A weak cold front dropping in

Good Thursday, everyone. Windy and warm weather is about to get replaced by a cooler and drier air mass to end the week and kick off the weekend. This cooler than normal setup has been common of late, and looks to carry us into early August. But, some ugly weather is going to try and show up.

Today’s weather looks good with highs in the middle 80s for many with a mix of sun and clouds. This is ahead of our front rolling in tonight and early Friday. A broken band of showers and storms may accompany the front as it sweeps in from the west:

Friday starts with a broken line of showers and storms working across the east, with drier and cooler air coming in behind the departing line. Highs on Friday will be in the upper 70s and low 80s, with humidity levels coming down.

Temps by Saturday will drop into the 50s to begin the day and rebound into the upper 70s and low 80s by the afternoon. Skies will be gorgeous, so enjoy!

Sunday temps will bounce back some as late day showers and storms increase. This action kicks off an extended period of showers and storms into the first half of next week:

This comes courtesy of another upper level low which will keep out temps MUCH below normal:

Highs under that may be way, way down:

After little rebound late next week, some of the Ensembles are forecasting another deep trough:

Have a terrific Thursday and take care.

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A late week cold front on the way

Good Wednesday, everyone. Better weather continues to slowly take control, but a late week cold front will bring an increase in the thunderstorm threat. That same front will then usher in much cooler air before another system tries to turn the pattern ugly again.

Today will feature a mix of sun and clouds with highs mainly from 80-85 degrees. There could still be a shower or storm going up, especially in the east. Yes, this is similar to the past few days.

Track the action:

The 80s are back on Thursday as southwesterly winds pick up ahead of our cold front. Some late day showers and storms arrive, with the bulk of the action waiting for Thursday night and early Friday:

Lower humidity levels will take over by Friday afternoon with highs generally in the upper 70s. Saturday looks awesome with lows dropping into the upper 50s with afternoon highs in the upper 70s and low 80s with a mostly sunny sky.

Another big bowling ball of an upper level system then rolls our way from late Sunday into early next week. That could mean rounds of heavy rain taking aim at the region:

Cooler than normal temps will play us out for the rest of July, and we aren’t alone in dealing with that:

The cooler than normal look continues to show up for August. Here’s the CFS:

Make it a great day and take care.

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Keeping the active pattern

Good afternoon, everyone. We have a big upper level low slowly pulling away from the region over the past few days. This system has been responsible for everything from the severe weather, to the gloomy stuff from the past few days.

As we roll through the week, another cold front is on the way by late week, with the possibility of more wet weather this weekend.

let’s begin with the precious present and roll forward. Temps today are generally in the upper 70s and low 80s, well below the normal for this time of year. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will flare up once again, especially across the eastern half of the state:

Temps on Wednesday are back into the 80s for the entire state, with a scattered shower or storm in the east. Thursday finds temps mainly low and middle 80s with a late day shower or storm possible, with the best chance for storms arriving Thursday night into Friday:

That’s ahead of another push of much cooler air for the weekend. It will also be a weekend where another upper low threatens to cut off across the region by later Sunday and lasting into early next week:

That would mean another very cool and wet period taking shape:

The overall look through next week continues to support a trough into our part of the world:

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.

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Rain chances and a cooler than normal setup

Good Monday, everyone. We’ve made it to the final full week of July, but the weather is already in September mode. Cooler than normal temperatures will dominate the week ahead, with frequent rain chances showing up. This is a pattern threatening to become established for the second half of summer.

Temps today range from the middle 70s in the east to the upper 70s and low 80s for the rest of the region. The cooler numbers in the east will come from more clouds and rain compared to your neighbors farther west:

The Tuesday action becomes a tad more widespread across the central and east actually backs in from the east. Locally heavy rains are a good bet once again, with temps coming in similar to what we have out there today.

Scattered showers and storms continue Wednesday, with the east getting in on most of the action.

A strong cold front moves in late Thursday and could bring a few strong storms with it:

That’s a reinforcing shot of cooler air behind the boundary that will take us into the weekend:

That’s when we run the risk of another pretty decent rain maker rolling in from the west and southwest:

That would be accompanied by well below normal temps, with another surge of cooler than normal coming in behind that as we close out July and say hello to August. This is one heck of a deep trough settling in:

Have a magnificent Monday and take care.

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Damp and cool weather

Good Sunday, everyone. It’s a pattern that doesn’t look much like summer, with a huge upper level low spinning across the Ohio Valley. This will bring rounds of showers and storms and much cooler than normal temps.

Today’s showers and storms will be spiraling counterclockwise around the low dropping in from the north. That should make for a cool look on our radars:

There’s also the chance for enough rain to cause some local high water issues, especially across the northern half of the state. That’s something to keep in mind throughout the day.

All of this is coming from this highly anomalous upper level low spinning across the Ohio Valley:

More showers and storms will be noted for Monday and Tuesday as our system still impacts the region:

Another cold front moves in by the end of the week unleashing another below normal temperature pattern for much of the country, with another following as we close July and enter into August. Check out the look from the European Ensembles:

We will also see additional rounds of showers and storms spread into the mix during this time.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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More rounds of rain and storms this weekend

Good Saturday to one and all. Many folks will be spending the day cleaning up from a powerful severe weather outbreak on Friday. Winds of greater than 70mph ripped across the bluegrass region, bringing widespread damage.

Unfortunately, more rounds of showers and storms are on the way for the weekend, but we aren’t expecting the same severe intensity.

