Chris Bailey's Kentucky Weather http://weather.bloginky.com Just another Kentucky.com Blogs weblog Tue, 07 Jul 2015 05:31:38 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.2.2 The storms are back in the bluegrass http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/07/the-storms-are-back-in-the-bluegrass/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/07/the-storms-are-back-in-the-bluegrass/#comments Tue, 07 Jul 2015 05:31:38 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9615 Continue reading ]]> Good Tuesday, folks. After a dry start to the week, rounds of showers and thunderstorms are back in central and eastern Kentucky. This action will really ramp up late today into tonight and we could be talking about strong storms and torrential rains.

Our region is pretty waterlogged and can’t handle much more in the way of heavy rainfall. That’s why the local flash flood threat will be with us over the next several days.

Scattered storms will be around early today with the main action increasing along and ahead of a cold front late today. Damaging winds could accompany some of the stronger storms.

The front then slows down over the region with waves of low pressure bringing more storms later in the week:

EuroThe muggy air will continue into the weekend as temps hit the mid and upper 80s. That’s about normal for this time of year, but the humidity levels will make it feel much worse than it really is.

A stronger cold front will then dive in here late this weekend into early next week. That’s likely to bring more in the way of showers and thunderstorms:

Euro 3We’re pretty much locked into this much wetter than normal pattern for the foreseeable future.

I leave you with your storm tracking tools for the day:

 

 

Thursday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

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Scattered storms continue this week http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/06/scattered-storms-continue-this-week/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/06/scattered-storms-continue-this-week/#comments Mon, 06 Jul 2015 04:19:02 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9602 Continue reading ]]> Good Monday, everyone. After one heck of a nice stretch of cooler-than-normal temps, we are set to feel much more like summer for the week ahead. Temps get back to normal, and the humidity levels will be off the chart. You know what that means? Prepare to sweat!

Highs Monday will be in the low and middle 80s across Central and Eastern Kentucky. Humidity will make it feel much hotter. We are also likely to see a scattered shower or thunderstorm as the day wears on. Shocking, I know!

A cold front approaches the region from the northwest on Tuesday. This is likely to spawn more showers and storms:

Euro

High humidity could lead to some heavy rain coming from any storm that blows up.

That front never fully works through here, though. Instead, it returns to the north as a warm front as we go into a very steamy atmosphere. With so much water in the ground, heat index numbers might approach 100 degrees at times for the middle and end of the week. That happens as air temps are held to 90 or below.

Scattered showers and storms will be around, and this stormy pattern looks to continue through much of the month. The next two weeks’ worth of rain from the GFS illustrates that point:

 

GFS

Here’s is your daily dose of tracking tools:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I75 NB @ MP 127

US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
US60 @ US460

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking another heavy rain threat http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/05/tracking-another-heavy-rain-threat/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/05/tracking-another-heavy-rain-threat/#comments Sun, 05 Jul 2015 05:14:29 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9599 Continue reading ]]> Good Sunday to one and all. Our Fourth of July holiday weekend is wrapping up with an increase in scattered showers and storms. This action is likely to cause another round of local high water conditions across southern and eastern Kentucky. A flash flood watch is out for much of this region.

The ground is saturated, so it won’t take very much rain to cause flash flooding problems to develop. Some areas could pick up another 1 to 3 inches of rain by Sunday night. I have you set to track the latest high water threat:

 

 

The setup for the week ahead of us will continue to feature the true summer heat to our south with cool air to the north. That puts the bluegrass state right in the middle of the stormy zone:

Euro

The models are spitting out some impressive rainfall numbers over the next week and a half:

Euro 2

As I said, we’re pretty much stuck in this pattern for the foreseeable future.

Make it a great last day of the holiday weekend and take care.

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Fourth of July weather tracker http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/04/4th-of-july-weather-tracker/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/04/4th-of-july-weather-tracker/#comments Sat, 04 Jul 2015 04:46:43 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9597 Continue reading ]]> Good Saturday and Happy Fourth of July! Flooding rains have been common across central and eastern Kentucky over the past week. It looks like that action takes a bit of a break out there today, but that doesn’t mean we go through the day totally rain free.

