Hot weather for the weekend

Good Friday, everyone. Our run of stormy days is coming to an end, and much hotter weather is on the way for the weekend. Highs could make a run toward 95 degrees.

Friday, though, will be a much better day. Highs will generally run in the middle 80s in much of the region. There is a small chance of  a shower or thunderstorm across the southeast.

The heat quickly works in from southwest to northeast this weekend. Highs hit the 90s with an increase in humidity. Heat index values will hit 100+ by Sunday:

GFS TEMPS 1

A heat index of 110 is possible across the southwestern parts of the state. Ouch.

Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will be around this weekend, with an increase in storm chances. According to the models, and we have heard this before, the pattern tries to turn cooler, with troughs digging into the east:

GFS

The start of July:

GFS 2

Have a great day and take care.

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Severe weather tracker

Good Thursday, everyone. We have rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms continuing to take aim at our region. This action might become more widespread than what we have seen in recent days.

A wave of severe thunderstorms might affect parts of Central and Eastern Kentucky early Thursday. This could be a big-time wind maker across the region, with the worst just to our north and east.

Skies clear by early afternoon with highs in the low 90s. Winds will be very gusty ahead of a line of thunderstorms developing across the north. That line might become severe, with damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes.

In addition to the severe threat, heavy rain might cause more flash-flooding.

It’s another day to keep a very close eye on the sky, and on the blog. I have it all set for your severe weather tracking needs:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking more severe weather

Good Wednesday to one and all. Rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms continue to target Central and Eastern Kentucky. This action is likely to threaten the region through Thursday.

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect:

 

  • Watch the northwestern sky for clusters of strong to severe storms diving into Central and Eastern Kentucky on Wednesday.
  • Similar to what the NAM is showing:

NAM

  • The potential for a more widespread event is there for Thursday as a line of thunderstorms develops and drops in from the north:

GFS

  • Damaging winds continue to be the main severe weather threat with all the storms that blow through here.
  • Torrential rains are also likely, and this could cause local flash flooding.

I have you all set to do some severe weather tracking:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Strong to severe storms possible

Good Tuesday to one and all. We are back into a rather stormy pattern across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This pattern may deliver rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms over the next several days.

Here’s a breakdown of the next few days:

– A cold front dives in Tuesday, with showers and storms developing from north to south. Some could be severe, especially along and south of Interstate 64.

– Clusters of strong to severe storms develop to our northwest on Wednesday. These could roll toward the southeast and into our region.

– Another cold front moves in with the potential for a line of strong to severe storms.

We should catch a break in the storms by Friday, with hot and humid air lurking for the weekend. That should also be accompanied by scattered storms.

As usual, I have the blog all set to track this potential:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Storms on the way

Good Monday, folks. Here’s hoping this blog update finds each of you enjoying life to the fullest. We’re coming off a very nice weekend across our part of the world, but things are about to take a turn toward the stormy side of things.

In the near-term, only a scattered shower or storm is likely out there Monday. Highs will range from the upper 80s to near 90, with an increase in humidity.

Clusters of showers and thunderstorms will take aim at the region over the next few days.  The first round comes Tuesday, as a cold front moves in from the northwest. That front slams on the brakes and allows additional rounds of storms to develop along it:

Canadian

Ground zero for the worst of the storms should be the Ohio Valley:

Special 2

Depending on exactly where this corridor sets up, severe weather will be possible across Central and Eastern Kentucky. The best chance would be Wednesday and Thursday.

That’s something to keep a close eye on in the coming days, and that’s exactly what I will be doing.

Have a magnificent Monday and take care.

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The week ahead in weather

Good Sunday and Happy Father’s Day to all our dads out there. The weather today is looking great for a little cookout as sunny skies roll on. I do have some changes to the week ahead forecast, as thunderstorms may take on a bigger role.

Highs today will be in the middle to upper 80s with sunny skies. There could be an isolated shower or storm just to our west. Something to watch.

Readings may flirt with 90 on Monday as humidity levels increase from the southwest. This may also be able to spawn isolated showers or thunderstorms going up in the afternoon.

