Typical July steam settles in

Good Wednesday to one and all. We have a lot of steamy conditions moving into the region for the next several days. This steam will be accompanied by an increasing threat of showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday will find highs close to 90, with humidity making it feel even hotter. Watch the northwestern sky for the potential for a shower or storm diving in:

The next few days are going to be hot ones, but there are many factors arguing against anything but a typical brand of July heat. The ground is wet, the grass is green, and we have lush vegetation. There’s the threat of storms diving in from the northwest, and even if they don’t, some debris clouds might filter in.

The west is going to be hottest, by far. Central and eastern parts of the state have a better chance of being impacted by some storms coming from the northwest:

Canadian

The heat index is going to be way up there, because this is a very tropical air mass. This is also the same heat ridge we started talking about more than a week ago. But I am seeing some limiting factors potentially showing up.

The steamy air this weekend should produce some scattered showers and storms. That action looks to really increase early next week as a strong system develops across the region. The European model is all over it:

Euro

The middle and end of next week finds the same model spitting out more showers and thunderstorms, with another system diving into the Plains States.

Have a great day and take care.

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Steamy air and more storms on the way

Good Tuesday to one and all. We have a weak cold front moving into the region, and this front is likely to produce a few more storms. The big news comes from the steam department, as temps get ready to take off. The other big news comes from the broken record department, as more storms should be around.

Tuesday’s boomers might contain some very heavy rain and a lot of lightning. This could be enough to cause some local high-water problems. Track all the action:

Wednesday will be a little more comfortable, with the smallest threat of a shower or storm.

Steamy temps get set to surge in Thursday but could be muted some by scattered storms. As a matter of fact, a few rounds of storms will be possible into Friday:

Canadian

The storm threat remains into the weekend, but it might really kick into high gear early next week. That’s when the European model has a healthy storm system developing:

Euro

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking the strong storms potential

Good Monday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will drop into the region from the northwest. A few of these storms could be on the strong side through early Tuesday. Bottom line: It’s more of the same.

High winds and some hail will be the primary severe weather threat from the storms Monday. We will also have to be watchful for some of the storms to produce torrential rain and a lot of lightning. The heavy rain can cause some local high-water problems. I’ll have your tracking tools in a bit.

Scattered storms carry us into the middle of the week as hotter times try to build in. The steam is really on later in the week, but thunderstorm clusters might become a problem by the weekend. We often see some active weather on the leading edge of the heat, and the models are hinting at that this weekend:

GFS

That stormy setup tries to hang tough into early next week:

Euro 2

I know every update I send out sounds like a broken record, but our weather pattern is pretty much playing the same tune over and over. This is the fourth straight summer that we have dealt with much stormier weather than usual.

Here are your tracking tools for the day:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a wonderful Monday and take care.

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Storms to start the new week

Good Sunday to one and all. Showers and thunderstorms have dominated the weather picture across the region this summer. That kinda goes without saying. So, it should come as no surprise that I have more storms in the forecast for the coming week.

There is the chance for an isolated shower or storm going up out there late today into the evening, but most areas should stay dry.

This will lead is into a setup that can feature strong to locally severe storms Monday and Tuesday.

The NAM is cranking out a few rounds of boomers across central and eastern parts of the state. It shows one diving in here during the daylight hours Monday…

NAM

That sets the stage for a potentially stronger cluster of storms to move in from the northwest at some point Monday night into early Tuesday…

NAM 2

In addition to the potential for strong to severe storms, the flash flood threat is going to increase. Given how much flooding our region has experienced over the past month, it won’t take much to create more issues.

Heat and humidity really tries to build in later this week, but, once again, storms may end up playing the part of spoiler…

Canadian

Have a great day and take care.

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Better weather for the weekend

Good Saturday to one and all. For the second weekend in a row, the forecast is looking much better compared the days leading up to it. We will see the nice conditions slowly taking control later today and lasting through Sunday.

Once past the weekend, more storms rumble into the region.

Let’s start with today and roll ahead. Temps will be in the pleasant 80s as humidity levels slowly come down. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may be noted early today, especially in the south and southeast.

Sunday will feature low 60s to start with mid and upper 80s to end. The big news comes from the sky. That’s because nothing will actually be coming from the sky. Enjoy it.

Rounds of thunderstorms get ready to five back in from the northwest late Monday into Tuesday:

Canadian

A few of those storms could be on the strong side.

