how massive this thing is:

Some light coatings are possible on elevated surfaces, but most of the flakes should be melting. Highs  will only be in the upper 30s and low 40s, but wind chills may stay below freezing for much of the day.

Another hard freeze is on the way for Monday night and Tuesday morning as temps drop into the middle and upper 20s. Milder winds will boost afternoon temps into the 60s for most areas, setting the stage for a windy and mild Wednesday:

Those 70s are in front of another cold front dropping in Wednesday night. That may touch off scattered showers and storms, but the big news will be the temp drop coming behind it. Highs on Thursday may be nearly 30 degrees colder:

Temps will rebound a bit behind that to start the weekend, but another slow-moving storm looks to roll across the region. Here’s an animation showing both systems to impact our weather over the next week:

That could bring some more ugly weather our way. But, we have some ugly already going on today. Here are your tracking toys:

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

 

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road

Winchester

Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Heavy rain to snowflakes

Good Sunday to one and all. Our weekend is wrapping up with a local high water threat across parts of the region. Once the rains shut off, a big surge of winter weather moves in to start the new week. Yippee! 🙁

Today is starting with very heavy rains, leading to the potential for local high water, especially across central and south central Kentucky. This is with a slow-moving band of rain working across the region.

The rains will slow down from west to east this afternoon, with the rays of late day sun a possibility. Temps will drop into the upper 40s and low 50s as a strong northwesterly wind sets in.

That same wind may touch off numerous snow showers and flurries by late tonight into Monday. There’s even the chance for a rooftop coating:

Highs on Monday may struggle to get out of the upper 30s in many areas. Tomorrow is the 16th day of April and we are talking about snow and temps that may not get out of the 30s. Let that one sink in.

After a below freezing start to your Tuesday, temps rebound into the low 60s for highs. Another weak cold front will make a run at us by late Wednesday, knocking temps down some for the rest of the week.

Let’s get back to what we have out there today. I have you all set to track whatever comes your way:

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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Tracking strong storms and heavy rain

Good Saturday, everybody. It’s a very active weather weekend taking shape for central and eastern Kentucky. Rounds of showers and strong storms are rolling across the state, bringing the potential for high winds, hail and flooding rains.

The Storm Prediction Center has much of the area in a low-end risk for true severe storms today and tonight:

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect this weekend:

  • One round of storms moves in early today, weakening as it moves east.
  • A break in the action will follow, with temps surging deep into the 70s on a strong southwesterly wind.
  • Showers and strong storms will then develop across the west and slowly move eastward this evening into the overnight.
  • Damaging winds and large hail are possible with the strongest storms.
  • Heavy rainfall of 1″-3″ will be possible across parts of central Kentucky, especially.
  • The heavy rain will slowly taper off on Sunday as colder air surges in here.
  • Northwesterly winds will then produce rain and snow showers on Monday. Highs may not get out of the upper 30s.

I have you all set to track today’s stormy weather:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Storms for the weekend

Good Friday to one and all. It’s another awesome April day across central and eastern Kentucky, but some ugly is lurking for the weekend. That’s when rounds of showers and storms rumble across our part of the world.

Temps out there today can make a run at 80 degrees on a strong southwesterly wind. Gusts may reach 40mph at times.

From here, it’s all about a wild weekend of weather. We have heavy rain, strong storms, high winds and a huge temp crash on the way. That temp drop may even throw a few flakes our way by Monday.

Our first line of storms works into western Kentucky tonight and rolls eastward into Saturday morning. There’s a chance for some of the storms to be strong or severe today in the west:

The initial line of storms should weaken some as it rolls into central and eastern Kentucky, but it may still produce high winds through early Saturday afternoon. We are going to see several dry hours on Saturday, but another round of big storms develops on top of by the evening.

There’s the risk of some severe weather across much of the region during this time:

Damaging wind appears to be the primary threat with any storms that go up through early Sunday. Here’s the Sunday severe weather risk area:

Much colder air flows in by late Sunday and takes us into Monday. That’s when rain and snow showers will be possible:

A quick rebound in thermometers will follow that by the middle of the week:

Here are your Friday tracking toys to follow the storms to our west:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great one and take care.

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Spring temps set up some spring storms

Good Thursday, everyone. Mild air has taken control of the pattern for a few days, but my focus is now on the weekend and the increasing storms threat. It’s a setup that could bring a lot of wind and rain to the bluegrass state.

Before we get to that, temps hit the 70s today and Friday on a strong southwesterly wind. Gusts may reach 40mph at times.

Saturday continues to look mild, but a huge system will be working slowly in from the west. This will touch off the potential for strong to severe storms Saturday into Saturday night:

Our weekend storm system will bring the first round of showers and storms into western Kentucky by Friday night. Strong to severe storms are very possible. That line works eastward into Saturday morning, with additional heavy rain and storms developing later in the day. That action continues into Sunday:

We will need to be on guard for the potential for high water issues developing. Check out the rain numbers now showing up on the GFS:

Winds will also be a huge player through the entire weekend.

Much colder air then comes into play late Sunday into Monday. That strong northwesterly wind may also spit out some rain and snow showers on Monday:

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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Spring gets serious for a few days

Good Wednesday to one and all. Our temperatures are FINALLY starting to warm, with readings heading toward late May levels for a few days. Let’s make sure to enjoy it, because storms and colder weather are ready to crash back in. Sigh.

Temps out there today will be in the 60-65 degree range for many. Skies should feature some clouds and sun battling it out.

Low and middle 70s settle in for Thursday, with Friday looking even warmer. That’s when temps make a run at 80 on a strong southwesterly wind. That wind is ahead of a potent storm system rolling into Kentucky for the upcoming weekend.

The upper levels are loaded with energy and may very well close off on top of us this weekend and early next week. The end result at the surface is for two potent storm systems to develop. The first hangs to our west, dragging a front into the region later Saturday. That may have strong or severe storms ahead of it. As the upper levels close off, another low develops near us, keeping the heavy rain threat going:

That could be a big time wind maker for our part of the world! You can also see how the cold air comes in behind that system by late Sunday or Monday. There’s a chance for a few flakes to fly around here during this time:

Check out the Monday afternoon highs on The European:

The rest of April continues to look active with cold shots dueling it out with increasing shots of spring. The end result could mean additional big storm systems.

Make it a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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A big warm up for the rest of the week

Good Tuesday, everyone. We have another chilly day out there, but things are about to take a turn for the better. It’s a much milder pattern settling in for the rest of the week, but it could lead us back into some big storms. At this point, I think most people will make that trade.

Highs on this Tuesday reach the upper 40s to low 50s, with just a small chance for showers.

Wednesday sees our temps taking off as your car thermometer hits the 60s. Southwest winds will then kick into high gear Thursday and Friday, bringing 70s into the region. There’s even the chance for 80 to show up on Friday.

That is ahead of a powerful plains storm system, slowly rolling toward the bluegrass state over the weekend. That can bring rounds of strong to severe storms, and heavy rains into the region:

Colder weather comes in behind this, but a quick rebound is likely early next week. Still, we are seeing the cold shots outweighing the warm shots through the rest of the month.

The GFS Ensembles 5 day temp departures from April 19-24th are impressive:

The CFS average temp anomalies for the rest of April as a whole are not good:

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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