Thunderstorm chances really increase by Tuesday as a cold front drops in from the northwest:

GFS

That front then slows down across our region with a wave of low pressure developing along it. That should increase showers and thunderstorms across our part of the world.

We find the GFS and European Models in good overall agreement on this. Here’s the GFS:

GFS 2

The European Model:

Euro

If those are accurate, heavy rains would be a possibility. Temps for the middle and end of the week look normal to below normal for the bluegrass state.

Make it a great Father’s Day and take care.

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A better brand of air

Good Saturday, everyone. We are getting in on some awesome weather across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This better brand of air looks to hang around through the weekend, and it means you should really get out and enjoy it.

If anything, the air on the way next week could be even better!

Highs Saturday will be in the 80- to 85-degree range for much of the region. Humidity will be low, with mostly sunny skies.

Sunday looks warmer, with highs in the mid- and upper 80s as the sun hangs tough. We have a possible high of 90 on Monday, but a strong cold front gets ready to take control by Tuesday:

GFS

Showers and thunderstorms will usher in much cooler air across the eastern half of the country. Look at how much real estate will be below normal:

GFS TEMPS 1

That could give us a couple days with afternoon highs in the upper 70s. Lows by Thursday morning might hit 50 or lower across the eastern half of the state:

GFS TEMPS 2

I will take that and run with it.

Make it a great day and take care.

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A nice looking weekend ahead

Good Friday, folks. The weekend is kicking off on a much cooler note, and things may only get better from here. Plenty of sun and normal June temps are in store for the next couple of days.  Let’s break it down for you.

  • Friday will feature a mix of sun and clouds, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
  • There is the threat of a shower or storm as moisture rolls in from the east.

  • Saturday looks awesome, with plenty of sunshine and low humidity. Highs will generally range from 80 to 85. Wow!
  • Sunday looks good, but a little warmer. Highs in the mid- to upper 80s will be possible as we keep the sunshine and low humidity levels.

Highs could make a run at 90 by Monday as winds crank from the southwest. That flow is ahead of a strong cold front ready to slam in here Tuesday:

GFS

Showers and thunderstorms are likely with that front, but the big story will be the cooler air coming in behind the front. The numbers go well below normal for a few days:

GFS TEMPS 1

That could mean a few days of highs in the upper 70s. Yes, please!

Make it a fantastic Friday and take care.

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Some heat relief on the way

Good Thursday to one and all. This might wind up as the hottest day we’ve had so far this year. As highs hit the 90s, I’m tracking a much better brand of air pushing into the region for the weekend.

Highs Thursday day should reach the low 90s into much of Central and Eastern Kentucky. A high of 95 is possible across southern parts of the region. There also is the chance that a late-day shower or thunderstorm fires up.

Track away:

Cooler air blows into the region for Friday as a big storm system wraps up along the East Coast. Highs may reach only the low 80s in many areas:

GFS TEMPS 1

There still could be a leftover shower or storm across the east. That shows up well on the GFS:

GFS 2

Highs this weekend will generally run in the 80s with mostly sunny skies. Overall, that’s a pretty darn nice weekend. Lows might drop into the upper 50s in a few spots.

The heat builds back in early next week was we make another run at 90 degrees, but a cold front tries to cut the heat off:

GFS

Showers and storms may bring some much better temps back for the middle and end of next week.

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking strong storms across Kentucky

Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s shaping up to be a rather stormy day across Central and Eastern Kentucky. Rounds of thunderstorms are pushing through the state, and some of these could be strong or severe.

The air out there Wednesday is very tropical in nature and is aiding in the development of thunderstorms. This is fuel for the possible severe-weather fire.

The main threats continue to be from damaging winds and large hail. These storms will also produce prolific lightning and rain across our region. With so much moisture in the air, watch for local flash flooding.

The storms will take a break later Wednesday night and early Thursday, but another round of storms might blow through by Thursday evening.

Let’s track these rounds as they come, and I have you all set to do some tracking:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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