Chris Bailey's Kentucky Weather Just another Blogs weblog Wed, 29 Mar 2017 06:07:06 +0000 en-US hourly 1 More storms get ready to rumble Wed, 29 Mar 2017 06:07:06 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Wednesday, folks. Things are looking much, much better out there, but more storms are ready to rumble over the next few days. Just like what we had Tuesday, some of these storms could be strong or severe.

Let’s start with Wednesday. Highs will be in the 60s, with a mix of sun and clouds across Central and Eastern Kentucky.

Much warmer air is set to surge in Thursday, as highs reach the mid- and upper 70s:

This warm and juicy air is ahead of a potent storm system taking shape in the Mississippi Valley. That bad boy rolls into the Ohio Valley later Thursday and Friday, with rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms possible.

Here’s the Thursday severe-weather risk outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

Damaging winds and large hail will be the main threats.

Additional showers and storms will then continue Friday, with heavy rains and gusty winds.

The weekend weather looks pretty darn good, with highs in the 60s on Saturday and low 70s on Sunday.

That nice weather wont last very long, with another storm coming at us early next week:

Make it a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

More storms later this week Tue, 28 Mar 2017 05:06:33 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Tuesday to one and all.  Some big time thunderstorms rumbled across the region on Monday. These bad boys put down a ton of large hail and caused some minor wind damage. We have a small break in the action the next few days, but more storms are lurking later in the week.

Highs today will top out in the upper 60s to low 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. Isolated storms will also be possible:

Wednesday looks like a decent weather day with partly sunny skies and temps in the 60s. That takes us to the end of the week and another potent storm system moving in here from the southwest.

This system is being pushed by a strong upper level low that can create strong and severe storms ahead of it:

That action shows up well on the GFS for Thursday and Friday:

This setup will continue to throw similar systems our way over the next few weeks. As I’ve been saying for a while now, this is a very stormy spring we are entering into.

Have a great day and take care.

Tracking the severe storm potential Mon, 27 Mar 2017 04:14:12 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Monday, folks. Our week is starting off on a warm and stormy note across this part of the world. Showers and storms in the afternoon and evening will bring the threat of severe weather into Central and Eastern Kentucky.

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect:

  • Severe thunderstorms develop across the west late in the morning into early afternoon.
  • Those storms will then race northeastward in the afternoon and evening, affecting the weather across Central Kentucky.
  • Damaging winds and large hail will be the main severe-weather players.
  • A tornado or two can’t be ruled out in this setup.
  • The severe weather threat across eastern parts of the state is much lower than what we have in the central and west.

Storms will then roll out of town early Tuesday, with mild air continuing.

The setup for the end of the week could bring another round of strong to severe thunderstorms our way.

Overall, this has the look of a very stormy spring across Central and Eastern Kentucky.

Here are your severe weather tracking tools for the day:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

Tracking some Sunday storms Sun, 26 Mar 2017 06:25:34 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Sunday to one and all. A few rounds of thunderstorms are pushing across Central and Eastern Kentucky to wrap up the weekend. This action is all part of a stormy and warm setup taking shape for the week ahead of us.

Sunday’s storms will contain heavy rain, frequent lightning and some gusty winds. A few could even be on the strong side. Highs will make a run at 70 degrees or higher outside of the storms, where we will see a mix of sun and clouds.

I have you set to track the Sunday action:

The week ahead looks awfully similar to what we have out there Sunday, with the threat of thunderstorms and mild temps.

Highs on Monday will hit 70 to 75, with more thunderstorms rumbling in late in the day. Some of these storms could be strong, with hail and high winds. That would carry us into Tuesday.

There could be a very warm break developing by Wednesday, with the focus shifting toward a potent upper-level system ejecting from the southwest:

That setup could bring rounds of strong storms from the Plains into our region late in the week and next weekend.

Have a sensational Sunday and take care.

A few storms join our weekend spring fling Sat, 25 Mar 2017 17:13:39 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Saturday, folks. We have a very warm weekend kicking off across central and eastern Kentucky. This warm air will soon be joined by a few showers and thunderstorms sweeping in from the west. It’s all part of a pattern more typical of late April than late March.

Highs today should hit 70-75 in many areas on a strong southwesterly wind flow.

Showers and thunderstorms across western Kentucky will slowly work toward the region by evening. That sets the stage for a stormy night for our region, with scattered storms lasting into Sunday.

Some of the storms could be strong, especially just to our west. I have you all set to track today’s weather:

Once the Sunday storms move away, we will quickly focus on another round of boomers blowing in here late Monday into Tuesday:

Similar systems will then work our way over the next few weeks. This setup continues to feature stormier than normal weather with an increasing severe weather threat. The GFS Ensembles 2 week rainfall forecast shows a lot of action across the eastern part of the country:

Make it a great Saturday and take care.

Scattered storms join the weekend warmth Fri, 24 Mar 2017 05:25:56 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Friday to one and all. We have a much warmer pattern finally engulfing the Bluegrass State, just in time for the weekend. That’s the good news. The bad news comes with the potential for showers and thunderstorms to increase.

