Big changes later this week

Good Monday, everyone. We are coming off a very windy weekend here in the bluegrass state, but that wind is what March is famous for. As we roll through the week ahead, we have some big changes on the weather menu. That’s another thing March is famous for. ­čÖé

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Skies will be partly sunny with temps in the normal 50s.

A similar setup will be noted for Tuesday as find ourselves in the middle of a rare nice stretch of weather. Temps by Wednesday will be in the mid and upper 60s, with a chance at 70. That comes on a strong southwesterly wind ahead of another potent storm system.

That will spike our temps deep into the 70s by Thursday, but showers and thunderstorms will come calling as the day wears on. A few of those storms could be on the strong side. As a front swings through, temps tank:

That brings another winter looking pattern into the region, complete with temps well below normal.

That likely lasts through the rest of March. Can we get some winter weather to go along with the colder than normal air? That’s certainly a possibility. The Canadian Model is heading in that direction:

Make it  a great day and take care.

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Much better weather blows in

Good Sunday, everybody. We have a calmer weather pattern settling back into the region, but this won’t last beyond the middle of the week. Another active pattern is on the way and it will eventually bring the return of some more winter.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Highs will be in the 50s for many as winds continue to crank. Dry weather should make for a really nice end to your weekend.

The dry weather sticks around into Monday and Tuesday as temps take a little dip. The digits by Wednesday and Thursday spike toward the 70 degree mark, bringing a serious case of spring fever to the region.

Unfortunately, that won’t last. Another potent plains storm system will roll in here with heavy rain, strong storms, gusty winds and a big temperature drop:

As mentioned, that introduces more of a winter look to the setup:

This is a cold looking second half of March, leading to the potential for a few more shots of winter weather before spring sets in.

Unlike last year, this pattern isn’t likely to last through April. The CFS is giving us a warm look, but also a wet one:

Given the colder look from the Rockies into the Plains, that would imply an active severe weather setup in our region.

Have a good one and take care.

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Tracking high winds and strong storms

Good Saturday to one and all. One day after snow shut down schools, we are tracking the potential for strong to severe storms and high winds. This is basically the month of March just showing off.

A potent storm system is rolling from the plains into the Great Lakes, bringing mild and unstable air into the region. This is resulting in rounds of showers and thunderstorms going up through tonight.

Some of these storms may be strong or severe with damaging winds, large hail and a tornado or two. The best chance is across the western half of Kentucky. Here’s a look at today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

Torrential rains will also accompany these storms and could put down enough rain to cause flash flooding issues to develop.

High winds are going to be a major player. Gusts of 50-60mph will be possible, even without thunderstorms:

As usual, I have you all set to track today’s action:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

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Tracking snow and weekend storms

Good Friday, folks. Much of the region is starting the day with a wet snowfall. This is likely to cause some travel issues, leading to cancellations and delays. Beyond this, temps rise and we have the threat for strong thunderstorms on Saturday.

A Winter Weather Advisory is out for parts of Kentucky to start the day:

By the afternoon, temps begin to climb with a few showers taking over and highs making a run at 40.

As we head into Saturday, a potent plains storm system rolls eastward toward the Great Lakes. That will bring the potential for late day strong thunderstorms to much of the region. The Storm Prediction Center is even monitoring parts of Kentucky for a few severe thunderstorms:

With or without thunderstorms, winds are going to be a big player over the weekend. Gusts may reach 50mph at times Saturday evening into Saturday night.

Sunday looks windy, but mild and dry.

Another big storm system will threaten the region with more strong storms and heavy rain during the middle and end of next week.

I leave you with your tracking toys for the day:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

-75/I-64 Southern Split Lexington

Georgetown


I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Florence

No image available.

Covington

No image available.

No image available.

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

No image available.

Have a good one and take care.

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Winter Weather Advisory through early Friday

Good evening, folks. I wanted to drop by for an update to the winter weather moving in here tonight. This will be in the form of snow and could cause some travel issues early on.

A Winter Weather Advisory is out for much of the region through Friday morning:

I don’t have much change in the snowfall forecast, with the edges still a bit in question. That 1″-3″ could still slide a touch farther south or north:

Here are your tracking tools for the evening…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

-75/I-64 Southern Split Lexington

Georgetown


I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Florence

No image available.

Covington

No image available.

No image available.

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

No image available.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Light snow tonight for some

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a much milder setup moving in for the weekend and that will bring the potential for high winds and thunderstorms. Before we get there, we have one more round of winter weather to track.

A band of light snow moves in here later today into the evening, but the main round moves in tonight and early Friday. The best chance to put some snow on the ground is across the northern half of the state:

That’s a sharp cutoff on the southern edge of the snow, so don’t expect much for most of the region.

