Tracking a strong cold front

Good Friday, everyone. We have finally made it to the kickoff of the high school football season in Kentucky. In true 2016 fashion, we have some scattered showers and storms on the move. This action leads us into more storms for the weekend.

Highs Friday will range from 80 to 85 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds. Scattered showers and storms will be around, and a few could affect a game or two Friday night.

The storm threat increases late Saturday as a potent cold front moves in from the northwest. That front will spawn a line of strong thunderstorms sweeping across the region:

Euro

The weather turns very nice behind that boundary. Highs Sunday afternoon will stay in the upper 70s as skies clear. Humidity will drop, with dry weather taking over. Highs early next week will be in the upper 70s to near 80. Lows could drop deep into the 50s:

GFS TEMPS 1That certainly feel very, very nice.

Another cold front shows up by the end of next week. That could bring a few more showers and storms:

Euro 2

Here are your tracking tools for the day:

Have a great day and take care.

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More storms usher in a September preview

Good Thursday to one and all. To say this summer has been a soggy one would be an understatement. So it should come as no surprise that we have more showers and storms on the way. That said,  I do have some good news. Cool and dry air moves in early next week.

Thursday’s storms will be scattered about the region, but more likely across the southern half of the state. This action can put down enough water to cause some local problems again. Your tracking tools in a bit.

Thunderstorms will increase a bit Friday, and we would get in on a complex or two of storms. The NAM has been hinting at this for a while:

NAM

That wouldn’t be good news for the kick off the high school football season across Kentucky.

A potent system dives into the region late Saturday and early Sunday. This setup can bring some strong to severe thunderstorms:

Canadian

Late Saturday into early Sunday could bring some strong storms and flash flooding to parts of our region.

This is being pushed by a significant trough digging into the country:

GFS

Highs in the mid- and upper 70s might be common from Sunday through Tuesday. Lows during this time should drop deep into the 50s.

I leave you with the regular dose of tracking tools:

Have a great day and take care.

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A stormy setup rolls on

Good Wednesday, everyone. We have a cold front on top of the region, and this slow-mover is causing additional rounds of showers and storms to develop. This is the first of two big fronts to show up over the next several days.

Wednesday’s showers and storms will put down a lot of water in a short amount time, so watch for local stream and street flooding.

Leftover showers and storms will be around Thursday as the front slows down to our south. That might set the stage for some additional storms for the first day of the high school football season Friday:

Euro

The next front arrives this weekend with widespread showers and strong thunderstorms:

Euro 2

This will unleash a much cooler-than-normal pattern for next week. Highs by Monday might run several degrees below normal:

Canadian

Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s will be common next week. Lows might drop into the 50s on several mornings. Bring it!

Have a great day and take care.

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More storms around

Good Tuesday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue to rumble across Central and Eastern Kentucky. These storms can put down a lot of water in a short amount of time over the next few days.

Tuesday’s storms will continue to come at us from the south and southwest. A few of them can be strong, but the heavy rain threat is the one to watch. These boomers can put down a quick inch or two in an hour or so.

Track away:

Wednesday will feature more of the same, with locally heavy rain the main player.

Scattered storms will be around Thursday and Friday, with highs in the 80s.

Storms will rapidly increase this weekend as a strong cold front moves in from the northwest:

Euro 2

Some of those storms will be strong, with heavy rain a possibility. Much cooler air comes in behind this for late Sunday and Monday:

Canadian

Highs early next week may not get out of the upper 70s for a few days.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Tropical rain slowly moves in

Good Monday to one and all. Tropical rain-producing showers and thunderstorms have been scattered across the region for the past few days. The main action has been very slow to move into our part of the world, but that should change over the next few days.

We will continue to see scattered showers and storms out there Monday, with locally heavy rains likely. Track away:

The showers and storms will increase Tuesday and Wednesday, and that’s when we will have to be on guard for some local high-water problems. Yes, I know this is slower than I was thinking a few days ago, but the threat is real.