Highs Friday should reach 70 in many areas, with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will be gusty from the southwest, ahead of a storm system rolling our way. That will increase our thunderstorm threat late Saturday and Sunday:

Highs ahead of the storms Saturday should reach 70 to 75 in many areas. Once the storms shut off Sunday, highs might rebound to 65 to 70 in most areas.

The flow will then throw another round of showers and storms our way later Monday and Tuesday:

This continues to be part of a very warm and stormy setup. Later next week, a deep trough goes into the western part of the country as a ridge of high pressure flexes some muscle across the southeast. This setup could put the Plains and our region in the target zone for rounds of big storms:

Have a great Friday and take care.

Milder air will lead to weekend storms Thu, 23 Mar 2017 05:21:54 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Thursday, folks. We have a big-time blast of milder air pressing into the region in the coming days. This mild air will take our temps into something more typical of April. With the April warmth will also come April showers and thunderstorms.

Highs Thursday will hit the low 60s for many areas, with a mix of sun and clouds.

A warm front lifts across the region Wednesday night and will carry a small chance of showers in the north. The air coming in behind this front is pretty awesome in terms of temps:

As temps rise, our storm chances will be on the increase. This happens as low pressure moves into the Ohio Valley this weekend. The highest storm chances will be Saturday night and early Sunday:

A few of the storms could be on the strong side.

This is part of a very active setup, with storm systems rolling across the country:

This should put areas from the plains into the Ohio Valley under the gun for rounds of strong storms and heavy rains. Look at some of the model rain numbers just over the next 10 days:

This kicks off a likely super-active setup of strong to severe thunderstorms in these same areas through April. That also shows up well on the 45-day rain map from the CFS:

Buckle up for a stormy ride, my friends.

Enjoy the day and take care.

Warm and stormy setup ahead Wed, 22 Mar 2017 04:42:00 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Wednesday, folks. We have a brief blast of chilly weather settling into the region, but this air won’t last very long. Our pattern is about to turn warm and stormy by the weekend. This looks to be a sign of the weather times as we roll forward.

Highs Wednesday will be in the mid and upper 40s in many areas, and in the low 50s in the south. Partly cloudy skies will rule the day. Temps will drop into the upper 20s by Thursday morning, with milder temps settling in by the afternoon. Highs will be in the low 60s. Friday looks windy and warm, with highs hitting the 70s. Clouds will increase ahead of a storm system rolling in for the weekend. Showers and thunderstorms will become common by Saturday night and Sunday:

A few strong storms will be possible this weekend. Highs stay in the upper 60s to the low 70s.

Several systems will then roll across the region over the next 10 days. Each could bring some strong storms and heavy rainfall. Look at the rain forecast map during this time:

To illustrate the warm potential in this pattern, watch the GFS ensembles through the first few days of April:

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

A small bump in our spring road Tue, 21 Mar 2017 04:33:23 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Tuesday to one and all. We have a cold front pushing across Kentucky, and it will bring a one-and-done chilly shot to the region. Beyond that, it’s all about a warm and stormy setup for our region.

Tuesday’s cold front could spark a shower or thunderstorm. Winds will be gusty, with a mix of sun and clouds for everyone. Highs could reach 70 in the south, 60 to 65 for the rest of the state:

Wednesday will see another day of a mix of sun and clouds, but the chilly weather will be back for a visit. Highs will be in the 40s, with lows in the upper 20s by Thursday morning.

Once past this … Look out! Spring really begins to take control of our weather pattern. Highs on Thursday could reach 60 then head toward 70 on Friday. Winds will be gusty ahead of a weekend storm system. That system will bring rounds of showers and storms our way:

Highs this weekend stay warm with upper 60s to low 70s for many.

This pattern only grows warmer for the final week and change of March, and that carries into early April:

It’s also a very stormy pattern.The GFS ensembles two-week rainfall map continues to target the Mississippi Valley into our region:

The long-range ensembles from the European model place a bull’s-eye over the same areas through the end of April:

Have a great day and take care.

Showers and storms to increase Mon, 20 Mar 2017 06:25:02 +0000 Continue reading ]]> Good Monday, everybody. Our work week is starting off with milder air slowly, but surely, taking control of the pattern. This milder brand of air will usher in an increase in showers and thunderstorms over the next few days.

Highs out there Monday should range from 60 to 65 degrees in most areas. A mix of sun and clouds will be noted, with the chance of a shower or thunderstorm:

The threat of showers and thunderstorms will be much greater as we head into Tuesday and Tuesday night as a cold front drops in:

A few of the storms might be on the strong side, with small hail and gusty winds.

Much chillier air comes in behind this for Wednesday as highs settle back into the upper 40s and low 50s. Winds will be gusty with increasing amounts of sunshine later in the day.

Thursday will find southwesterly winds kicking in, with highs returning to the low 60s. Those numbers continue to climb Friday, ahead of a storm system moving in for the weekend. This bad boy should produce widespread showers and storms:

The overall pattern will be skewed warmer than normal, but quick-hitting chilly shots will also be moving across the country. Watch this animation through the rest of the month into the first few days of April:

That should lead to active weather with frequent rounds of showers and thunderstorms rumbling across our region. This shows up well on the two-week rainfall map from the GFS ensembles:

Have a magnificent Monday and take care.