A summer preview for the week ahead

Good Sunday and Happy Mother’s Day to all the moms out there. Today’s weather is looking very warm and that’s a sign of things to come. The upcoming week will give us a little preview of the summer ahead.

Highs today are generally around 80 for much of central and eastern Kentucky. Here’s a look at the temps for the Lexington metro:

While this is a mainly dry day, there is a small threat for a shower or thunderstorm developing. The best chance may be across the east:

Temps for the week ahead look downright toasty with mid and upper 80s possible each day:

The next threat for scattered showers and storms won’t be until Thursday and Friday. That’s ahead of a slow-moving cold front well to our west. That will keep the threat for a few storms going into next weekend. All in all, the heaviest rains during this time may be to our west:

Temps will still be very warm into next weekend, but a more typical May pattern returns for the following week. That should knock our temps back down and increase our storm chances.

Happy Mother’s Day and take care.

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Summer temps move in

Good Saturday to one and all. Our weather has been pretty ugly of late, but some of the good stuff is rolling in for the weekend. This good stuff might turn into a toasty pattern as we roll into the week ahead.

Saturday’s temps will make a run at the low 70s in most areas, with plenty of sunshine taking over.

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Temps for Mother’s Day will be even higher, with highs near the 80-degree mark. Skies will stay mostly sunny for all the moms out there.

Temps into the first half of next week will really take off. Highs will range from the middle to upper 80s, with mostly dry weather continuing.

Once we get beyond that, things will change just a bit. Scattered showers and storms will increase from Thursday into next weekend:

Tthe overall weather pattern stays very warm, but it’s also likely to turn stormy in the following week. The GFS ensembles rainfall map shows the big increase from the Plains into the Ohio Valley:

Have a sensational Saturday and take care.

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Wet weather gives way to a great weekend

Good Friday, everyone. Our Friday is another ugly one, with showers and lower temps tag-teaming the Bluegrass State. This will give way to much, much better weather blowing in for the weekend.

Highs Firday are generally in the 60s, but they could drop into the upper 50s at times. Your Friday tracking tools:

Saturday might start with some clouds but will end with mostly sunny skies and highs pushing the 70-degree mark.

Mother’s Day looks good, with highs nearing 80 with mainly sunny skies.

After that, it’s a May version of heat and humidity. This setup comes from a big ridge of high pressure across the eastern half of the country:

This could throw some 90-degree highs our way for the middle and end of the week:

It’s awfully early to be talking about temps that high.

This pattern might eventually lead to more strong or severe storms late next week and the following weekend.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Tracking the isolated severe weather threat

Good Thursday, everybody. We have a strong cold front working into the region, touching off some strong or severe storms. This action could also bring some hefty rain totals our way into Friday.

Scattered storms are possible at any point Thursday, but the main action comes in late afternoon and the evening. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary players.

Ahead of the storms, temps will spike into the 80- to 85-degree range in many areas.

Gusty showers and some thunder will carry us into Friday as temps drop from west to east. Temps might be in the 50s by late afternoon. Some 1 to 2 inches of rain is possible through Friday.

The weekend weather looks much better, with sunshine and highs approaching 80 by Mother’s Day.

Summer temps surge in next week, with some areas making a run at 90. This setup could lead to a big severe-weather setup late in the week.

 

I have you all set to do some Thursday storm tracking:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
US60 @ US460

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-275 at Mineola Pike
Near Covington
I-275 @ Mineola Pike

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

Make it a great Thursday and take care.

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A summer feel fires up a few storms

Good Wednesday to one and all. Summer temps and high humidity have invaded the Bluegrass State, and this will hang around for a few days. This round of summer air will lead to scattered storms before better weather moves in for Mom’s big weekend.

Highs Wednesday range from 80 to 85, with the chance of scattered storms around. Any storm that goes through can be on the strong side. Here are your tracking tools for the day:

Thursday’s weather looks very similar, with the potential for a few strong storms, but the day will feature lots of dry times. Highs should again be in the 80- to 85-degree range.

A better chance of widespread rain will be with us Friday as low pressure passes through. Highs for the start of the weekend will come way down:

Mother’s Day looks really, really good, with highs topping out in the 70s with mostly sunny skies. You’re welcome, Mom. 🙂

Warmer air moves back in next week, with highs in the 80s possible. This setup will then come with more rounds of showers and storms. Here are the two-week rain totals from the GFS ensembles:

Have a great day and take care.

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Scattered storms return

Good Tuesday, folks. Much warmer air continues to push into Central and Eastern Kentucky, bringing an increase in scattered storms. These storms will hang around for much of the week, with the potential for a few strong boomers.

Tuesday’s action is along and north of a warm front draped across our region. The most likely chance of storms will be across the eastern half of the state, with some heavy rainfall a good bet.

Outside of the storms, highs could reach the upper 70s to low 80s.

