Here comes a weekend cold blast

Good Thursday, everyone. The heavy rain and high winds of Wednesday have pushed off to our east. Now we get some decent weather for a few days, but don’t get used to it. The coldest air of the fall season is on the way for the weekend.

Highs Thursday will reach the mid- and upper 50s in many areas with partly sunny skies. Winds will still be gusty as another weak front moves in. It will knock temps down into the low 30s by Friday morning. Afternoon highs will hit the upper 40s to low 50s.

Saturday finds a strong, winter looking, system diving in here. Temps will spike into the upper 40s to low 50s ahead of this front, then drop quickly into the 30s as the front sweeps through. Winds will be very gusty during the big drop.

Several models continue to indicate the potential for a band of rain and snow showers working in behind the boundary:

I have no changes on my Saturday thoughts. A strong cold front dives in from the northwest with a band of rain and snow showers along and behind it:


Temps continue to tank Saturday evening as a strong northwesterly wind kicks in. Throw in the wind and lows near 20, you can get some very cold wind chills showing up late Saturday night:

GFS TempsHighs Sunday will be in the mid- and upper 30s with a mix of sun and clouds, and with morning flurries possible.

Temps stay seasonally cold early next week, with mainly dry weather. That should change as we get into the Thanksgiving weekend with another storm system affecting our region.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Tracking high winds and heavy rain

Good Wednesday, everyone. A powerful storm system is affecting the Bluegrass State. It is bringing heavy rain and high winds to much of our region. As expected, it’s also going to allow more of a winter pattern to unfold in the coming weeks.

Winds today could reach 40 to 45 mph at times ahead of our cold front. A band of heavy rain producing showers and storms works slowly through here from midday into the evening.



Temps start well into the 60s then drop behind the front.

Thursday looks much better, with highs in the 50s and partly sunny skies. Winds will continue to be gusty. Temps Friday will start in the low 30s and rise to the upper 40s by afternoon.

This leads us into a winter-looking system that drops in from the northwest on Saturday. This one is being pushed by a significant blast of cold air and might be introduced by a band of rain and snow showers:

EuroWinds will be very gusty as temps crash through the 30s behind the front. Temps could drop into the upper 20s by late Saturday evening and keep dropping from there:

GFS TempsAS I said, this is some cold stuff coming our way.

Thanksgiving week starts chilly and dry, but a late-week storm system might develop and work our way:

GFS 3We still have a week and change to figure out what happens with that system. For now, let’s take them one at a time.

Enjoy your day and take care.

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Rain and wind to increase Wednesday

Good Tuesday, folks. A powerhouse of a storm across the Plains states is affecting our weather with scattered showers. The real impact from this storm comes Wednesday as wet and windy weather kicks into high gear.

The showers out there Tuesday morning will scoot through quickly, with afternoon sunshine in some areas. Winds will increase and highs will spike into the mid- and upper 60s.



Winds will really crank up Tuesday night and Wednesday, and higher gusts could reach 40 mph. A slow-moving line of showers and thunderstorms then sweeps in from west to east during the day. The highest chance of rain for Central and Eastern Kentucky comes during the afternoon and evening.

Rain totals of around one inch are possible. Locally higher amounts are possible.

Colder and drier air moves in Thursday and Friday.

A notable cold blast sweeps in over the weekend and could bring some rain and snow to our region. The European Model suggests that for Saturday with the potential for some flurries Saturday night and Sunday on a strong northwesterly wind flow:

EuroThe GFS also suggests the possibility of the first snowflakes of the season:


This is a pretty potent cold shot of air diving straight into the region from the northwest:
Euro 2

Enjoy the mild weather Tuesday and take care.


Euro NAM

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Tracking another big storm system

Good Monday to one and all. Mild winds will continue to blow across the region over the next few days. This flow is ahead of a potent storm working across the Plains states and targeting our region with another round of heavy rain and some thunder.

Here’s a breakdown:

  • Clouds increase Monday as winds become southwesterly. A couple of showers arrive late in the day into evening across Central and Western Kentucky.
  • Tuesday should be a mainly dry day with highs well into the 60s. Winds will gust from the southwest.
  • Wednesday is the big day of impact from our storm system as a wall of heavy rain works from west to east:

GFS Rain totals of an inch or two will be possible as the line sweeps through:

GFS 2Winds could gust to 35 mph at times as this system works through. Much colder air then pushes in for Thursday and Friday.

Recent computer model forecasts for next weekend have shown a winter looking system zipping across the Ohio Valley. The European Model is one of them:


Here’s the snow forecast from that run of the European Model:

Euro 2

We will have to wait and see how that works out, but  a much colder pattern is taking shape over the next few weeks. That means we have the potential for cold turkey for Thanksgiving week.

Make it a magnificent Monday and take care.

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A big storm system for the week ahead

Good Sunday, everyone. We have another big storm system slowly working our way over the next several days. This should be the catalyst to kick off a much colder pattern as we head toward Thanksgiving.

Before we get into all the nasty weather, we have one more nice day out there today. Highs will be in the upper 50s and could push 60 in a few spots. Skies stay mostly sunny.

A powerful low pressure system develops across the Rockies on Monday and works into the plains states. Showers will be around late Monday into early Tuesday, but the bulk of the action comes late Tuesday into Wednesday.

Rainfall totals could be impressive, especially across western parts of the region:

GFS Temps 2

Once this storm goes by, we see things starting to really change up. It’s an overall pattern change across North America that’s coming from blocking across the eastern Pacific. That’s something we have seen a lot of since the fall of 2013. To me, it was the driving force that led to our back to back brutal winters here in Kentucky. That doesn’t mean we can expect the same this winter per say, but it’s trying to flex some early season muscle.