Isolated to scattered showers and storms will still be possible… Especially across the south and east. We will have many dry hours out there, but take a patriotic poncho with you as you head out to festivities. Highs will generally range from the upper 70s to low 80s.

The threat for a shower or storm may increase just a touch later Saturday evening into Sunday. That shows up well on the NAM:

NAMScattered storms with low and mid-80s will be around on Monday. Enjoy that relative “break” in the action. Here comes another cold front entering the picture by Tuesday:

EuroThat will cause our rain chances to go up once again. Notice the wave of low pressure developing along the front to our southwest. Watch what the European Model does with that Wednesday and Thursday:

Euro 2Heavy rainfall could again be a concern as the week wears on. Temps will continue to run normal or below normal during this time.

Here are your tracking toys for the holiday:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I75 NB @ MP 127

US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
US60 @ US460

 

 

Happy Fourth and take care.

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Fourth of July weekend starts wet http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/03/4th-of-july-weekend-starts-wet/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/03/4th-of-july-weekend-starts-wet/#comments Fri, 03 Jul 2015 04:47:13 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9595 Continue reading ]]> Good Friday everyone. It’s the biggest holiday of the summer and it falls on a weekend. That means some added pressure is applied to get some nice weather into Central and Eastern Kentucky. While all isn’t lost, I am just the messenger! :)

Things have been awfully wet across our region of late. Lexington picked up another 1 to 2 inches of rain on Thursday, and we have a chance to approach those totals again today. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue to rumble across the region. These will be proficient rain producers that can cause local high water issues.

A flash flood watch is out for much of our region through the evening hours:

In addition to the potential for high water, a few of the storms  could be on the strong side. The best chance for that looks to be in the south and east. Highs today will generally run in the middle 70s.

The Fourth of July forecast for Lexington:

The Bluegrass 10,000 looks to feature wet pavement and the chance for scattered showers. Highs should be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

The parade begins at 2 p.m. and should see temps in the upper 70s to near 80. That’s not bad at all. Take a poncho or umbrella as scattered showers and storms may develop.

Fireworks time at 10 p.m. will continue to see the chance for scattered showers and storms with highs in the low and middle 70s.

This does not look like a washout of a Fourth, but the scattered storms could cause some issues. Temps will be very, very pleasant for this time of year.

Scattered showers and storms will be around again on Sunday as highs hit the low 80s. Near normal to slightly below normal temps should be common for next week as we stay in a rather stormy pattern.

I have you all set with the rest of your Friday storm tracking tools:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I75 NB @ MP 127

US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
US60 @ US460

 

 

Friday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Enjoy the day and take care.

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Tracking heavy rain and storms http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/02/tracking-heavy-rain-and-storms/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/02/tracking-heavy-rain-and-storms/#comments Thu, 02 Jul 2015 05:21:30 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9589 Continue reading ]]> Good Thursday to one and all. It’s another very stormy day taking shape across Central and Eastern Kentucky. The stage is set for rounds of storms to dump heavy rain across much of our region. That could lead to flash flooding.

Thunderstorm action will really increase Thursday as waves of boomers roll through. These showers and storms will be prolific rain producers and can drop a few inches in just an hour or two. That could cause some quick rising of creeks and streams.

A few strong or severe storms will be possible.

Rounds of storms will continue to push across the region Thursday night and into Friday. All told, many areas are likely to pick up 1 to 4 inches of rain during this time. The potential is for some extreme flash flooding on a local scale.

The threat of showers and storms will hang around into the Fourth of July weekend. That could threaten to wash out some parades and fireworks.

I have you all set to follow today’s flash flood threat and storm potential:

 

 

Thursday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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July starts with more rain and storms http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/01/july-starts-with-more-rain-and-storms/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/07/01/july-starts-with-more-rain-and-storms/#comments Wed, 01 Jul 2015 05:51:59 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9585 Continue reading ]]> Good Wednesday and welcome to July. We’re entering into what can be a very hot and dry time across the Bluegrass State. For the third summer in a row, that phrase isn’t being used very much. Rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms will continue to work across the region as temps stay below normal.

Storms in recent days have caused some problems with local high water, wind and hail. The storms out there this afternoon might also be on the strong side. Highs should again be in the low 80s.

