A September cold front moving through

Good Friday, folks. We have an honest to goodness blast of late September air surging into the region for the weekend. Showers and strong thunderstorms are announcing the arrival of the better air, and some of the storms may cause issues today.

These storms will also have a lot of heavy rain that can cause some additional high water concerns. The action will be lighter in the bluegrass region, before tapering off from west to east this evening.

Here is your Friday edition of the storm tracking tools:

 

The weekend weather looks amazing with highs on Saturday only in the 70s. A mix of sun and clouds will be noted as humidity levels drop off the charts.

Lows by Sunday morning may flirt with records across many areas. We should see the numbers drop deep into the 50s. Sunday afternoon looks equally as nice with upper 70s and low 80s.

That’s a lot of cooler than normal air showing up for the final few days of July:

Temps will be closer to normal by the middle of the week, but another cold front looks to arrive by the end of the week into next weekend. That will be the next chance for showers and storms to go along with slightly cooler than normal temps.

Have a fantastic Friday and take care.

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Strong storms possible today

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a potent storm system diving into the Ohio Valley, touching off showers and storms. Some of the storms out there today may become severe and produce local flash flooding.

The boomers will come at us in clusters from west to east. This action may intensify during the afternoon and evening, with damaging winds and large hail possible. In addition to the severe storms threat, heavy rainfall may cause some flooding concerns.

Many times, storms like these can overachieve in terms of rainfall. We saw something similar happen this past weekend around the Maysville area, and we will be on guard again today.

Here are your severe weather tracking toys for the day:

S HGHH

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Showers and storms will continue into Friday, before tapering off from west to east late in the day. This will set the stage for some fantastic weather for the weekend.

Highs Saturday and Sunday will generally range from 75-80 degrees in most areas. That’s more typical for the end of September than the end of July. Lows may even drop deep into the 50s:

Make it a great Thursday and take care.

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Big storms to usher in fall temps

Good Wednesday , everyone. I’m tracking a potent storm system taking aim at the region over the next few days. This will bring the potential for severe storms and heavy rain, with a taste of early fall temps coming in behind it.

Let’s start with today and roll forward. Highs will surge into the middle and upper 80s on a gusty southwest wind. A few storms may develop later this afternoon into the evening and a few could be strong in the north:

Our system diving in from the northwest looks rather potent for Thursday and Friday:

A system like that can easily produce severe storms and local flash flooding across our part of the world. The Storm Prediction Center has much of the region in the risk area for Thursday:

Showers and storms continue into Friday with highs generally in the upper 70s. Winds become northwesterly, ushering in even cooler air for Saturday. Lows in the 50s look likely with highs in the mid and upper 70s:

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking a late week cold front

Good Tuesday to one and all. We are dealing with much better temperatures today, but the focus of the forecast is on another cold front rolling our way. That front arrives late in the week and should bring more rains to the region.

Today’s highs will generally be in the low and middle 80s for most of central and eastern Kentucky. There is just a small chance for a pop up shower or storm in the afternoon and evening.

Warmer winds blow on Wednesday as we gear up for a cold front arriving later Thursday. This front will bring widespread showers and storms our way through Friday:

Locally heavy rains and strong storms will be possible during this time.

There’s a chance to get an upper level low to cutoff just to our south and east over the weekend:

If that’s the case, we could be dealing with some lingering showers into the weekend. With or without the rain, we are going to be dealing with much cooler air this weekend into early next week.

July looks to end on a cooler than normal note, with August starting out on a similar theme:

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.

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Cooler temps on the way

Good Monday to one and all. We have a cold front on top of the region today, and this will bring cooler air in for the next few days. This is the beginning of a pattern change that takes us back into a cooler setup as we get ready to end July and say hello to August.

Highs today will still be in the steamy mid and upper 80s. A shower or thunderstorm will be on the move:

Tuesday looks MUCH better with highs in the 80-85 degree range and low humidity. We may even see a few temps drop into the upper 50s by Wednesday morning.

Another system takes aim at the region by Thursday and Friday. This will bring an increase in showers and storms from the northwest. This is the first of several cold fronts showing up over the next week and change:

With each passing cold front comes a shot of cooler than normal temperatures. Watch this animation through the first few days of August:

Many of the seasonal models show a cooler than normal August taking shape. I don’t think too many people would complain about that! 😉

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Tracking strong storms

Good Sunday, everyone. Rounds of showers and storms are rumbling across the bluegrass state today, and some of these may be strong or severe. This action is ahead of a slow-moving cold front that keeps our weather active for the coming days.