As that blocking gets established, the pattern across the United States trends colder and, likely, much colder. The first system to watch for will be a cold front next weekend. That front crosses the region and several models have been showing a low pressure developing along it or just to our southeast. The latest GFS has this…


And the air coming behind that is COLD…


That cold takes us through Thanksgiving week into the holiday weekend. If anything, it may try to trend colder…


Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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All eyes on a big storm next week

Good Saturday, everyone. We continue to enjoy a nice, but chilly weekend across central and eastern Kentucky. You really need to get outside and enjoy every minute of it because another BIG storm rolls in early next week. That pattern may unlock a more wintry setup into Thanksgiving week.

Highs today will be in the upper 40s and low 50s under mainly sunny skies. Skies stay clear into Sunday with low 30s to start and upper 50s to end.

After a chilly and dry weekend, the weather gets cranking early next week with a powerful storm developing to our west…

GFSThat system brings an increase in rain Monday into Tuesday with the bulk of the action arriving Tuesday night into Wednesday…

GFS 4Such a slow-moving and powerful storm can put down a lot of rain around here. High water issues are a real possibility into the middle of next week.

Much colder air comes in behind that for the end of the week and introduces a pattern that has much more of a wintry look. We will have to watch a potential system next weekend that sets the stage for even bigger potential Thanksgiving Week…


Blocking across Greenland and blocking in the eastern Pacific is really getting my attention. Those two can cause some winter mischief across the country in the closing weeks of the month.

Make it a great Saturday and take care.

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A calm weekend before another storm

Good Friday, everyone. The weekend is just about to kick off and things are looking chilly but nice. You should take full advantage of the nice weather, because another huge storm system will affect our weather early next week.

Highs Friday will reach the upper 40s to low 50s under partly sunny skies. Winds will be a factor, with gusts to 30 mph possible. Temps drop quickly into the 30s Friday evening before settling into the upper 20s and low 30s by Saturday morning.

Saturday and Sunday will feature sunny skies and highs again in the upper 40s and low 50s.

The storm early next week will be a slow mover with the potential for strong storms, heavy rain and gusty winds:

GFS 2That could get ugly, especially with rainfall totals like these:

GFSMuch colder air follows that, with the potential for a second storm system developing next weekend. That might start off a wintry run of weather across much of the central and eastern part of the country into Thanksgiving week. Check out the European Ensembles:


Euro 2

The final winter forecast from the JAMSTEC is out and continues to show the same thing that it has shown for the past several months:


That seasonal model shows areas from the plains to the Mid-Atlantic and points south with a colder than normal winter ahead.

Make it a fantastic Friday and take care.

GFS Blocking Blocking 3 GFS 2 Blocking 2



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Colder air moving in

Good Thursday to one and all. Very gusty winds are blowing across the state as much colder air gets ready to pour in for the weekend. This is seasonal cold and nothing out of the ordinary.

Morning showers Thursday will give way to a mix of sun and clouds, with highs in the low and middle 50s in many areas. Winds will be gusty and could approach 30 mph at times.



Colder air comes in for Friday and Saturday. Take a look at the numbers:

NAMThe good news is that skies will be mainly clear from Friday through Sunday as our flow comes from the northwest:

NAM 2You’ll want to take advantage of the dry weather, because things go the other way very quickly early next week. That’s when another big storm system develops and slowly works our from the southwest:

CanadianThat could mean some very heavy rain, with the threat of thunderstorms. Winds could also be a big problem during that time.

Much colder air comes in behind that system by the end of the week, with an even colder surge potentially moving in on Thanksgiving week.

Make it a great day and take care.

GFS Temps Euro 4 Euro 3 Canadian




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Tracking a strong cold front into Kentucky

Good Wednesday, folks. Let me start out with a hearty thank you to all the vets out there. The weather on this big day looks mainly calm and quiet until a strong cold front arrives overnight and early Thursday.

After starting the day in the low 30s, highs reach the low 60s with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds begin to increase in the afternoon as the cold front moves our way. That brings a line of showers and storms through here overnight. Here’s how the NAM sees it working out:

NAMThe most likely threat of severe weather looks to stay well off to our northwest, but gusty winds will be possible. Gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible into Thursday.

Chilly air comes in behind this front Wednesday and Thursday, but another cold front sweeps in Friday:

NAM 2That should keep our highs in the 40s and lows in the upper 20s into Saturday. Skies stay mostly sunny through Sunday, and you had better take advantage of it. Another storm system approaches the region early next week, with more gusty rain. That could be the first of many big systems over the next few weeks. Many of the forecast models indicate the potential for heavy amounts of precipitation during this time:

GFSI leave you with your radars to track the current system rolling our way:



Make it a great day and take care.

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Watching a midweek storm threat

Good Tuesday, everyone. One system pulls away from the region today, but another one is ready to take its place later Wednesday. This next system is a much stronger storm that can bring high winds and a few storms to the area.

Let’s start with today before we roll forward. Low clouds will be with us through the first part of the day, but slow clearing moves in as the day wears on. A late day mix of sun and clouds means temps should recover into the middle 50s for many.

The next storm system develops in the plains and heads toward the Great Lakes. This system is a HUGE storm that drags a cold front into our region Wednesday night. A line of showers and thunderstorms sweeps in from the west:

NAMThat line could mean some strong or severe storms for parts of the state. The best chance is across the west as the line fades a bit into the rest of the area.


With or without storms, high winds are a good bet. Gusts Wednesday night into Thursday could reach 40mph at times.

Chillier air moves in on Thursday with a much colder blast waiting for the weekend:

GFSHighs in the 40s and lows in the 20s look like a good bet from Friday into Saturday. The good news? Skies should me mainly clear.

Another storm will then make a run at us early next week. That would could bring more wind and rain with cold air coming in behind it.

Make it a great day and take care.

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