Today’s showers and storms will come courtesy of a spiraling area of low pressure dropping in from the northwest. This cuts off across the region, potentially bringing one more round of strong storms this afternoon. Isolated severe weather can’t be ruled out:

This low will then sit and spin right on top of us into early next week, bringing more rounds of rain and storms…

Locally heavy rains and cooler than normal temps show up under that low. You will also notice the big area of low pressure rolling up the east coast this weekend. That almost has a tropical/hybrid look to it.

The shower and storm action doesn’t stop there. Watch additional rounds of rain and boomers take us from Wednesday through Thursday, ahead of another cold front working in:

Cooler than normal temps come in behind that front, with the increasing potential for another wet weather maker shooting in next weekend into early the following week:

I leave you with your Saturday tracking toys:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

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Friday severe weather tracker

Good Friday, folks. It’s a very busy severe weather day across Kentucky and surrounding states. Rounds of strong to severe storms are pushing across the region, bringing the potential for damage.

The Storm Prediction Center has the severe weather bullseye right on top of us…

A few showers and storms will be noted early today and a few could be strong. The greatest severe weather threat develops this afternoon into the evening hours.

A few supercell thunderstorms may initially develop, bringing the threat for a few tornadoes. Storms should evolve into a huge complex (MCS) that may produce widespread wind damage.

Torrential rains are also likely and this could cause flash flooding issues to develop. That’s especially true for areas getting in on repeat storm action.

Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms move through over the weekend as a huge upper level low spins overhead. This may cause some more high water issues on the local scale. Temps this weekend will be held way down in the 70s.

I have you all set to track today’s severe weather:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Severe weather threat for Friday

Good Thursday, everybody. It’s another nice day across central and eastern Kentucky, but stormy times are on the way. This storm action for Friday may be strong or severe as much cooler air moves in for the weekend.

Highs today are in the low and middle 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. There is the chance for isolated showers and storms later today into the evening:

Our potent upper level low will dive in here from late Friday into the weekend. We have set the stage for this for more than a week, with your apps and human weather apps just now catching on. 😉

Ahead of this upper low, we have the increasing threat for strong to severe storms from later Friday into Friday night. The Storm Prediction Center has much of the region in the risk area:

Damaging wind is the main threat, with the potential for isolated tornadoes. In addition to the severe weather threat, torrential rains may also cause local flash flooding.

Additional rounds of showers and storms will then carry us through the weekend as the upper level spins across the Ohio Valley. Heavy rainfall will again be possible:

Temps will be MUCH cooler than normal with highs in the 70s likely, especially in the central and east.

Another big blast of cool is on the way for next week and may be accompanied by another round of weather. Watch how secondary system develops after the frontal passage:

Enjoy your day and take care.

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Some ugly summer weather on the way

Good Wednesday, folks. We have a couple of awesome weather days taking shape across central and eastern Kentucky. As good as these days are, the days that follow can take things to the other end of the weather spectrum. Some nasty weather is coming late this week into the weekend.

Highs today are in the low 80s for many areas, with low humidity and plenty of sunshine. The good stuff takes us into Thursday, with highs from 80-85 in most areas. Make sure to soak this up, because the ugly arrives on Friday.

The setup on the way does not look like one you see in the summer months. A huge cutoff low will drop in here from the northwest, delivering much cooler than normal temps and rounds of rain and storms.

Check out the upper low:

As I’ve said, there is NOTHING summer-like about that kind of a setup.

So, what does it actually mean for the weather where you live? Plenty of wet weather and MUCH cooler than normal temps.

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be common:

We will need to watch late Friday into Friday night for the potential for a healthy complex of thunderstorms causing a few issues in our region.

Temperatures under a system like this can have a little “wow” factor for this time of year. Highs may struggle into the low and middle 70s for a day or two.

The cool doesn’t end there. Check out the temperature departures for next week:

That’s a very cool look across the country as we wrap up July.

Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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Unsettled pattern means cooler than normal temps

Good Tuesday, everyone. We have a strong cold front right on top of the region today, bring more showers and storms to parts of the state. Much cooler air comes in behind this front, kicking off a cooler than normal weather pattern.

With the cool pattern comes unsettled weather. That setup doesn’t bode well for the upcoming weekend. I will get to that in a bit.

Let’s begin with the front on the move today. Highs reach the middle 80s ahead of the boundary as scattered showers and storms rumble through:

Much cooler and drier air will filter in behind the front tonight and Wednesday. Highs generally range from the upper 70s to low 80s across the state, with low humidity levels.

Thursday looks equally as nice with dry weather and highs in the 80-85 degree range for many.

Another system then works our way for Friday, and is likely to be a huge cutoff system that hangs out into the weekend and early next week:

That’s pretty crazy to see in the heart of summer!  The end result would be unsettled weather with rounds of showers and storms likely:

There is the potential for a lot of rain to fall through the weekend:

Temperatures may be held WAY down under the core of that upper low.  In fact, the setup has me checking to see what the record cool high temps are for a few days… Just out of curiosity.

Another deep trough is likely to dive in later next week.

Let’s talk a little about winter. Lately, I’ve been sharing many of the seasonal models all singing a similar tune with a developing weak El Nino. I’ve illustrated how the placement of the warmest waters are vitally important as to what kind of winter we get around here. With the likelihood of the warmest anomalies being located in region 3.4 of the equatorial Pacific, it enhances the potential for a trough to develop across the eastern part of the country.

A new seasonal model is in and shows that scenario happening. Here’s the Canadian month by month breakdown from December through March:

That’s a good look for winter weather lovers across Kentucky and for much of the country. That also matches up reasonably well with some of the other seasonal models I’ve been showing.

Make it a great day and take care.

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