June ends with more rounds of storms

Good Tuesday, everyone. The month of June is wrapping up on a rather stormy note out there today. Storms have been common over the past couple of weeks and it looks like July will start out in similar fashion. Rounds of storms look to continue.

Storms today will fire up as another system dives in from the northwest. This could bring another round of strong and severe storms our way. Local high winds and hail will be possible. These storms may also cause some stream and street flooding.

Boomers will then come at us in waves over the next several days. Rainfall totals could be on the excessive side over the next week. The WPC is forecasting the heaviest amounts from the lower Ohio Valley into the Tennessee Valley:

WPCWe will have to keep a close eye on these rounds of storms.

Temps will continue to run below normal through the 4th of July. Here’s a look at the high temps from the European Model:

EuroTemps should reach normal to above normal (mid and upper 80s) into early next week. Another shot of cool looks to follow that up a few days later.

In the short-term, it’s all about tracking some more big boomers. Track away:

 

 

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Rounds of storms return

Good Monday to one and all. Rounds of showers and storms are back in the bluegrass state and this looks like another stormy week taking shape. We even run the risk for some strong or severe storms.

The action gets started out there today as a disturbance drops in from the northwest. Scattered showers and storms will blow up and a few of these could go severe. The main risk appears to be from large hail and high winds. Your tracking toys make their usual appearance in a bit.

Additional showers and storms will be around on Tuesday with highs back into the upper 70s and low 80s. Storms may increase even more from Wednesday through Friday as several systems drop in from the northwest:

Euro 2

These storms will put down some very heavy rains and could even produce some more severe weather. Will that extend into the 4th of July on Saturday? It’s possible and something I will try to hone in on over the next few days.

Temps this week continue to run below normal and that looks to be the case for the 4th:

GFS

Temps may spike a few days later, but the overall trend is back toward cooler right after that:

GFS Temps 2

Let’s get back to tracking the severe threat of today:

 

 

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

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Storms follow a sensational Sunday

Good Sunday, everyone. We have one of the nicest days of the entire year in progress with plenty of sun and pleasant temps. It goes without saying, but you really need to get out and enjoy it. Not just because of how nice it is, but because more storms are on the way to close out June.

Temps today will range from the mid to upper 70s under mainly sunny skies. It’s basically late September weather we’re having.

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I75 NB @ MP 127

US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
US60 @ US460

You will notice some high clouds moving in from the northwest late this afternoon and evening. Those clouds are ahead of a system that should bring an increase in showers and storms on Monday. That action hangs tough into Tuesday and it all shows up well on the NAM Future Radar:

NAM 2

A few of those storms could be on the strong side. Highs both days should run in the upper 70s to low 80s.

The jet stream continues to dip into the eastern part of the country as we usher in the month of July. That keeps the heat across the western part of the country and keeps us in a pattern featuring normal to below normal temps. It’s also a setup that can deliver more storms:

Euro

As of now, the threat for scattered storms looks to be around for the 4th of July.

Have a great day and take care.

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A much cooler weekend

Good Saturday, everyone. Thunderstorms continue to push away from the region and that’s being replaced by some of the good stuff. Pleasant temps are ready to take over your weekend of weather.

An area of low pressure continues to push across the Ohio Valley today. This low is bringing some scattered showers to the region on a strong northwesterly wind flow. Some breaks in the clouds will be noted with highs generally from 70-75 degrees. A few areas could even drop into the upper 60s for a time.

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I75 NB @ MP 127

US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
US60 @ US460

If you’re looking for the best weather day of the summer, Sunday is a strong contender. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny with low humidity levels and highs in the mid to upper 70s.

Soak it up because another system dives in here by Monday. This comes from the northwest and will bring an increase in shower and thunderstorm action:

NAM 3

That scattered action should carry us into Tuesday with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Temps stay normal to below normal as we flip the calendar into early July. But, that doesn’t mean all is well in the wonderful world of weather. Rounds of showers and storms should be around and that action likely takes us into the 4th of July weekend:

GFS

Hopefully, we can keep the nice temps and ditch the rain chances on the 4th. We still have a week to figure that one out.

Have a great day and take care.

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Another severe weather day

Good Friday to one and all. It’s shaping up to be another busy weather day across Central and Eastern Kentucky. Rounds of showers and storms will continue to push across the region, bringing an increased severe weather threat and the potential for flooding.

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect:

– A developing storm system will roll across the region from west to east through Saturday.

– This is a potent storm that doesn’t look like something you see during the summer months. Rounds of showers and storms will be common ahead of this system during the day.

– As the area of low pressure deepens later in the day, expect the threat of severe storms to rapidly increase across the entire region. The Storm Prediction Center highlights our region for the greatest chances for severe weather:

SPC

– As you can see, damaging winds will continue to be the main threat we have to be on guard for.

– If some storms form on their own ahead of the main cluster this evening, a tornado or two can’t be ruled out. Just as on Thursday, showers and storms from early in the day will have a lot to say about how that transpires.

– Much of the region is also under a flash flood watch through Saturday morning. We’ve had a lot of rain over the past few weeks, and additional totals of 1 to 3 inches will be possible in some areas. That could cause additional flash-flooding concerns.

– These storms will also be prolific lightning producers!

– The heaviest rains will end early Saturday with windy, cool and showery weather taking over. Temps fall into the 60s for much of the day.

The blog continues to be set up for your one and only stop to track the severe weather threat. Here you go:

Friday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Have a great day and take care.

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Severe storms tracker

Good Thursday, folks. Thursday is shaping up to be a very active weather day across Central and Eastern Kentucky. Hot and humid weather will give way to a growing threat of severe storms late Thursday and overnight.

