Things have been super quiet in Kentucky this spring. We’ve had very few severe-weather events, but that might change over the next few days. The threat of strong and severe storms will increase from west to east today and Wednesday as a strong cold front moves our way.

The greatest threat today will be across the western half of the state. That threat will then work eastward into Wednesday. Damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will be possible.

I have your tracking tools:

Today’s risk area

Current watches

Possible watch areas

I will have updates as needed. Have a great day and take care.

Highs today will hit the mid- and upper 80s, with 90 possible in some places. Humidity levels will be sky-high, and that will increase the sweat factor if you have to work outdoors. Isolated storms might try to crank up.

The weather Tuesday will be similar to what we have today. Highs will be in the mid- and upper 80s with high humidity.

The system in the Plains states continues to bring that region a major outbreak of severe weather. We will need to watch the eastward progression of that threat, because some of the models suggest that it could be close to us by Tuesday evening. The NAM simulated radar tries to bring a healthy line of storms in here tomorrow evening:

The threat for strong or severe storms will be with us from late Tuesday through Thursday. It’s been a very quiet severe weather season, so we are long overdue.

Cooler air moves in to start the Memorial Day weekend, with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s for Friday. The threat of storms might return as early as Sunday and Monday, as the cold and warmth do battle across our part of the world:

Enjoy your Monday and take care.

First things first… the scattered storms. I’m tired of talking about them, but mother nature doesn’t care what I think. You know the drill… scattered showers  and storms will develop into the heart of the afternoon and evening. Locally heavy downpours will be possible. Yada, yada, yada.

Your worn out tracking tools:

Temps today will hit the low 80s for much of central Kentucky with upper 70s in the east. Much warmer air continues to push into the region to start the new work week. Thermometer readings will head into the upper 80s for Monday and Tuesday and have an outside shot at hitting 90:

Humidity levels will also soar during this time and the phrase “heat index” will likely come into play. Storms will be a bit more isolated during this time.

A greater threat for strong or severe storms will be with us for Wednesday and Thursday. This is one of the few severe weather signals we’ve seen this year and will have to be watched closely.

A cold front will blow through here early Friday and knock our temps way down:

A warm up looks to take place over Memorial Day weekend as the threat for a few storms returns.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

The greatest threat for showers and storms will continue to be during the afternoon and evening hours. Locally heavy rains will be possible and that’s something for us to keep an eye on. We can do just that with our daily dose of tracking toys:

Temps today will hit the mid and upper 70s before the drops kick into high gear.

Sunday will feature more warm air and high humidity levels as temps head closer to 80 degrees. Scattered storms will flare back up in the afternoon and evening hours… especially across the east. That’s the area closest to an area of low pressure.

Temps will really take off in the coming days and may reach the mid and upper 80s early next week:

Storms will be more isolated for Monday and Tuesday. The storm chances will increase by the middle and end of the week.

Have a wonderful Saturday and take care.

A stalled out front is straddling the Ohio Valley today and will combine with some juice from the Gulf of Mexico to spawn more storms today. Those will be most common during the afternoon and evening. Locally heavy downpours, a lot of lightning and small hail will be possible.

Let’s track it:

Saturday may feature a little better coverage of the showers and storms as a weak impulse gives the air a little more lift. Check out the action from the GFS:

Those storms may produce some heavy rain totals if they get cranking.

Another round of scattered storms will get going by the end of the day Sunday:

Monday and Tuesday will see temps surge back into the middle and upper 80s as we get a break in the widespread storms. Those look to return by the middle and end of the week.

Have a great Friday and take care.

Once the showers and thunderstorms kick in, they look to hang around a while.

Today’s action will be fairly scattered and will really ramp up during the afternoon and evening as a cold front nears from the north. That front will never make it through here, but it will get close enough to touch off the storms.

Highs will range from the upper 70s to around 80.

Each day of the weekend will feature the threat for afternoon and evening boomers:

Locally heavy rains will be a possibility during this time. Showers and storms might become more widespread into early next week. Some of the storms could become strong or severe by that time.

This is when we have to watch for a slow-moving storm to move in by the second half of the week. That shows up well on the European Model:

That could make for some ugly weather later next week or the following weekend.

Have a great day and take care.

Good Wednesday and welcome to a summer preview. Highs on Tuesday soared toward 80 degrees and will go even higher today. This pattern will feature several days of highs in the 80s. But it will come with a price as showers and thunderstorms begin to flare up again.

Highs today will hit the middle 80s for much of the region. These aren’t too far away from record highs in the upper 80s. Parts of Western Kentucky might hit the upper 80s to about 90 degrees. That is impressive, my friends.

A cold front will drop into the Ohio Valley on Thursday and will deliver the threat of showers and thunderstorms. That front will never make it through here, but it will hang around the region through the weekend.

A strong cold front will then sweep into town by late Tuesday, with a strong and severe storms possible. Check out the seven-day rainfall forecast from the GFS:

The good news is that temps will continue to run on the toasty side, with highs in the upper 70s and low 80s. Throw in higher humidity levels, and you have a lot of juice for the storms to work with.

Our wet spring rolls on.

Make it a great day and take care.

That warm air starts to take hold Tuesday afternoon and evening. We will start with temps around 40 and end with middle 70s on a gusty southwesterly wind. Highs will reach into the 80s by Wednesday.

Take a look at the high temps from the GFS:

The warmer air will be accompanied by a big increase in humidity levels, and that will lead to a scattering of showers and thunderstorms. That threat will carry into the weekend. Here’s the GFS rainfall forecast:

Another strong cold front will enter the picture early next week and bring a more pronounced threat of showers and thunderstorms. That front might also bring one more shot of cool air by the middle of next week.

Make it a great Tuesday and take care.

Today starts out with frost and temps in the low and mid 30s. Record lows are likely to be set in many cites across central and eastern Kentucky. Sunny skies this afternoon will boost readings toward the 60 degree mark.

Eastern Kentucky may see another round of frost Tuesday morning as temps drop back into the mid and upper 30s. The warmer air then surges in here on Tuesday with temps well into the 70s. The summer feel kicks in on Wednesday:

Thermometers on Wednesday will hit the low to mid 80s with mainly sunny skies. More humidity pushes in for the second half of the week and that will likely touch off scattered showers and thunderstorms.

The scattered storms will likely be around for the coming weekend as the warm air remains. Highs look to range from the upper 70s to the lower 80s.

Have a great start to the week and take care.

The good news is that some sunshine will be noted out there today. We wills tart thermometers out in the upper 30s to low 40s and end things with temps in the high 50s. That’s close to 15 degrees below normal.

Temps tonight will drop into the low to mid 30s and this will set the stage for frost across much of central and eastern Kentucky. Record lows may also bite the dust:

Lexington: 37 1996     32 is the coldest recorded temp for this late in the season. (May 20, 1894)

Frankfort: 34 1941     31 is the coldest recorded temp for this late in the season. (May 22, 2002)

We have a shot at getting close to the coldest readings we’ve ever had for this late in the spring. Any fog or high clouds will have an impact on thermometers and how low they can go.

Temps by Monday afternoon will be near 60 degrees with more sun. Much warmer air will start to push in by Tuesday and that really kicks into high gear for Wednesday:

This is the start of a more typical May setup that will also lead to more in the way of showers and thunderstorms:

Have a wonderful day and take care.