Chris Bailey's Kentucky Weather http://weather.bloginky.com Just another Kentucky.com Blogs weblog Wed, 23 Jul 2014 04:37:44 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.9.1 Storms usher in much cooler temps http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/23/storms-usher-in-much-cooler-temps/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/23/storms-usher-in-much-cooler-temps/#comments Wed, 23 Jul 2014 04:37:44 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7778 Continue reading ]]> Good Wednesday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will crank up today as a powerful cold front moves in from the northwest. This front will introduce another well below normal temperature pattern that carries us into early August.

Showers and storms will increase from northwest to southeast this afternoon and evening. Some of these could be strong with torrential rainfall. I will get your tracking tools in just a bit.

The cool air coming in behind this front will take center stage by Thursday with highs in the upper 70s with drying skies. 50s for lows will be with us early Friday with afternoon temps hitting the upper 70s and low 80s.

Storms will increase again over the weekend as our next cold front approaches from the northwest. This could give us some pretty good rains into Monday as an even cooler air mass sweeps in. The European Model is spitting out some impressive rain totals through early next week:

Euro

Check out the massive dip in the jet stream by Tuesday:

GFS 5  That sends temperatures well below normal next week:

GFS 2

Highs in the 70s and lows in the low and middle 50s may be common for several days next week.

Let’s get to tracking today’s storms:

Tuesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking two more cool blasts http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/21/tracking-two-more-cool-blasts/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/21/tracking-two-more-cool-blasts/#comments Mon, 21 Jul 2014 19:54:59 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7770 Continue reading ]]> Good Tuesday, everyone. Steamy temps have moved back into the Bluegrass State, but the fall pattern isn’t going away. Much cooler air will work into the region for the end of the week, and I’m tracking a bigger push of cool air for next week.

Throw in several rain chances, and we get the best of both worlds.

Highs Tuesday will range from the upper 80s to low 90s across the entire state. Isolated showers and storms will be possible with the increase in humidity.

Current temperatures

Wednesday will find a very strong cold front swinging our way from the northwest. This will touch off widespread showers and storms late in the day:

GFS 5

Locally heavy rains are a good bet with this system. The models are showing the potential for an inch or more of rain for some areas through early Thursday:

GFS RainTemps behind this front will be well below normal on Thursday:

GFS Highs Thursday should range from the mid- to upper 70s, with some afternoon drying. Low in the mid-50s will be possible by Friday morning, with afternoon highs around 80.

Showers and storms will increase later this weekend as our next massive push of cool air arrives:

GFS 3

Next week has the chance to be as cool as the setup we had just a few days ago.

Enjoy your day and take care.

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Some heat before the cool air returns http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/21/some-heat-before-the-cool-air-returns/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/21/some-heat-before-the-cool-air-returns/#comments Mon, 21 Jul 2014 04:46:38 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7763 Continue reading ]]> Good Monday, everyone. It’s again going to feel like summer in the Bluegrass State, with toasty air and high humidity. Don’t get too used to it, though. I’m tracking additional blasts of cool air over the next week.

Highs Monday will mainly hit the mid and upper 80s across Central and Eastern Kentucky. A few spots might flirt with a high of 90 in the south and west. With the increase in humidity, a shower or thunderstorm might pop during the afternoon and evening.

Current temperatures

Tuesday will see highs hitting the upper 80s to low 90s, with another threat of  a stray storm. Those storm chances will really ramp up later Wednesday and early Thursday as a cold front swings in from the northwest. Locally heavy downpours and some strong storms will be possible:

GFSTemps behind this front will come way down, and highs might stay in the 70s on Thursday. Pleasant air looks to carry us into the weekend as another huge dip in the jet stream takes place. That will unleash even cooler air early next week:

Euro 2Temps will be well below normal for the last week of July, and that might take us into the first week or so of August. Our dog days are looking very wimpy this year.

This next push of cool should be accompanied by additional rounds of showers and storms late this weekend:

GFS 2Have a magnificent Monday and take care.