Our day might start with a weakening band of showers and storms moving in from the northwest. Temps and humidity will soar after that, and our heat index could be 100 degrees or higher at times. That’s when storms start cooking to our northwest.

A line of storms will then develop north of the Ohio River during the afternoon and race in from the north and northwest. The prime time for this line looks to be between 5 p.m. and midnight. Damaging winds will be the runaway winner as far as threats go. Large hail and isolated tornadoes will also be possible.

These storms should also produce prolific lightning and rain. That rain could cause some local flash flooding.

Things continue to look active Friday and Saturday as low pressure works into the region from the west and southwest. I’m becoming more concerned about the severe weather threat ahead of this system by late Friday and early Saturday. That setup could also be a flash-flood producer as a lot of rain looks to fall across our region.

Temps behind this departing low may drop into the 60s by Saturday afternoon. Sunday looks pleasantly cool with temps in the 70s for highs and just a small shower chance.

Showers and storms will then kick back in early next week as several systems dive in from the northwest. That setup keeps temps normal or below normal. This same setup might carry us through the Fourth of July weekend.

As usual, I have the blog set to be your one stop shop for tracking severe storms:

 

 

Thursday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Thundering into a cooler pattern

Good Wednesday, everyone. We have a much better brand of air across the Bluegrass State. Humidity and temps are down compared to the past few days, and that spells a pretty decent weather day. The same can’t be said for the days that follow.

Our weather pattern continues to be very active, and we have a lot of storms ahead of us. Those storms will really crank up after a hot and humid Thursday. Highs Thursday could reach 90 to 95 degrees, with an increase in humidity. The heat index could top out in the 100- to 105-degree range.

Winds will be rather gusty ahead of a cluster of thunderstorms that move in late in the day and overnight. Damaging winds will be possible.

More widespread showers and storms will then be possible Friday and Saturday as low pressure works across the area:

CanadianStrong storms and very heavy rainfall are possible with that system. Much cooler air then filters in behind it for the weekend and early next week. Highs in the upper 70s might be common during that time.

Another wet weather maker might blow into town by the middle of next week.

I leave you with all your Wednesday weather tracking tools:

 

 

Wednesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Enjoy the day and take care.

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Storms lead us into a cooler pattern

Good Tuesday to one and all. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms have been common across the commonwealth in recent weeks. Tropical temps have been ruling the thermometers. The steam and the storms continue this week, but much cooler changes show up this weekend and next week.

Let’s start with Tuesday. Highs should hit the upper 80s to near 90, but the heat index will be much higher, courtesy of all the humidity in the air. Storms should develop during the afternoon and evening, and a few could be strong or severe. I will set you up to track the storms in a bit.

Additional rounds of storms will be possible Wednesday and Thursday as highs stay in the upper 80s to low 90s.

Rain and storm chances increase Friday and Saturday as a bigger system moves in from the northwest:

EuroVery heavy rains will be possible during those days, and that could cause some local high-water concerns.

The air coming behind that system is much cooler. Check out the huge dip in the jet stream:

CanadianHighs later in the weekend and early next week might not get out of the 70s for a few days. This cooler-than-normal pattern should then continue into the Fourth of July weekend.

In the short term, let’s track the storms that could be strong or severe Tuesday.

Tuesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Have a great day and take care.

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Another stormy week

Good Monday and welcome to another stormy week in the Bluegrass State. Rounds of showers and storms will be rather common and could lead to additional severe weather threats and a lot of rainfall.

This whole pattern is slowly changing from steamy to cooler. That change looks to kick in this weekend and next week. More on that in just a bit.

In the near term, the steam and the storms continue to steal the weather show. Highs Monday will be near 90, with isolated showers and storms.

 

 

The severe weather threat looks to return Tuesday. Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary players.

Rounds of storms will probably blow through over the rest of the week and into the weekend. Any of these storms will be capable of going severe.

The models are indicating a very strong system will affect our weather over the weekend. Check this out:

EuroThat could be a dynamic weather system as it blows through, with severe storms and heavy rains.

The heavy rain threat is something we just can’t shake. Even as the temps grow much cooler this week and next, storm chances remain. The GFS continues to indicate a lot of rainfall over the next few weeks:

GFS 2

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Another round of severe storms possible

Good Sunday and Happy Father’s Day. Tropical Depression Bill is now well off to our east, but the threat for active weather remains. We have the potential for strong and severe storms this afternoon through the evening.

Before we talk about that, let’s do a brief recap on the impact of our tropical system on our region. Some talking points:

– Bill was still a tropical depression as it crossed Kentucky… Some 4 days after making landfall in Texas. That’s incredible.

– This was the first Tropical Depression to make it all the way into Kentucky since 3 storms did it back in the busy 2005 hurricane season.

– This was one of the only times on record the center of circulation of a tropical system passed over the Lexington metro.

– Lexington picked up 2″-4″ of rain from Thursday through Saturday. Officially, Saturday gave us the wettest June 20th on record with 1.8″ of rain.

Moving on to where we are today. Clusters of strong and severe storms will move in here from the northwest this afternoon and evening. Damaging wind is the primary threat from these storms. These storms should also pack a ton of lightning and torrential rain.

This looks to be the beginning of another stormy setup across Kentucky. The week ahead will feature heat and humidity with daily rounds of storms trying to crank:

GFS

A strong cold front looks to sweep in here by Friday and Saturday with some potent thunderstorms. That also should be the beginning of a MUCH cooler period. Check out the big dip in the jet stream showing up next weekend…

GFS 2That setup looks to continue into the final days of June and into early July…

Euro 3

I have you all set to track today’s severe weather threat:

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Have a great day and take care.

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