Temps come back down for the middle of the week, but a steamy pattern is on the way late next week into the following weekend. The numbers should average above normal for much of the country:

GFS TEMPS 1

Even with the core of the heat staying away from us, we could see the hottest air of the year for a few days.

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.

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More storms to start the weekend

Good Friday, everyone. We have rounds of showers and thunderstorms that continue to plow across the Bluegrass State this summer. That trend carries us into the start of the weekend, before we get a small break in the action.

If you’re playing along at home, this marks the fourth straight summer of above-normal rainfall and thunderstorm action. That’s pretty incredible, but it’s the hand we’re being dealt from Mother Nature.

Friday’s storms will be scattered but can pack a punch. Heavy rainfall and pockets of high wind will be the main concerns to watch for. Your tracking tools come your way in a moment.

The cold front moving in begins to slow down later Friday night and Saturday. That might allow for some additional showers and storms Saturday, especially in the south. The NAM future radar is a little more widespread than most other models:

NAM

We should catch a nice break in the action for Sunday and early Monday, but more storms dive in from the northwest Tuesday and Wednesday:

Euro 2

Here are your Friday storm trackers:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking the strong storms threat

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a cold front moving into the state and bringing the potential for some big thunderstorms. These boomers can produce some very heavy rainfall for some folks.

I will have your tracking tools in a bit.

The cold front moving through here will slow down into Friday. That front might be a little farther south compared to what I was thinking earlier in the week. That would still mean some scattered showers and storms, but it might keep the heaviest rain just to our south.

Here’s the GFS for Friday into Saturday:

GFS

A better feel to the air should move in over the weekend, with lower humidity and just a scattered storm threat.

Those storms might increase early next week as heat tries to build in from the west. Rounds of thunderstorms could dive in from the northwest. After that, the heat might really be on:

GFS TEMPS 2

The end of next week into the following week might see a big-time increase in heat and humidity.

In the short term, it’s all about the storm tracking:


Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

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More of the same ahead

Good Wednesday, weather lovers. Our soggy pattern rolls on across Central and Eastern Kentucky. Waves of showers and thunderstorms continue to put down tremendous amounts of rain, and this isn’t going to change over the next several days.

It’s not going to rain all the time, but when it does, it’s going to come down hard. Those scattered storms out there Wednesday can cause some local high-water problems.

Track away:

A cold front slams in from the west later Thursday and is likely to bring a line of showers and storms with it. A few of the storms could be strong, but the heavy rain threat continues to be the main concern.

The threat of heavy rain may increase Friday as a wave of low pressure works across the region. Showers and thunderstorms become common on the future radar from the NAM:

NAM

The thunderstorm threat continues into the weekend. Just how much rain falls during this time will depend on where the front stalls out.

Regardless, temps through the next week or so look to remain normal or a tad below.

Make it a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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The storms are back in the Bluegrass

Good Tuesday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are back in the region and will stick around for a while. Much of the past month has been on the stormy side, and that looks to kick back in for the next few weeks.

Scattered storms will increase from south to north Tuesday. With an increase in humidity, some locally heavy rain will be possible. Track the action:

Rounds of storms will then increase ahead of a cold front in the coming days. That front arrives Friday and could bring some strong storms to the region:

Canadian

That front will then put the brakes on across the region this weekend. This could lead to additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms that carry us into early next week:

GFS

Locally heavy rainfall is likely and something we will have to watch for. This pattern is likely to carry us into early next week. Given how wet it has been over the past month, any heavy rain will need to be watched closely.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Scattered storms ready to rumble

Good Monday to one and all. We are coming off one heck of a weather weekend across the Bluegrass State. Pleasant temps combined with ample sunshine to give us spectacular weather. That changes in the coming days, with scattered storms back in the region.

Highs Monday will be in the mid- and upper 80s with an increase in humidity. That could fire up a few showers and thunderstorms.

The scattered storms increase a bit for Tuesday and Wednesday as temps inch up. We could see highs near 90 degrees by then, but the humidity might be the biggest player.

A cold front gets ready to blow into town by Thursday. This front should have a potent line of showers and thunderstorms along it:

Canadian

Some of the storms along that boundary could be strong to severe. Temps come down over the weekend, but the threat of a few storms might linger.

As a matter of fact, the models over the next few weeks continue to spit out some significant rain totals:

GFS

Have a magnificent Monday and take care.

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