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Another wild week of temps ahead http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/20/another-wild-week-of-temps-ahead/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/20/another-wild-week-of-temps-ahead/#comments Sun, 20 Jul 2014 04:41:43 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7758 Continue reading ]]> Good Sunday, everyone. Our fall-like weather is about to give way to a few days of true summertime temps. While it may not get as cool as this past week, the below normal temps look to return by the end of the week and may hang around a while.

Thermometers today may finally reach the 80 degree mark in central and eastern Kentucky. That hasn’t happened since last Monday for many. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop during the heart of the afternoon and evening.

As usual, I have you set to do some tracking:

Rainfall

Current temperatures

Highs from Monday through Wednesday will surge into the upper 80s to near 90. That’s normal for this time of year, but it will feel hotter because of how cool we’ve been of late. A daily threat for showers and thunderstorms will be with us. That comes in the form of the typical afternoon and evening stuff.

A strong cold front sweeps in late Wednesday and brings an increase in the showers and storms. It will also unleash another cooler than normal pattern for the end of the week:

Euro

Temps by Thursday and Friday should range from the upper 70s to low 80s for highs. The next push of cool air looks to arrive late next weekend into early the following week. This one looks even cooler:

Euro 3This is a heck of a pattern for what should be the hottest time of the year.

Make it a sensational Sunday and take care.

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A soggy start to the weekend http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/19/a-soggy-start-to-the-weekend/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/19/a-soggy-start-to-the-weekend/#comments Sat, 19 Jul 2014 04:44:52 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7754 Continue reading ]]> Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. Things are off and running on a rather soggy start across central and eastern Kentucky. This is good news for the lawns and gardens and we have some more rain on the way.

Our day is starting with a round of heavy rain and some thunder across southern and eastern Kentucky. This could drop more than one inch of rain in these areas. Lighter amounts will be noted the farther north and west you live.

The action becomes more scattered this afternoon with highs back in the 70s. Those scattered storms return on Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds boosting temps into the low 80s.

It looks like scattered showers and storms will be common into the first half of next week. That’s when we get in on more in the way of summer temps with highs in the upper 80s.

The models are hinting at another dip in the jet stream arriving by the end of the week:

Euro

That should knock our temps back down several degrees and could also give us additional rounds of scattered showers and storms. We should see an even bigger push of cool air coming a few days behind that.

Add all of this jet stream energy to the mix and you can get some decent rainfall over the next 10 days. Here’s the forecast from the European Model:

Euro 3Speaking of rain… let’s track what we have out there today.

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort

US127 @ Frankfort KY

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

Make it a great Saturday and take care.

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Tracking the weekend rain threat http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/18/tracking-the-weekend-rain-threat/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/18/tracking-the-weekend-rain-threat/#comments Fri, 18 Jul 2014 05:32:19 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7747 Continue reading ]]> Good Friday, gang. We’re rolling into the weekend with an increasing threat of showers and a few thunderstorms. The first batch of rain looks to arrive Friday afternoon into parts of Central and Eastern Kentucky.

Highs Friday might spike into the mid- to upper 70s before the clouds and showers increase. Once that happens, readings are likely to drop pretty quickly. The highest threat of showers will be across southern and Eastern Kentucky, and the rain might be heavy in some places.

The models project more than 2 inches rain in some areas, but they show a sharp cutoff to the heavy rain on the northwestern side. That might set up across Central Kentucky through Saturday.

Scattered showers and storms will continue Sunday, with highs returning to the low 80s in many places. Highs in the mid- and upper 80s look to become common next week, with a daily threat of showers and thunderstorms.

I have you all set to track the showers toward the region:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort

US127 @ Frankfort KY

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Watching the prospects for weekend rain http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/17/watching-the-weekend-rain-chances/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/17/watching-the-weekend-rain-chances/#comments Thu, 17 Jul 2014 04:25:23 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7740 Continue reading ]]> Good Thursday, everyone. Our fall fling continues across Central and Eastern Kentucky, and it has your friendly weatherdude ready for football. While the nice weather continues. Rain looks to arrive in time for the weekend.

Temps to start us out today will be in the 50-55 degree range for many areas. The record low for the day for Lexington is 53 in 1976. We have a shot of getting there. Let’s track the numbers from the Kentucky Mesonet.

