Tracking a cold front

Good Friday, folks. Our work week is wrapping up with a few showers and storms rumbling across the state. These storms could be on the strong side, producing heavy rain as they blow in. Much better air then takes over this weekend.

Friday’s storms could produce high winds and small hail in some areas. The greatest chance of strongstorms could be across the southern half of the state in the afternoon and evening.

Here are your tracking tools for the day:

A cold front makes it way to our south by Saturday morning, with awesome air coming in behind it for the weekend.  However, it may come with a catch.

Our cold front checks up across the Tennessee Valley, leading to the potential for some leftover showers and storms. The NAM shows the best chance across the southern half of the state:

Sunday looks like another winner of a weather day, with highs from 80 to 85 degrees.

Another weak cold front moves in Sunday night and Monday morning, and it should bring another broken line of showers and storms.  This will keep normal July air around into the first part of next week.

The pattern may turn a little stormy by the second half of next week into the following weekend.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Tracking two cold fronts

Good Thursday, folks. Showers and storms will increase later in the day, and this is a sign of things to come. I’m tracking two cold fronts into the Bluegrass State as we roll into the weekend.

Let’s begin with Thursday. The heat index is well into the 90s as actual highs flirt with 90 in many areas, but scattered showers and storms will come through. These storms will increase as we head into the afternoon and evening, and some could be strong in the north.

Here are your Thursday tracking tools:

Cold front number one blows in Friday, with showers and storms. With the front right on top of Kentucky, some strong or severe storms can’t be ruled out.

Here’s the latest from the Storm Prediction Center:

That front clears the region, setting us up for a great-looking Saturday. Highs will be in the low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds, and lower humidity.

The next front arrives by Sunday evening. This should produce a line of storms that could carry us into early Monday. You can see that line dropping in from the northwest:

Much cooler air comes in behind that, with below-normal temps likely in the first few days of next week.

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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Toasty temps before storms increase

Good Wednesday, folks. Our middle of the week is bringing some of the hottest temps of the entire summer. Of course, that’s not saying much during this wimpy summer, but 90-degree highs are a good bet. This happens before showers and storms kick into high gear to end the week.

Highs Wednesday will be near 90 in most of Central and Eastern Kentucky. Steamy air will make it feel a few degrees warmer than that. There is a small chance of isolated showers and storms in the afternoon and evening.

Showers and storms will then increase as we head into Thursday. The action becomes more widespread as we head into Friday with another front showing up late Sunday and Monday. Watch it all play out on the GFS:

Those storms might be a little on the strong side and could put down some very heavy rain.

In between the fronts, the weather on Saturday and early Sunday looks great!

The pattern for next week is likely to feature another battle between hot air in the southwest, and cooler air in the north and northeast. That puts the bluegrass state right in the middle of the battleground.

Have a great day and take care.

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Steamy temps and scattered storms

Good Tuesday to one and all. We have some of the warmest air of the summer on tap for the coming days. This air will be very tropical in nature, with the potential for a few storms through Friday.

Tuesday will feature highs from the middle 80s to near 90, depending on where you are. A few storms might be on the move from the northwest, with the greatest impact across the north.

Your daily dose of tracking tools:

Wednesday will find highs near 90 degrees in most of Central and Eastern Kentucky. With the high humidity, it will feel a few degrees warmer than that. There’s only a small storm chance in the north.

Thunderstorms will then increase as we roll into Thursday and Friday. That’s when a cold front drops in from the northwest. The storms along and ahead of this should be slow-movers, putting down some very heavy rainfall. A few storms could be strong:

Cooler air comes in behind that for the weekend, but we will be watching the tropics to see how it influences the overall pattern across the states.

Have a great day and take care.

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Storm clusters and steamy air this week

Good Monday to one and all. We are watching the northwestern sky for some clusters of storms trying to move our way. These storm clusters will team with steamy air to control our weather for the week ahead.

Highs Monday will be in the middle 80s in many areas, but some storms will knock those numbers down in a few places. These northwest-to-southeast-moving boomers could be on the strong side, especially in the north.

Here are your Monday tracking tools:

Additional storm clusters are likely for Tuesday and Wednesday. These will not affect the entire region, and that will affect temps. Highs outside of the storms could make a run at 90.

The most likely chance of storms will roll into town Thursday and Friday with a cold front. Strong storms and heavy rainfall will be possible during that time.

The theme of the summer has been for the real summer heat to be across the western part of the country, with wet weather and normal to below-normal temps in the east.

The long-range European Model through the middle of August keeps that theme going.