The thunderstorm and heavy rain threat should increase as we hit Thursday and Friday. An area of low pressure will zip across the region and give us a better chance at more widespread action. Some of the models have been spitting out some hefty rain totals during this time.

Similar systems might push across the region this Fourth of July weekend into early next week. The WPC is throwing out a lot of water for our region over the next week:

WPCTemps through the period should run below normal.

After a brief jump in temperature, it’s likely back to cool for the middle and end of next week:

Euro 2I leave you with the usual tools to track Wednesday’s action:

 

 

Wednesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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June ends with more rounds of storms http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/06/30/june-ends-with-more-rounds-of-storms/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/06/30/june-ends-with-more-rounds-of-storms/#comments Tue, 30 Jun 2015 04:52:12 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9580 Continue reading ]]> Good Tuesday, everyone. June is wrapping up on a rather stormy note. Storms have been common over the past couple of weeks, and it looks as if July will start out in similar fashion. Rounds of storms are likely to continue.

Storms Tuesday will fire up as another system dives in from the northwest. This could bring another round of strong and severe storms. Local high winds and hail will be possible. These storms might also cause some stream and street flooding.

Boomers will then come at us in waves over the next several days. Rainfall totals could be on the excessive side over the next week. The Weather Prediction Center is forecasting the heaviest amounts from the lower Ohio Valley to the Tennessee Valley:

WPCWe will have to keep a close eye on these rounds of storms.

Temps will continue to run below normal through the Fourth of July. Here’s a look at the highs from the European Model:

EuroTemps should reach normal to above normal (mid- and upper 80s) by early next week. Another shot of cool looks to follow that a few days later.

In the short term, it’s all about tracking some more big boomers. Track away:

 

 

Tuesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Rounds of storms return http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/06/29/rounds-of-storms-return-2/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/06/29/rounds-of-storms-return-2/#comments Mon, 29 Jun 2015 05:04:35 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9572 Continue reading ]]> Good Monday to one and all. Rounds of showers and storms are back in the bluegrass state and this looks like another stormy week taking shape. We even run the risk for some strong or severe storms.

The action gets started out there today as a disturbance drops in from the northwest. Scattered showers and storms will blow up and a few of these could go severe. The main risk appears to be from large hail and high winds. Your tracking toys make their usual appearance in a bit.

Additional showers and storms will be around on Tuesday with highs back into the upper 70s and low 80s. Storms may increase even more from Wednesday through Friday as several systems drop in from the northwest:

Euro 2

These storms will put down some very heavy rains and could even produce some more severe weather. Will that extend into the 4th of July on Saturday? It’s possible and something I will try to hone in on over the next few days.

Temps this week continue to run below normal and that looks to be the case for the 4th:

GFS

Temps may spike a few days later, but the overall trend is back toward cooler right after that:

GFS Temps 2

Let’s get back to tracking the severe threat of today:

 

 

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

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Storms follow a sensational Sunday http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/06/28/storms-follow-a-sensational-sunday/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2015/06/28/storms-follow-a-sensational-sunday/#comments Sun, 28 Jun 2015 05:55:29 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=9567 Continue reading ]]> Good Sunday, everyone. We have one of the nicest days of the entire year in progress with plenty of sun and pleasant temps. It goes without saying, but you really need to get out and enjoy it. Not just because of how nice it is, but because more storms are on the way to close out June.

Temps today will range from the mid to upper 70s under mainly sunny skies. It’s basically late September weather we’re having.

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I75 NB @ MP 127

US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
US60 @ US460

You will notice some high clouds moving in from the northwest late this afternoon and evening. Those clouds are ahead of a system that should bring an increase in showers and storms on Monday. That action hangs tough into Tuesday and it all shows up well on the NAM Future Radar:

NAM 2

A few of those storms could be on the strong side. Highs both days should run in the upper 70s to low 80s.

The jet stream continues to dip into the eastern part of the country as we usher in the month of July. That keeps the heat across the western part of the country and keeps us in a pattern featuring normal to below normal temps. It’s also a setup that can deliver more storms:

Euro

As of now, the threat for scattered storms looks to be around for the 4th of July.

Have a great day and take care.

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