Thursday’s lows

Current temperatures

Afternoon highs will mainly be in the mid- and high 70s under partly sunny skies.

Clouds will increase Friday, and we could see some late-day showers developing from the south. Highs will be near 80 degrees – well below normal.

Showers and some thunderstorms will increase over the weekend as an area of low pressure works into the Ohio Valley from the southwest:

Euro

That should keep the chances of on-and-off showers and storms from the weekend into early next week. This does not mean your weekend will be a washout.

Below-normal temps continue across the country into the weekend:

GFS 2Enjoy the day and take care.

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Early fall in the middle of July http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/16/early-fall-in-the-middle-of-july/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/16/early-fall-in-the-middle-of-july/#comments Wed, 16 Jul 2014 04:38:24 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7734 Continue reading ]]> Good Wednesday, folks. Our blast of fall weather rolls on across Central and Eastern Kentucky. The air Wednesday is about as cool as you can possibly get this time of year. As a matter of fact, it might be the coldest ever for the day in some spots.

Record or near-record lows will be with us to start the day. Some folks might see lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Here’s a look at the lows from the Kentucky Mesonet:

Wednesday’s lows

Current temperatures

Highs in the afternoon will hit the middle 70s for many areas, with a mix of sun and clouds. With cold air aloft, a stray shower can’t be ruled out:

Thursday looks like another great day, with near-record lows in the low to mid-50s and highs in the upper 70s.

A system works our way from the southwest by Friday. This is likely to bring a swath of showers and thunderstorms our way and could provide beneficial rains to many. The Canadian model is the wettest for Central and Eastern Kentucky:

CanadianMake it a great Wednesday and take care.

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A taste of September http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/15/a-taste-of-september/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/15/a-taste-of-september/#comments Tue, 15 Jul 2014 04:26:57 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7730 Continue reading ]]> Good Tuesday, everyone. A powerhouse of a cold front is working to our south and is unleashing a round of September air for the rest of the week. When you bring that kind of air to the middle of July, you have to start watching for record lows. That’s possible over the next few days.

Highs today will be MUCH cooler with readings in the middle 70s for highs for most areas. A few morning showers and storms may be noted as the cold front swings in.

Current temperatures

Record lows are possible Wednesday morning. The record for Lexington is 50 from 1945. I think we get very close to that number. The GFS says we beat it:

GFS 2 Highs for Wednesday should range from the low to mid 70s for much of the region with a mix of sun and clouds. Thursday morning could also feature record or near record lows across the region. The record for Lexington is 53 from 1976.

Another shot of rain will roll our way by Friday and Saturday. Some of the models suggest a decent amount:

Canadian

That would act to keep our temps well below normal into the start of the weekend. You know… I could totally get used to this!

Make it a great day and take care.

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From storms to possible record lows http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/14/from-storms-to-possible-record-lows/ http://weather.bloginky.com/2014/07/14/from-storms-to-possible-record-lows/#comments Mon, 14 Jul 2014 04:47:45 +0000 http://weather.bloginky.com/?p=7723 Continue reading ]]> Good Monday to one and all. A major pattern change is underway, delivering showers and thunderstorms to the region. They will bring some much-needed rain to many areas and will unleash a huge outbreak of cool weather.

Monday’s showers and storms might be a little on the strong side. Localized severe weather is possible, especially in southern Kentucky. Winds will gust as the storms blow through.

These boomers are being pushed by a big dip in the jet stream. This is a setup you normally see in the dead of winter instead of the middle of July:

That will allow for the possibility of record lows in coming days. The NAM is forecasting highs in the low to middle 70s for Tuesday:

NAMLows by Wednesday morning might drop into the upper 40s to low 50s across much of the region:

GFS 2Records might very well be broken Wednesday and Thursday. Both days should feature some sunshine, with highs staying in the 70s.

Our next chance of rain arrives Friday and Saturday and is looking more impressive by the day.

Speaking of rain, let’s track Monday’s showers and possible strong storms:

Tuesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great Monday and take care.

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