Summer’s last stand

Good Saturday to one and all. As we get ready to close the door on a much cooler-than-normal summer, Mother Nature decides to make it feel like summer. A seasonal brand of warmth has arrived and should carry us through the next week and change.

Let’s start with Saturday.

Highs are generally in the upper 70s to low 80s. Our sky will feature some sun and clouds doing a little dance, and I can’t totally rule out isolated showers and storms:

Our weather for the week ahead will feature highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s. There is a better chance for scattered storms going up, starting Monday.

Hurricane Jose continues to churn northeast of the Bahamas:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

Here’s the latest track forecast from the National Hurricane Center:

cone graphic

The GFS takes this storm toward the northeastern states, with a decent impact:

The Canadian Model has much more of a direct hit in the northeast:

There are several other tropical systems of interest well out in the Atlantic:

There’s a chance one of those threatens the southeast in about a week from now.

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Warmer weather moves in

Good Friday to one and all. Our weekend is kicking off with much warmer air surging into the Bluegrass State. This warmer pattern is going to settle in for the next week or so, bringing above-normal temps our way.

Highs Friday are in the mid- and upper 70s in most areas, with a mix of sun and clouds. There’s just enough low-level moisture to produce isolated showers and storms:

Highs this weekend will be in the 80- to 85-degree range for our region. Skies should stay mainly dry, but there is a slight chance of a shower or storm.

There’s a more likely storm chance by Monday as a weak cold front drops in:

Highs stay in the 80s for much of next week as another front makes a run at us by the end of the week:

That’s another front that probably never makes its way through here, but it gets close enough for storm chances to increase.

I suspect we will see the pattern going back toward cooler as we head into the final week of the month.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Warmer days after Irma

Good Thursday, folks. What’s left of Irma continues to throw some scattered showers and storms at us. As Irma moves away, we get ready for a blast of summer temps to take control of the pattern for the next week or so.

Highs Thursday are in the upper 60s to low 70s, with scattered showers and storms hanging around. Track what’s left of the action:

Friday will feature a mix of sun and clouds, with highs in the 70s. Things look dry and fairly pleasant for high school football action.

From there, here come the 80s. Highs for Saturday and Sunday will range from 80 to 85 degrees, with a mix of sun and clouds. These numbers are way above normal:

Even with a mainly dry look to the weekend pattern, there is enough low level moisture hanging around, to produce isolated showers and storms. The GFS is spitting out some rainfall over the course of the entire weekend:

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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Irma’s gusty showers continue

Good Wednesday, everyone. What’s left of Irma continues to drift into the Ohio Valley, bringing gusty rain to much of the region. These showers will continue to press through into Thursday.

Here’s a breakdown of the forecast:

  • Showers are fairly widespread Wednesday and will be slow-movers.
  • Most areas pick up another half-inch or so of rain.
  • Winds won’t be as gusty as Tuesday, but some 20 mph gusts are possible.
  • Leftover showers and a rumble of thunder will be with us into Thursday, but we should get in on many dry hours, too.
  • Highs Wednesday struggle to get into the low 60s. Thursday’s highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Here are your radars to track the spiraling band of showers:

The pattern from Friday through the weekend looks much, much better. Highs on Friday are in the 70s, with warmer air waiting for Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be near 80 degrees on both days.

This probably begins a much warmer-looking setup into the second half of September.

I’m also keeping a close eye on Jose out in the Atlantic. This storm is patiently circling around, waiting on Irma’s remnants to get out of the way. The GFS says this could be an east coast threat:

Make it a great day and take care.

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Tracking rounds of showers from Irma

Good Tuesday, everyone. The remnants from Hurricane Irma continue to work toward the Bluegrass State, with heavy rain and gusty winds already in the region. This action will then continue for the next few days.

Tuesday’s rain will be heaviest in the  morning, with more than 1 inch a possibility in some areas. The stuff then becomes more scattered in the afternoon and evening:

As what’s left of the center of circulation gets closer, winds will become very gusty during this time.

Those winds could top 35 mph at times in some areas early Tuesday:

The threat of showers will continue through Thursday as the Irma remnant low moves eastward across the state:

That’s a slow-moving look that can overachieve in terms of rainfall.

Temps continue to run much cooler than normal, as we are experiencing an amazingly cool September.

The weekend looks mainly dry and much warmer. Highs could make a run at 80 degrees or a little higher!

Make it a great day and take care.

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Irma brings rain to the Bluegrass State

Good Monday to one and all. Hurricane Irma is slowly weakening after causing devastation across Florida. What’s left of this storm will throw rain all the way into Kentucky by later Monday evening.

Our once-category 5 hurricane is slowly weakening as it works to the north and northwest today. This system will still cause wind damage all the way through Georgia, Alabama and into Tennessee.

Here’s the latest on Irma:

cone graphic

The first rain will roll into the region from southeast to northwest in the evening. This action will then kick it up a notch overnight into Tuesday, with some local amounts of 1 inch or more possible.

Here are your local trackers to follow the tropical rains:

The remnants of Irma will work into Kentucky by late Wednesday and Thursday. The models are tracking that well:

We will need to watch that system to see whether it produces some slow-moving showers and storms that can cause local high-water problems. The rains will be tropical in nature, so it’s possible.

