Good Sunday to one and all. Things are looking rather dreary out there today as rain and a few flakes roll across the region. This leads us into a pattern that takes on a big time winter look in the week ahead.
Let’s start with today and roll forward. Light rain will be noted from time to time and could mix with a wet snowflake to start the day. Highs will generally range in the upper 30s to low 40s. Track away:
Nothing has changed with my thoughts on the arctic front arriving Wednesday night. We have to watch for a weak wave of low pressure developing along this boundary. The Canadian shows this:
So does the European Model:
That would mean a band of light snow behind the front with snow showers and some flurries behind it into later Thursday and Friday. This is some VERY cold air coming into the region. 850mb temps as low as -22c:
Highs in the low and mid 20s with lows deep into the teens. Wind chills make it feel much, much colder.
The stage is then set for another system to work in from the west and into the Tennessee Valley by next weekend. That is usually a good snow track for our region. Here’s the Canadian:
The European Model is similar, but with a bigger storm:
Taken verbatim, both of the above models put down heavy snow across the entire state. Again, that’s a week away so take any one solution with a grain of salt. That said, the signal is strong with this one.
Have a great Sunday and take care.