Chilly showers continue

Good Wednesday, everyone. We have a huge upper-level low spinning on top of the region, and this is bringing some ugly weather. Damp and chilly conditions will be the name of the weather game for the next few days.

Here’s what this upper low looks like at the jet stream level:

GFS

There are no winds upstairs to push that out of the region, so it will just drift around. This will give us scattered showers Wednesday and Thursday, with gusty winds and low temps. Highs Wednesday will hit the mid- and upper 50s, and the upper 50s to near 60 on Thursday.

Your tracking tools for the day:

 

 

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

Friday will find sunshine returning to the area, with highs spiking well into the mid- and high 60s. Winds will gust ahead of another cold front moving in to start this weekend. There is only a small, small threat for a shower with this front.

This will bring another round of chill our way, with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s. Lows might dip into the upper 30s by Sunday.

Another chilly shower-maker looks to take aim at the region later Monday:

GFS 3That should keep the chillier-than-normal air working into the middle of next week.

Have a great day and take care.

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Severe weather tracker

Good Tuesday, everyone. Strong to severe thunderstorms are rumbling across the state as a powerful cold front works in from the west. This front is ahead of a powerful storm that brings chill changes later in the week.

Here’s a breakdown of Tuesday’s threat:

– A squall line races into Central Kentucky very early Tuesday morning. That line will then work into Eastern Kentucky as the day wears on.

– Damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes are possible.

– These storms will put down a lot of rain in a short time. That could lead to local flooding problems.

I have the blog set to be your one stop for tracking Tuesday’s storms:

Tuesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

Have a great day and take care.

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Flash flood watch

Good Monday evening. A squall line of thunderstorms is working into Western Kentucky and should arrive in our region very late Monday night and early Tuesday. That’s when we will need to watch for severe weather.

These storms will contain a tremendous amount of rain that can cause some local high-water problems. A flash flood watch is now out for much of Central Kentucky through Tuesday.

Track the storms in from the west:

Monday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Take care.

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Tracking the severe-weather threat

Good Monday, folks. It feels a little like spring, with warm and humid air in place. I know a lot of people like that feel, but that isn’t a good thing on a day like this. It will help create thunderstorms across the region. Some of these could be strong or severe.

The greatest risk of severe weather will be across the western half of Kentucky. That’s where we are likely to see a squall line of storms develop. That line would slowly work eastward into Central Kentucky overnight. Eastern Kentucky might not get that until Tuesday.

Damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will all be possible with that line. Torrential rainfall is quite likely, and that could lead to some high-water problems for some people.

Ahead of this line, scattered showers and storms will be around, and a few of those could be strong.

Here’s you’re extended dose of storm tracking tools:

Monday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Much colder air filters in from west to east on Tuesday as a strong upper level low settles in:

Euro

Winds and showers will go join the chilly air to make for a couple of raw weather days.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Rounds of strong storms ahead

Good Sunday to one and all. We’ve had a lot of rain over the past few days, but thunderstorms haven’t been much of an issue. That changes today as rounds of storms rumble across the region.

Some of those storms could be on the strong side with hail and high winds. This is likely a sign of things to come as a powerful storm system rolls our way Monday and Tuesday. That should be able to ignite additional rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms.

The new rounds of thunderstorms will also produce some very heavy rainfall across our region. Parts of central and eastern Kentucky have picked up 2″-4″ of rain in the past week, so we will have to watch for local high water issues.

Once the main storm action calms down, an upper level low looks to park itself on top of Kentucky. That brings windy, wet and chilly weather our way for the middle and end of the upcoming week:

Euro 3

This has been one mean October and it shows no signs of letting up on us.

I have you all set to track today’s increase in storms and will have updates as needed.

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

 

Enjoy your Sunday and take care.

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Breaking down the active pattern

Good Saturday, everyone. Our active weather pattern shows little sign of letting up. That’s not good news for folks hoping to enjoy some gorgeous fall weather here in the bluegrass state. I’m tracking more rounds of showers and storms and even the potential for severe weather.

Here’s the breakdown:

– Today will start wet with the potential for some dry weather to push in during the afternoon and evening. If you’re heading out to Commonwealth Stadium, take the poncho to be safe. Temps will be in the upper 50s to around 60 for highs.

– Rounds of showers and some thunderstorms will work back in here on Sunday. Locally heavy downpours will be possible with highs in the 60s.

– Monday will find a stronger area of low pressure working our way. That means thunderstorms will become more common and some of those could be strong or severe. That potential may really increase Monday night and early Tuesday.