Scattered rain could take us all the way into Friday.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Hurricane Irma trackers

Good Sunday to one and all. Powerful Hurricane Irma is bringing devastation to Florida, as the historic storm comes ashore. This system may impact our weather as early as Monday night.

Here are a few thoughts to kick things off:

  • The remnants of Irma will work into the region by Tuesday and hang around for a few days.
  • Rounds of showers and thunderstorms begin Monday night and should carry us through the rest of the week.
  • Heavy rains will be possible, but this shouldn’t produce nearly as max totals as Harvey did here. Still, we will need to be on guard for some local high water issues.
  • Winds will be rather gusty and may reach 40mph at times on Tuesday, especially across the southern parts of the state.
  • Hurricane Jose looks to patiently wait behind Irma and may threaten the east coast next weekend.

Here are all the Hurricane Irma tools you need for the day:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

cone graphic

time of arrival graphic

Make it a great day and take care.

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Hurricane Irma will affect our weather

Good Saturday, everyone. Hurricane Irma continues to slowly work toward Florida and will probably bring devastation to much of the Sunshine State. What’s left of the storm will then roll toward our region, bringing wind and rain into Kentucky.

Irma is slowly working along the coast of Cuba and will turn north toward Florida later Saturday and Saturday night. It is likely to regain steam as it does so, potentially becoming a Category 5 before working into south Florida early Sunday.

Here’s the latest look at the storm:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

The forecast track from the National Hurricane Center continues to slowly ease this thing toward the Gulf side of the state. This is a devastating path for areas like Naples, Fort Meyers and possibly Tampa. But, the storm is so huge, the entire peninsula of Florida could experience hurricane-force winds:

cone graphic

This run of the NAM shows how devastating the hit will be, and how the first rain bands arrive in Kentucky late Monday:

That shows some pretty heavy rain in Kentucky on Monday night. Here are the totals by Tuesday morning:

The GFS run has a similar track and shows the lingering rain from a decaying Irma in our region:

Make it a great Saturday and take care.

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All eyes on Irma

Good Friday to one and all. We have some great weather across the bluegrass state, but all weather eyes are on powerful Hurricane Irma. This storm is likely to cause devastation across Florida as we head into the weekend. Irma may impact our weather early next week.

Before we get to Irma, let’s talk briefly about the weather around here. Gusty winds will be noted today, with highs from 70-75.

A weak cold front drops in tonight and will knock the temps down a few degrees into Saturday. That bodes well for the home opener at Kroger Field. Here’s my forecast:

Sunday looks equally as nice around here with 40s in the morning and low 70s in the afternoon.

The satellite image below shows Hurricane Irma taking center stage, with Hurricanes Jose and Katia making cameos:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

The forecast track from the National Hurricane Center is a worst case scenario for Florida and brings this thing straight toward Kentucky:

cone graphic

The latest GFS model holds with earlier runs and shows the impact on Kentucky:

The Canadian is VERY similar:

The latest Hurricane Models are tightly clustered on a similar scenario playing out:

It goes without saying that this will likely cause major destruction across Florida. The Miami area looks to be in serious trouble, perhaps taking the brunt of the storm surge and highest winds.

Hurricane force winds may engulf the entire Florida peninsula from south to north Saturday into Sunday. We may see hurricane force winds deep into Georgia and South Carolina. Tropical storm force wind gusts may come all the way into Tennessee and southern Kentucky.

The prime time for impact on Kentucky comes Monday night and Tuesday. Bands of heavy rain and storms will likely work through here, but the rain shouldn’t come close to producing what Harvey did here. Winds may be greater, and that’s something for us to watch as we get closer.

Have a fantastic Friday and take care.

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Fall temps roll on

Good Thursday to one and all. We continue with an amazing run of fall weather across the Bluegrass State. This cooler-than-normal pattern has been with us for several weeks, and it looks as if it has morphed into an early start to fall.

As we enjoy the nice weather, Hurricane Irma is threatening Florida and the southeastern coast. I’ll get to that in a moment.

Let’s first talk about what’s going on in the Commonwealth.

The day might start with record lows in the 40s for much of the region, with afternoon highs in the mid- and upper 60s. There is a small chance of a shower late in the day:

The weather Friday looks awesome, with highs in the 70s and partly sunny skies.

Kentucky kicks off the home football schedule at Kroger Field on Saturday, as EKU makes the trip up Interstate 75. Kickoff temps at noon should be in the upper 60s with temps around 70 for much of the game. Wow!

Hurricane Irma continues to barrel through the Caribbean as a powerful storm:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

The forecast track from the National Hurricane Center:

cone graphic

The latest model trend is for this to stay just off the east coast of Florida as it heads north toward South Carolina. Still, this is just the current trend and bouncing back and forth can be expected in the models in the coming days. Here’s the current GFS:

You can see how what’s left of Irma throws rain and some wind back into the bluegrass state by Tuesday and Wednesday. The Canadian Model is very similar:

It’s also pretty incredible to watch Hurricane Jose coming up right behind Irma and doing a loop in the Atlantic.

Obviously, the exact track of Irma remains to be seen, but it can be a catastrophic hit from Florida to the Carolinas. That exact track will also influence our weather, with the potential for wind and rain, especially in the east.

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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