Tracking storms and a fall chill

Good Thursday to one and all. Showers and thunderstorms are rumbling across the state ahead of a strong cold front. This front will bring a huge change to our overall weather pattern as a blast of fall sweeps in.

Heavy rainfall is a good bet as the showers and storms slowly work through. We will need to watch for some local high water issues early Thursday. Things will begin to dry up from northwest to southeast late in the day and into the evening. This is when the cold front moves across the region.

I have you all set to track the action:

 

 

Friday’s forecast has changed a little bit. It now looks as if the chance of showers Saturday might be a day earlier. I can’t rule out some showers developing throughout the day. That threat would then take us into Saturday:

EuroHighs this weekend should remain in the high 60s to low 70s, with lows in the 40s. I’m also tracking another system that could bring some showers early next week. That keeps the cooler-than-normal weather going for the middle and end of the week:

Euro 3

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking storms before the cool arrives

Good Wednesday, everyone.  A strong cold front continues to surge toward the Bluegrass State and arrives later Thursday. This front will bring a major increase in showers and thunderstorms, but will be more known for what’s behind it. A big blast of fall air moves in for the weekend.

Wednesday will feature a mix of sun and clouds and the threat for scattered showers and storms going up. Winds will be very gusty, with highs in the low to middle 80s.

A squall line of thunderstorms will develop Wednesday evening across the Mississippi River Valley. That rolls our way overnight and early Thursday and could bring some strong storms our way. High winds will be the main threat.

I have you all set to track the threat:

Tuesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Temps will fall behind the front from west to east on Thursday afternoon and evening. Highs for Friday will be near 70, with highs in the upper 60s to about 70 over the weekend. Lows are likely to drop into the 40s.

The cooler than normal air will be around for much of the country through next week:

GFS 2 GFS 3I’m also keep a close eye on shower chances over the next week. Saturday could feature a few drops with a greater rain threat coming early next week.

Have a great day and take care.

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Storms to usher in fall air

Good Tuesday, folks. The focus of the forecast continues to be on a big blast of fall air blowing in by the end of the week. That will give us the coolest air we’ve had since the spring. Once it gets in here, it might hang around for a while.

Our weather Tuesday looks pretty good, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. There is the smallest threat of a shower or thunderstorm, but most areas will stay dry.

Current temperatures

Our powerhouse of a cold front arrives by Thursday. This is likely to fire up a line of showers and thunderstorms that sweeps in from the west:

NAM

The simulated radar from the NAM shows this line working in:

NAM 2We will need to watch for a few strong storms and gusty winds as these storms roll through. The big news will be the cool air coming in behind that system. Highs from Friday through the weekend and into early next week are likely to be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Overnight lows on any night that features clear skies could drop into the low and mid-40s.

Such a setup can also produce a chance of showers. I think the best time on that would be Saturday and then again Monday.

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking a big blast of fall

Good Monday, everyone. After a half-and-half weather weekend, my attention turns toward a big blast of fall air. That looks to arrive just in time for the weekend and might give us the coolest air we’ve had since spring.

Let’s start with where we are now. Highs Monday will reach the upper 70s to near 80, with a mix of sun and clouds. There is a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, especially in the east.

Let’s track whatever is out there:

Current temperatures

Warmer air surges in for the middle of the week as highs return to the 80s. You will notice a tad more humidity, and that could fuel a storm or two.

The threat of showers and booming thunderstorms will increase Thursday. That’s when our strong cold front move in:

GFSA few strong storms and gusty winds will be possible as that system works in. That’s a serious blast of chill for this time of year after the front. I’s likely to produce snow from the Rockies to the northern plains.

For us, some models keep highs in the 60s this weekend:

Lows should be able to drop deep into the 40s.

It looks as if the cooler-than-normal air will hang on into next week.

Enjoy your Monday and take care.

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Signs of fall showing up

Good Sunday to one and all. We have a MUCH better weather day across central and eastern  Kentucky today. Cooler and drier air has pushed into much of our region to finally make it feel like September. This is likely just a small preview of what the pattern throws at us late next week.

Highs today will reach the mid and upper 70s for most of the area. Skies should be partly sunny with a small chance for a shower or storm in the south and east.

Current Temperatures

Lows tonight will hit the low and mid 50s and that’s how we start out the new week. Afternoon highs will be right around 80 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds. Isolated showers or storms will be possible across the east.

Temps and moisture will increase by Tuesday and Wednesday. That should boost thermometers well into the 80s with the threat for scattered showers and storms.

What follows this up is a BIG fall storm system that rolls from the plains toward the Great Lakes:

Euro 3That should bring snow to the west of the track of the low with strong and severe storms ahead of it. We could see a few big boomers around here as the front moves through. A HUGE area of high pressure slides in behind that front and will knock temps well below normal for much of the country:

Euro 2 What does that mean for us? Highs in the 60s and near record lows in the low and mid 40s are possible next weekend.