Rainfall:

Temperatures:

I think we could get some pretty steamy stretches of weather thrown in, and one comes this week.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Steam and storms for the week ahead

Good Sunday to one and all. Nice weather continues across the region today, but it’s a familiar pattern taking shape for the week ahead. While temps will be much warmer, a few rounds of storms will be back in the bluegrass state.

Highs today are generally in the low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. Be evening, we will watch the northwestern sky for isolated showers and storms trying to develop. Here’s regional radar to track anything that fires:

Monday will feature a few storms diving in from the northwest. Any storm that goes up may be strong and put down some very heavy rains.

This sets us up for rounds of showers and storms through the rest of the week:

It’s NOT going to rain all the time and it may not rain every day where you live. The days it doesn’t rain can get awfully toasty, with temps closing in on 90. When it does storm, some of them can be strong and put down very heavy rains. Those chances look to increase Thursday and Friday with a cold front approaching from the northwest.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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A much better weekend

Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. We are coming off a very stormy first week of July, with rounds of strong storms doing some damage across the region. The weekend weather looks much better, but I can’t rule out isolated showers and storms.

Highs Saturday are in the upper 70s to low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. The day might start with some leftover action in the southeast and might end with an isolated shower or storm..

Here are your radars to track anything that develops:

Highs on Sunday are back into the low 80s, with mainly dry skies. There will be a small storm chance late in the day, and that’s a sign of another stormy setup developing next week.

Temps will be rather toasty next week, but nothing out of the ordinary. The real summer heat will be in the Plains States, but some big storm clusters will try to ride around the eastern edge of that heat.

This puts the Bluegrass State in the line of fire for storms diving in from the northwest:

Some of those storms could be strong or severe, with heavy rain:

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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A few severe storms possible late Friday

Good Friday, folks. A strong cold front is dropping in from the northwest and could bring a potent line of storms. This line might pose a damaging wind threat, before our weather pattern turns much better for the weekend.

Some sunshine Friday will help destabilize the atmosphere. Combine that with very high humidity and a cold front dropping in, and you could see some strong to severe storms. The most likely time for severe weather is late afternoon into the evening.

Here are your storm-tracking tools for the day:

S HGHH

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

In addition to the severe storms threat, very heavy rain will be possible again.

Much better air moves in for the weekend, with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Humidity levels will come way down, with a mix of sun and clouds around.

A storm chance returns by Sunday night, and this will lead us into another very stormy pattern. The setup for next week features heat in the Plains and a chill in the Great Lakes. That usually means we have to be on guard for big storm clusters diving in from the northwest:

Some could be strong, with additional heavy rain a possibility.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Storms continue to rumble across the region

Good Thursday, folks. July continues to throw rounds of showers and storms our way, and that a pattern continues into the start of the weekend. Once into the weekend, things look much better for the Commonwealth.

We have another low pressure working across the region Thursday, bringing showers and thunderstorms. These storms could produce some heavy rain totals, leading to local high-water problems. Some of these storms could be on the strong side:

A cold front moves our way late Friday and will bring the threat of additional strong storms. If we get some sunshine ahead of this line of storms, damaging winds could be possible in the evening hours.

Much cooler air then slides in for the weekend, with highs in the upper 70s to the low 80s for Saturday. Humidity will be low, with a mix of sun and clouds.

There’s a chance for a storm as early as Sunday night, but the true return of storms may hold off into early next week. This is when we will start to watch for storm clusters to dive in from the northwest:

Those storms can be strong with more heavy rain. It’s just that type of summer, folks.

Make it a great Thursday and take care.

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More storms on the weather menu

Good Wednesday to one and all. Our damp and stormy weather pattern rolls on across Central and Eastern Kentucky. Rounds of storms will develop later Wednesday, and some of those could be on the strong side.

That setup could also deliver plenty of rain through the end of the week, so we will need to watch the creeks and streams.

Wednesday’s storms come from a wave of low pressure working from west to east across the state. This will spawn increasing amounts of storms in the afternoon and evening, with some high winds and small hail possible.

I have you all set to do some middle-of-the-workweek weather tracking:

S HGHH

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Another low will work on top of us for Thursday, bringing more storms and the potential for heavy rain. Overall, many areas could pick up a general 1 to 3 inches of rain Wednesday and Thursday.

A strong cold front will then drop in from the northwest later Friday into Friday night. A band of showers and strong storms will probably be out ahead of this boundary:

The air coming in behind this front looks absolutely gorgeous for the weekend. Highs for Saturday and Sunday will be in the upper 70s to low 80s, with overnight lows in the 50s. Humidity levels look pretty low, as well.

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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