The GFS is spitting our some notable totals this week:

GFS

The Canadian model has much more of a threatening look:

Canadian

It gets very steamy late this week as showers and thunderstorms increase again. That continues into the weekend as a shot of cool air dives into the Plains States:

Euro

The Ensembles show a blast of cool air sweeping in:

Euro 3

Most medium range models show highs a week from now in the 70s:

GFS Temps 3

Have a magnificent Monday and take care.

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Heavy rain threat for some

Good Sunday, everyone. We continue to track tropical rain producing showers and thunderstorms into the region. This action is part of a setup that can put down some very heavy rains over the next several days.

Here’s a breakdown:

  • The greatest  threat for flash flooding is  across the west and north.
  • That’s where we could see some big time rain amounts setting up. As a matter of fact, MAJOR flooding is possible across sections of the Ohio Valley.
  • Without wishing ill will on anyone else, here’s hoping the worst stays away from the bluegrass state.
  • Across eastern and southeastern Kentucky, the stuff is more scattered in nature. But, any storm that goes up will be capable of producing flash flooding. There is just an incredible amount of moisture available.
  • In looking ahead, I can’t find one day in the next week to ten days that looks totally rain free across the state.

Your Sunday storm tracking tools:

Have a sensational Sunday and take care.

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Tracking the heavy rain potential

Good Saturday, everyone. We have rounds of showers and thunderstorms setting to increase in the coming days. This will lead to some hefty rainfall numbers across parts of the region.

The prime time for the heaviest rain will be Sunday through Tuesday. That’s when several inches of rain could fall across our region. The greatest threat should be across central and western parts of the state.

Special 3

In the short term, scattered storms will be out there Saturday. Heavy rain will be possible with the afternoon and evening storms. Track away:

Highs will again be in the middle and upper 80s, with a heat index approaching 95 degrees.

If you’re looking for a break in this steamy pattern, we mighty have something to look forward to. The models show a nice dip in the jet stream showing up next weekend and beyond:

GFS

Have a great day and take care.

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Tropical steam to storms

Good Friday, everyone. The Bluegrass State feels more like the sunshine state this week as tropical humidity rolls on. This will lead to additional steamy temperatures and a big increase in thunderstorms.

In the short term, highs Friday will again be in the upper 80s to about 90. That’s pretty typical for this time of year. The problem comes from the humidity, which will make it feel 95 to 100 in many areas. Shew!

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will blow up Friday afternoon and evening.

These showers and thunderstorms will really ramp up later this weekend and for much of next week. The flow comes from a semi-tropical system from the Gulf. You can see how much rain is possible from the Gulf into the Ohio Valley:

Canadian

This could bring too much rain in some areas over the next week and change.

The longer-range models are looking for the potential for cooler times by next weekend:

Canadian 2

Have a great day and take care.

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Steam and storms to increase

Good Thursday to one and all. It’s a big-time taste of the tropics across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This steamy air will lead to an increase in showers and thunderstorms that can put down some hefty rain numbers.

Let’s start with Thursday.

Highs will again be in the upper 80s, but high humidity will make it feel as if we are deep into the 90s. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur during the afternoon and evening.

You know the drill:

Rounds of showers and storms around will increase Friday and into the weekend:

NAM

Heavy rainfall can lead to some high-water problems developing over the weekend and into the first half of next week. That’s especially true with the models leaving this setup going strong:

Euro

That type a setup could put down a ton of rain from the Gulf of Mexico all the way into the Ohio Valley.

Have a great day and take care.

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Heavy rain threat sets up

Good Wednesday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms moved across the region Tuesday, bringing heavy rains back to the bluegrass. This setup is going to continue for the next week, at least. That means the local flash flood threat may increase.

The weather out there today can only be described as tropical. We have a direct pipeline from the Gulf of Mexico into Kentucky, and that’s giving us steamy and stormy weather.

Scattered storms will go up in the afternoon and evening, and these can bring additional heavy rains to a few spots. Track away:

The NAM keeps trying to spit out a more consolidated corridor of heavy rains later Thursday into Friday…

NAM

The Friday stuff has widespread support from other models that continue this into the coming weekend. The GFS…

GFS

That setup is rather ugly looking and can lead to an even greater flash flood threat.

Have a great day and take care.

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