Today’s storms may pack high winds and hail across our part of the world. No, it’s not going to rain all day, but the storms can come at us in clusters. In addition to the severe threat, watch for local high water issues to develop.

Here are your Sunday tracking toys:

S HGHH

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Scattered showers and storms will then linger into Monday and Tuesday as the front checks up. Another front drops in here by the end of the week with more showers and storms. You can see both of these systems well on the GFS:

Temps next week will be MUCH cooler than this past week, with shots off below normal showing up at times through the weekend:

Have a sensational Sunday and take care.

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Storms slowly tame the heat

Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. Rounds of storms are targeting the region this weekend, keeping the heat in check. These storms will then kick the heat out of the Bluegrass State, with a much better brand of air coming in early next week.

Saturday will still be steamy in most areas. Highs will be all over the place, ranging from the middle 80s to the low 90s. Rounds of showers and storms will develop as the day wears on, with some of the storms being strong. The greatest threat for that is across the north and northeast.

Here are your Saturday tracking tools:

A cold front drops in Sunday, increasing the threat of showers and storms. This might also give us an increased chance of high wind and hail. The latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center has parts of our region in the severe weather risk:

Showers and a few storms continue into Monday as the front slides southeast.  Some locally heavy rainfall numbers may show up through Monday:

That allows much cooler and less humid air to filter in behind it. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday should be from the low to middle 80s with partly cloudy skies. Lows should be about 60-65.

Another system then works in later next week with more showers and storms developing. The setup looks pretty active as we say goodbye to July and roll  into August.

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Storms crash our hot spell

Good Friday to one and all. The heat this week has been rather wimpy and, so far, it has been nothing but normal. Let’s call this a “hot spell” rather than a heat wave, because it’s really not meeting my criteria for that.

Now come the storms to crash our hot spell. These boomers will increase over the next several days, and some of these could be on the strong side.

Friday’s temps will be influenced by clouds and any storms that develop. Highs should range from the upper 80s to low 90s for much of our region, with a heat index near 100 at times.

Storms will develop and drop in from the northwest, with a few strong storms in the north:

Saturday looks to see storms increase during the afternoon and evening hours, and some of those could be strong, with heavy rain. Outside of the storms, highs will be in the upper 80s and low 90s.

A cold front gets close to us later Sunday and pushes in Monday. Showers and storms look common during this time, with some heavy rain possible:

Much cooler air will then filter in behind the front for the first half of next week. That will be accompanied by lower humidity and a partly sunny sky. I think most of us will take it.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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High temps will have to battle some storms

Good Thursday to one and all. Heat and humidity are building in across the Bluegrass State, giving us the steamiest air of the entire summer.  That said, thunderstorms might have a say in just how hot we can get the next few days.

Highs out there Thursday will generally be in the upper 80s to low 90s for much of our region. Factor in the humidity, and it will feel closer to 100 degrees in some areas.

There is also a chance of a shower or storm:

Friday and Saturday have the potential to be hotter than Thursday, but much of that will be determined by storms. Without storms, highs will flirt with 95 degrees, with a heat index in the low 100s.

With storms, the numbers are likely to be a few degrees cooler, but still rather toasty.

The GFS is spitting out some afternoon and evening storms around here on Friday:

The setup for Saturday looks very similar:

Showers and storms look to increase later Sunday as a potent cold front drops in from the northwest. That action should carry us into Monday:

Temps will turn much more pleasant into the first half of the week. Check out the potentially highs by Tuesday:

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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A big cool-down follows the heat

Good Wednesday, everyone. We have a lot of heat and humidity taking over the pattern, but it’s not going to hang around very long. A change to much cooler than normal is lurking for late this weekend and next week, and it will bring an increase in storms.

Highs Wednesday will top out in the upper 80s to near 90 in most areas. Humidity might make it feel 90 to 95 for many people.

Thursday through Saturday will feature the hottest stretch of weather of the summer. Highs should range from 90 to 95, with a heat index near 100 degrees.

Can we fire up a few storms to help things out? That’s a possibility late Friday and Saturday as a few storms ride in from the northwest:

If those do move in, they could keep our temps under the forecast highs. I won’t complain if that’s the case. 🙂

Rain and storms will then increase Sunday into early next week:

 

This comes from a significant dip in the jet stream, bringing a much cooler-than-normal air mass into the eastern half of the country:

 

That would be a heck of a cool-down for the final full week of July.

Make it a great day and take care.

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