Euro 4

Severe weather will have be possible during this time frame.

Once that storm system moves in, it may be in no big hurry to move out. The European Model is showing it hanging around through much of next week as a closed low:

Euro 2

The end result would be chilly temps, gusty winds and scattered showers:

EuroI have you all set to track today’s weather:

Current Temperatures

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Stormy pattern continues

Good Friday, everyone. Our active weather pattern continues across Kentucky as rounds of showers and thunderstorms return. This is the beginning of a fairly wet period that carries us into the first part of next week.

Friday’s action comes as a wave of low pressure works across the region. This will lead to locally heavy rainfall that carries us into Friday night. I will have your tracking tools in a bit.

I do have a bit of good news for Saturday. There’s a good chance we catch a dry break into the afternoon and evening across parts of the region. Chilly northerly winds might push the rain train into mainly across southern Kentucky for a while.

Regardless, it moves back to the north on Sunday with more showers and thunderstorms rumbling in. Heavy rain will be possible again.

The setup for later Monday and Tuesday will feature a powerful system moving our way. Windy and warm air might surge in ahead of it on Monday, and that is likely to help fire up some strong storms. Check out the latest European model:

Euro In addition to the strong storms, torrential rainfall is likely as this system works through here. That could lead to some high-water problems.

It looks as if chilly air will blow in behind our wet weather for the middle of next week:

Euro 3

Let’s get to tracking the Friday action:

 

 

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Heavy rain threat moves in

Good Thursday, gang. After a small break in the weather, rounds of showers and thunderstorms are set to return to the Bluegrass State. That is likely carry us through the weekend into early next week andcould lead to some local high-water problems.

The stormy setup comes just a few days after a tornado outbreak in Central Kentucky. Here’s a look at the latest information from the Tuesday twisters:

October Tornadoes As you can see, this tornado outbreak was very rare in our part of the world. The National Weather Service will continue to survey, damage and we could add to the 7 confirmed tornadoes we currently have.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will increase Thursday from west to east. The rains will really increase overnight and Friday, with thunder and lightning becoming more common. That trend carries us into the weekend as the action comes at us in waves.

Another system then moves in for early next week, and might park itself right on top of the region. That would keep the heavy rain train rolling on. The European Model has increased the rainfall totals for the next week:

Euro 3

If those numbers come to pass, high- water problems might develop.

Here’s regional radar to track Thursday’s weather:

Have a great day and take care.

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A small break in the stormy weather

Good Wednesday, everyone. Severe thunderstorms blasted the bluegrass state on Tuesday with large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes. One of the possible tornadoes touched down near Paris in Bourbon County. As with most things today, it was caught on camera.

The National Weather Service will be out surveying damage today and will make the final call on tornadoes or straight line winds. I suspect we will find tornadoes touching down in Bourbon and Harrison counties.

The weather today looks much, much better. Skies will be partly sunny with highs in the upper 60s to around 70. Enjoy it because more rain is on the way.

The overall set from Thursday through the upcoming weekend will find a front stalling out across our region. Waves of low pressure will develop and work along this boundary, with rounds of showers and thunderstorms common. Here’s the setup:

http://kyweathercenter.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Special-2.png

Heavy rainfall totals are possible across our region through the weekend. That leads us into another rain and storm maker showing up early next week. Some of the models continue to show a tremendous amount of rain over the next week or so:

Euro 2That is definitely something for us to keep a very close eye on as we roll through the next few days.

Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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Rounds of showers and storms continue

Good Tuesday to one and all. We are just kicking off a very active weather pattern across our part of the world. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be common over the next week, and that could lead to some problems.

Another disturbance will roll across the region Tuesday, touching off more storms. Some of them will contain small hail and gusty winds. Heavy rainfall from the storms is a given. I will get to your tracking tools in just a bit.

Wednesday looks to be the driest day of the week, with only some lingering showers. Don’t get used to that, because heavy rain moves back in later Thursday. That’s when a front is likely to stall out in our region.

This boundary will be separating cold air to the north and warm air to the south:

Euro 2 Throw in areas of low pressure working along this front and you get rounds of showers and thunderstorms. That leads to the potential for very heavy rainfall, and the models continue to home in on that:

EuroThose numbers between Tuesday and Sunday could lead to local high-water concerns.

That might be followed up by another big rainmaker early next week.

Let’s get to tracking Tuesday’s action:

Tuesday’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Have a great day and take care.

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