Fall is in the air!

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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A stormy start to the weekend

Good Saturday, everyone. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are rolling across Kentucky ahead of a strong cold front. This front will bring much better weather our way for Sunday. Speaking of changes… I am tracking some big ones for the upcoming week. More on that in a bit.

The showers and storms today won’t bring a constant rain to any one location.  Still, it’s not going to be a good day to be caught outside without the rain gear. If you’re heading out to Commonwealth Stadium, pack the poncho.

I have you all set to track today’s action:

 

 

Sunday looks much better as cooler and drier air works in from the northwest. Most areas will see partly sunny skies with highs in the upper 70s.

Monday starts cool with low and mid 50s, but some storms may push back in by the end of the day. The scattered storms for early week may become much more widespread by mid week as a BIG TIME cold front arrives:

Euro

The air coming in behind that front will be straight out of late October. Many of the models are showing a few days with highs only in the 60s:

GFSLows could drop well into the 40s next weekend.

Make it a wonderful Saturday and take care.

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Your weekend forecast

Good Friday, everyone. Our weekend weather pattern continues to favor some bad and some good. The longer range looks to feature some much bigger changes as fall weather starts to show up.

Steamy temps are back Friday, with highs in the upper 80s for much of Central and Eastern Kentucky. A shower or thunderstorm will be possible as the day wears on.

Current temperatures

High school football fans should expect the steamy weather to hang around with a small storm threat:

SPECIAL 2Showers and storms will increase Saturday, with a cold front working into the region. Locally heavy downpours will be possible. As of now, it looks like some scattered storms will be around for the Cats’ game at Commonwealth Stadium:

UK KICKOFF

Sunday’s weather looks better, with highs in the upper 70s and a mix of sun and clouds:

GFSShowers and storms won’t get too far away and will return to the weather picture early next week. There’s the potential for heavy rain by the middle and end of the week as we make the transition toward October air.

Check out the amount of chill showing up on the models for next weekend:GFS 2That will be something for us to follow closely in the coming days.

Make it a great Friday and take care.

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Watching a half-and-half weekend

Good Thursday, folks. Steamy weather is back in the Bluegrass State, and that means showers and thunderstorms won’t be far behind. This action looks to really increase as we head into the start of the weekend. The start is wet, but the end looks pretty darn good.

Isolated showers and storms are possible Thursday across Central and Eastern Kentucky as highs hit the mid- and upper 80s.

Current temperatures

Scattered showers and storms look to increase on Friday as the steamy air remains. Showers and storms will then become much more widespread on Saturday as a strong cold front drifts in from the northwest. Locally heavy rains are possible, and this might have an effect on tailgating and the UK game at Commonwealth Stadium.

EuroThe models show this front moving through a little quicker, and that could mean a late-day drying trend. Cooler and drier air then filters in for Sunday. Check out the highs from the GFS:

GFS

Lows Sunday and Monday look to be in the pleasant low and middle 50s. Nice weather should take us into the start of the week, with more storms lurking by the middle of the week.

Have a wonderful day and take care.

 

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Better air blows in Wednesday

Good Wednesday, everyone. Our stormy pattern is taking a brief break across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This means we have a couple of mostly dry days settling into our region. It’s not going to last long, so make sure to get out and enjoy it.

A weak cold front is working to our south and bringing much better weather into town. Highs today will range from the low to middle 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. I still can’t rule out a shower or thunderstorm popping up across the south and east.

Track away:

Current temperatures

Thursday looks a little warmer and more humid with highs in the mid to upper 80s. There will be a small chance for isolated showers and storms going up.

Our storm chances increase into Friday as a slow-moving cold front works our way from the northwest. This front moves in over the weekend with a big increase in showers and storms. Saturday looks particularly stormy:

GFS Locally heavy rains will be possible. A few storms will linger into Sunday as our front sweeps through here. Cooler and drier air works in to start the new week.

That won’t last very long because additional rounds of showers and storms develop by the middle of next week:

GFS 2

This looks like a soggy September in the making.

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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Tracking more showers and storms

Good Tuesday to one and all. It’s another day of scattered showers and thunderstorms across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This shouldn’t come as a big surprise, because we are in a pattern similar to the one that brought us the third-wettest August ever in Lexington.

A few of the storms might be strong or severe, and I have all the tools you need to track the action.

Tuesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Scattered showers and storms will be possible Wednesday and Thursday as steamy weather returns. A stronger cold front will then work its way here to start the weekend and will bring more showers and storms with it.

Euro Strong storms and heavy rainfall will be possible Friday and Saturday. That combination doesn’t look good for football fans. High school games Friday and the Kentucky game Saturday could be affected.

Cooler and drier air moves in late in the weekend and early next week:

Euro 3Make it a great Tuesday and take care.

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