Here are the tracking tools for the day:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Scattered showers and storms will be around for Wednesday and Thursday as temps make a run at 80 degrees. Higher humidity levels will also come along for the ride, leading to the chance for a few strong storms.

A general shower pattern may then take shape by Friday, as low pressure works across the Ohio Valley. Rain totals over the next 5 days could average 1″-2″ for many parts of the state:

Highs on Friday look a little cooler with readings from 60-65 in most areas. Winds should be on the gusty side, too.

Mother’s Day Weekend is looking better with an increase in sunshine and temps. Highs could be around 75 for the big day.

This may take us into a much warmer setup for next week.

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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Storms increase this week

Good Monday to one and all. Our new week is starting out on a frosty note in many areas, but rain and thunderstorms are set to take over by Tuesday. This action will carry us through the rest of the week, with much colder air waiting for the weekend. Sigh.

Highs Monday will reach 65 to 70 in many areas, with partly sunny skies. Warmer air will then try to fight in for the next few days, with thunderstorms developing on the leading edge of it.

These storms develop from northwest to southeast Tuesday and Wednesday, and they could put down some hefty rain amounts. The NAM would indicate a flash-flood threat:

The GFS isn’t as aggressive, but it has been trending that direction over the past few days:

From there, additional showers and thunderstorms will be noted for the rest of the week as a front stalls on top of us. This will be followed by a storm system to start the weekend:

That’s a pretty ugly setup, with much colder than normal air waiting to push back in for the weekend. These numbers are well below normal:

That’s another very ugly look!

Make it a great Monday and take care.

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The week ahead looks busy

Good Sunday to one and all. Our Kentucky Derby weekend is wrapping up with a touch of frost in a few spots this morning. A bigger frost threat is waiting to start the week ahead… A week that looks pretty darn busy across the bluegrass state.

Highs today should hit the upper 50s and low 60s in many areas with partly sunny skies. The clear conditions will set the state for the potential for a widespread frost by Monday morning. There’s even the chance for a few of the cold valleys to sneak into the upper 20s.

The GFS continues to advertise this:

Monday afternoon will see temps in the 60s with an increase in high clouds. These clouds are on the leading edge of warmer air trying to fight in here from the west. This should be able to fire up some decent thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday.

The NAM is showing some decent totals across the eastern half of the state:

We especially need to watch those clusters of storms because some warm and moist air is feeding into them. Check out the temp surge being forecast behind that warm front:

Additional showers and thunderstorms then increase later Wednesday through the start of next weekend. This happens as another ugly weather maker rolls across our part of the world:

Much cooler air is likely as that system works off to our east and northeast.

Have a sensational Sunday and take care.

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Scattered showers for our Derby Day

Good Saturday to one and all. It’s Kentucky Derby Day, but the weather is looking and feeling more like something out of March. The ugly stuff will soon move away, leaving behind a frost and light freeze threat.

Scattered showers and a rumble of thunder is possible across the area today as a disturbance moves in from the northwest. It’s not going to rain all day, but any shower or storm may have some small hail with it. Highs will generally be in the 50s.

Track away:

Clouds clear out of here tonight with low and middle 30s delivering some patchy frost by Sunday morning. Highs on Sunday will be in the upper 50s to low 60s with mostly sunny skies. Monday morning is when some parts of central and eastern Kentucky can get in on a light freeze. A few spots may drop into the upper 20s:

Green Thumbs are on high alert for the next few days.

Warmer air tries to fight in here by the middle of the week, but it gets cut off at the pass by another ugly setup. This fight leads to an extended period of wet weather. Watch this:

That same battle shows up on the temp maps, with the chill winning out:

Once again, there is NOTHING pretty about the forecast as we roll through the month of May.

Have a great Derby Day and take care.

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A wet start to Derby Weekend

Good Friday , folks. It’s Kentucky Oaks Day, and our weather is looking pretty ugly for folks heading to Churchill Downs. Some of it will continue into Derby Day, with a frost threat to follow that. This is not a very nice Kentucky Derby weekend.

Highs Friday are generally in the 50s, with scattered showers and gusty winds:

Another system dives in for Derby Day, with more showers on the move. These showers should clear out of Louisville before the Run for the Roses. Highs in Louisville might hit 60 as the showers end.

For the rest of us in Central and Eastern Kentucky, highs will be in the 50s.

As skies clear by Sunday morning, frost is a possibility. Lows could flirt with 32 degrees in many areas. Similar conditions are likely Monday morning, so green thumbs are on alert.

Our skies improve for early next week, but another ugly weather maker rolls in later in the week and next weekend. This could produce some showers and provide us with another shot of very chilly air:

That might even deliver another frost threat to the Bluegrass State.

There is nothing pretty about this pattern shaping up for the month of May.

Have a great Kentucky Oaks Day and take care.

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