Here are a couple of tracking tools for ya:

 

Whatever falls won’t last very long as milder air pushes in during Friday with a few showers taking over. Milder winds blow this weekend as a big storm cranks in the plains. That could push our wind gusts to 50mph at times. This could bring some showers and strong storms at us later in the day…

That will be followed by another similar looking┬ásystem rolling in here by the middle or end of next week…

Following that is another cold look for the middle and end of March:

I leave you with your weather cams to track today’s flakes.

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

-75/I-64 Southern Split Lexington

Georgetown


I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Florence

No image available.

Covington

No image available.

No image available.

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

No image available.

Have a great day and take care.

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A light snow maker before a warm up

Good Wednesday to one and all. It’s another MUCH colder than normal weather day across the bluegrass state, but changes are showing up later in the week. Those changes include everything from the chance for snow to thunderstorms. Basically, it’s typical March weather in Kentucky.

Temps today are around 10 degrees to start things out, but will rebound into the upper 20s and low 30s for most areas. Winds will continue to make it feel a little colder.

The next system moves in here on Thursday and will have a swath of snow on the leading edge of it. This may put down a swath of accumulating snow from northwest to southeast. Exactly where that sets up is still in question, but the models are close in their alignment:

NAM

Canadian

New GFS

GFS

Temps start to climb on Friday then increase this weekend ahead of a major storm in the plains. That system will send gusty winds and the potential for strong storms our way:

The Canadian has a similar look and shows a similar system following that up a few days later:

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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Arctic air to late week changes

Good Tuesday, everyone. It’s another arctic cold weather day across the Commonwealth and this looks to hold on for a few more days before changes sweep in. Those changes mean a lot of wind, milder temps and some weekend thunderstorms.

Let’s begin with the frigid numbers out there today. Highs are back in the 20s, but wind chills are only in the teens. A northwest wind will bring a weak disturbance in here, possibly bringing a few flakes along for the ride.

The best chance is across the north and east:

Another system works in here Thursday and Friday, bringing the potential for a swath of light snow on the front end and some rain on the back end. The NAM only goes through 7am on Friday, but gives us a good look at the swath of accumulating snow:

The Canadian has a similar look:

Milder air surges in here behind that low, with rising numbers ahead of a more potent storm system taking shape for the weekend. That sets the stage for a big time storm system to develop in the plains. That has the chance to produce some big thunderstorms from the plains into the Appalachian Mountains…

GFS

Canadian

High winds may also be a player with this storm system.

A similar storm will follow that up early next week.

Have a terrific Tuesday and take care.

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A frigid start to the week

Good Monday, everyone. It’s a cold pattern controlling our weather through much of the week, but things may turn active again by the end of the week.┬á That could mean more winter weather and the potential for thunderstorms.

Temps stay in the 20s on Monday, some 20-25 degrees colder than normal. Lows tomorrow by Tuesday morning will be in the 10-15 degree range, with a few single digits possible…

Wind chills will be closer to zero with a few negative numbers showing up…

Wednesday is another cold day, but a system rolling in here Thursday and Friday brings snow then some rain…

The air behind that is likely to spike up ahead of a big time plains storm next weekend. The models from a week out have a severe weather signature:

We will see how that plays out over the next week, but the pattern is suggestive of a big system. With additional arctic intrusions into the country and spring tryin to blossom, severe weather outbreaks may show up early across the country.

Have a magnificent Monday and take care.

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A taste of winter weather moves through

Good Sunday, everyone. Our winter weather maker is pushing across the state, but thunderstorms in the deep south are zapping a lot of the moisture from it. That means a pretty light event in our part of the world.

A Winter Weather Advisory is out for parts of the region through tonight. Here’s a look:

My latest thoughts really haven’t changed much:

  • The best chance for winter weather comes this afternoon and early evening.
  • Light accumulations of snow show up, with streaks of overachieving snow and streaks of “that’s it?”. The majority of accumulations will be on grassy and elevated surfaces.
  • Thunderstorms in the deep south will play a big role in how much precipitation falls. The more thunderstorms that develop there, the less precipitation here and vice versa.
  • If we are to get some slick roads out of this, the best chance comes after sundown as temps crash. We should be in the teens overnight with the potential for a few snow showers and flurries lingering.

Lows by Monday morning are deep into the teens:

Single digit wind chills show up across the west and central parts of the state.

Frigid temps will be noted for the week ahead, with another system possibly bringing winter weather back into the region by the end of the week. That would be followed by another system and cold shot next weekend…

Canadian

New GFS

I leave you with your Sunday winter weather tracking toys:

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

-75/I-64 Southern Split Lexington

Georgetown


I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade

London

Pine Mountain

Jenkins

Florence

No image available.

Covington

No image available.

No image available.

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

No image available.

E-town

Bowling Green

Paducah

Make it a good one and take care.

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